Arouca vs Porto: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Liga Portugal Arouca - Porto
Result
0:2
01/03/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 24
  • Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)
Arouca - Porto - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.581.51
Ball Possession
49%51%
Goal Attempts
69
Shots on Goal
22
Shots off Goal
33
Blocked Shots
14
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
42
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
20
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
02
Free Kicks
1213
Offsides
31
Fouls
1312
Yellow Cards
20
Throw-ins
1717
Touches in the Opposition Box
1220
Passes
83% (360/434)84% (393/466)
Passes in the final third
65% (80/123)71% (70/99)
Crosses
26% (5/19)43% (3/7)
Tackles
47% (7/15)80% (8/10)
Clearances Total
1926
Interceptions
710

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Samu (Pen),
  • 16', Lamba C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', Trezza A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Arouca
18.4%
Draw
24.9%
Porto
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.8% 24.9% 54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2% 25.6% 55.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Arouca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arouca than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Arouca - Porto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.17
    (4.5)
    3.79
    (3.75)
    1.67
    (1.72)
    5.6%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Arouca - Porto?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Arouca will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). Porto will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 44.9%88.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Arouca won 1.
    • Arouca is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Recent matches Porto is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Arouca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Porto is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Porto: Pepê (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Arouca: Galovic N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Porto: Grujic M. (Muscle Injury) Sousa V. (Calf Injury)
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Arouca won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 10:46 (average 0.6:2.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Arouca won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5:20 (average 0.7:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Arouca - Porto were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Porto - Arouca 4:0
    12.02.2024 Arouca - Porto 3:2
    03.09.2023 Porto - Arouca 1:1
    08.05.2023 Arouca - Porto 0:1
    11.01.2023 Porto - Arouca 4:0
    Latest results of Arouca
    23.02.2025 Arouca - Farense 2:2
    15.02.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Arouca 2:2
    10.02.2025 Arouca - Rio Ave 1:1
    01.02.2025 Nacional - Arouca 1:2
    24.01.2025 Arouca - Moreirense 1:0
    Latest results of Porto
    24.02.2025 Porto - Vitoria Guimarães 1:1
    20.02.2025 Roma - Porto 3:2
    16.02.2025 Farense - Porto 0:1
    13.02.2025 Porto - Roma 1:1
    07.02.2025 Porto - Sporting Lisbon 1:1
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1AFSVizela2 : 2, 3 : 0
    Which TV channels are streaming of Arouca - Porto?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaSportklub 7
    brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 3, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 7
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
    finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
    franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 9
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
    montenegroMontenegroSportklub 7
    netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 4
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO, Sportklub 7
    polandPolandEleven Sports 4
    portugalPortugalSport TV1
    romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
    saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP
    serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 7
    slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
    sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 6
    south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
    turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4
    usaUsaFanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaInter
    worldWorldDisney+, Triller TV+
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