Porto vs Crvena Zvezda Belgrade: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio do Dragão (Porto).

: Europa League - League phase - Round 2
Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.43	0.54
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
4	2
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
81% (337/416)	84% (353/418)
Yellow Cards
3	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.43	0.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.79	0.52
Total shots
17	9
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
9	5
Blocked Shots
4	2
Shots inside the Box
11	7
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
26	14
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
8	10
Passes
81% (337/416)	84% (353/418)
Long passes
40% (14/35)	51% (20/39)
Passes in final third
62% (74/119)	72% (63/87)
Crosses
16% (3/19)	23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.73	0.51
Throw-ins
17	13
Fouls
10	8
Tackles
55% (11/20)	92% (11/12)
Duels won
47	43
Clearances
18	28
Interceptions
2	8
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.52	1.79
Goals prevented
-0.48	-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Tebo Uchenna F. 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, William Gomes (Pen),
32', Mora R. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Kostov V. ⚽, Veljkovic M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fernandes M. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
46', Bednarek J. ↓, Froholdt V. ↑,
47', Prpic D. 🟨,
62', Alarcon A. ↓, Sainz B. ↑,
62', William Gomes ↓, Pepê ↑,
69', Tiknizyan N. 🟨,
71', Radonjic N. ↓, Milson ↑,
74', Gul D. ↓, Veiga G. ↑,
82', Arnautovic M. ↓, Bruno Duarte ↑,
82', Kostov V. ↓, Olayinka P. ↑,
82', Tiknizyan N. ↓, Stankovic N. ↑,
88', Costa A. 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, Mora R. ⚽, Pepê (A),
90+3', Elsnik T. ↓, Bajo M. ↑,

Chances of winning

Porto
63.5%

Draw
20.8%

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

19.9%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

18.8%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Porto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crvena Zvezda Belgrade than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Porto - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.43)	4.85 ↑ (4.84)	6.51 ↓ (7.5)	1.5% (3.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Porto - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?

Users Predictions: 83 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 72 - 86.7%). Crvena Zvezda will win (votes: 6 - 7.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 79.4% – 94%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Porto will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
Porto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Porto has had a series of away games.
In this match, Porto is the team to beat.
There will not play in Porto: Karamoh Y. (Inactive) Perez N. (Injury) Perez T. (International duty) de Jong L. (Inactive)
There will not play in Crvena Zvezda: Babicka S. (Inactive) Katai A. (Knee Injury) Krunic R. (Muscle Injury) Sandoval K. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Porto: Samu (Injury)
We predict that Porto will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?

Porto has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Crvena Zvezda Belgrade won against Porto?

Crvena Zvezda Belgrade has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade were as follows:

Latest results of Porto

29.09.2025 Arouca - Porto 0:4 ✺

25.09.2025 Red Bull Salzburg - Porto 0:1 ✺

19.09.2025 Rio Ave - Porto 0:3 ✺

13.09.2025 Porto - Nacional 1:0 ✺

30.08.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Porto 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Crvena Zvezda Belgrade

28.09.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Radnički 1923 2:1 ✺

24.09.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Celtic 1:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Partizan - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 1:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Železničar Pančevo 7:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Novi Pazar - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade 1:5 ✺

UEFA Europa League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	D. Zagreb	2	2	0	0	6:2	4	6
2	Midtjylland	2	2	0	0	5:2	3	6
3	Aston Villa	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
4	Braga	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
5	Lyon	2	2	0	0	3:0	3	6
6	Lille	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
7	FC Porto	2	2	0	0	3:1	2	6
8	Plzen	2	1	1	0	4:1	3	4
9	Betis	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
10	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	3:2	1	4
11	Ferencvaros	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
12	Panathinaikos	2	1	0	1	5:3	2	3
13	Celta Vigo	2	1	0	1	4:3	1	3
14	Basel	2	1	0	1	3:2	1	3
15	AS Roma	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
16	G.A. Eagles	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
17	Brann	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
18	Genk	2	1	0	1	1:1	0	3
19	Young Boys	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
20	Fenerbahce	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
21	Ludogorets	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
22	Sturm Graz	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
23	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
24	FCSB	2	1	0	1	1:2	-1	3
25	Nottingham	2	0	1	1	4:5	-1	1
26	Crvena zvezda	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
27	Bologna	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
28	PAOK	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
29	Celtic	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
30	Maccabi Tel Aviv	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
31	Nice	2	0	0	2	2:4	-2	0
32	Rangers	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
33	Utrecht	2	0	0	2	0:2	-2	0
34	Salzburg	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
35	Feyenoord	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
36	Malmo FF	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0

Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Europa League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

Which TV channels are streaming of Porto - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 4
Germany	RTL+
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 2
Portugal	Sport TV5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	RTS 1
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
South-africa	SuperSport Football, Supersport Maximo 1
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 4, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 8, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus