Sporting Lisbon vs Porto: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Liga Portugal Sporting Lisbon - Porto
Result
1:2
30/08/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Portugal - Round 4
  • Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)
Sporting Lisbon - Porto - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.911.52
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
82% (372/454)84% (276/330)
Yellow Cards
35
Expected Goals (xG)
0.911.52
xG on target (xGOT)
0.462.11
Total shots
2014
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
93
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
109
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2519
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
158
Passes
82% (372/454)84% (276/330)
Long passes
41% (20/49)54% (25/46)
Passes in final third
79% (102/129)67% (49/73)
Crosses
13% (3/23)0% (0/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.70
Throw-ins
2717
Fouls
815
Tackles
64% (16/25)64% (7/11)
Duels won
5849
Clearances
1633
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
24
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
2.110.46
Goals prevented
0.110.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Bednarek J. 🟨,
  • 33', Sainz B. 🟨,
  • 40', Debast Z. 🟨,
  • 45+1', de Jong L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 58', Mora R. , Rosario P. ,
  • 58', Moura F. , Zaidu ,
  • 61', 0 - 1, de Jong L. , Costa A. (A),
  • 63', Fresneda I. , Vagiannidis G. ,
  • 63', Catamo G. , Quenda G. ,
  • 64', 0 - 2, William Gomes , Froholdt V. (A),
  • 64', Samu 🟨,
  • 66', Inacio G. 🟨,
  • 67', Kochorashvili G. , Harder C. ,
  • 68', Rosario P. 🟨,
  • 72', William Gomes , Gul D. ,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Perez N. (Own goal),
  • 80', Vagiannidis G. 🟨,
  • 80', Sainz B. , Prpic D. ,
  • 80', de Jong L. , Samu ,
  • 89', Goncalves P. , Alisson Santos ,

Chances of winning


Sporting Lisbon
46.8%
Draw
27.5%
Porto
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 27.2% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Sporting Lisbon - Porto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.81)
    3.42
    (3.33)
    3.63
    (4)
    5.7%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Porto?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Porto will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 42.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 30.1%75.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sporting (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 2.
    • Sporting is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Porto is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Recently, Porto has had a series of home games.
    • Sporting might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Sporting: Araujo M. (Injury) Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Diomande O. (Injury) Matheus Reis (Suspended) Santos N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Porto: Fernandes M. (Injury) Samu (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Sporting: Morita H. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Porto: Costa A. (Injury) Froholdt V. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:31. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.6:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Porto were as follows:
    07.02.2025 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 1:1
    07.01.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 1:0
    31.08.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 2:0
    03.08.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 3:4
    26.05.2024 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 2:1
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Latest results of Porto
    24.08.2025 Porto - Casa Pia 4:0
    18.08.2025 Gil Vicente - Porto 0:2
    11.08.2025 Porto - Vitoria Guimarães 3:0
    03.08.2025 Porto - Atlético Madrid 1:0
    27.07.2025 Porto - Twente 2:1
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto440011:11012
    2Famalicao43105:0510
    3Sporting CP430113:3109
    4Benfica33006:159
    5Moreirense43015:329
    6Braga422010:468
    7Gil Vicente42114:227
    8Arouca41217:11-45
    9Nacional41124:7-34
    10Vitoria Guimaraes41124:8-44
    11Rio Ave30306:603
    12Estrela40313:4-13
    13Casa Pia41032:8-63
    14Estoril30215:6-12
    15Santa Clara30120:4-41
    16Alverca40134:9-51
    17AFS40133:8-51
    18Tondela40132:9-71

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
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          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Sporting Lisbon - Porto?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaZAP
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
    germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8
    hungaryHungarySport 1
    israelIsraelSport 3
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
    kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
    lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 3
    polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 4, Eleven Sports 4
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    russiaRussiaTV Start
    serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4, SportKlub 1
    slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
    south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
    usaUsaFanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaInter
    worldWorldTriller TV, Triller TV+
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