North Carolina Courage vs Portland Thorns: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer NWSL North Carolina Courage - Portland Thorns
Result
1:1
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : NWSL Women
  • Referee: Simon N. (Usa)
North Carolina Courage - Portland Thorns - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.511.02
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
86
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
85% (377/444)79% (280/355)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.511.02
xG on target (xGOT)
1.151.48
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
1012
Shots outside the Box
72
Hit the Woodwork
21
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2418
Accurate through passes
50
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
128
Passes
85% (377/444)79% (280/355)
Long passes
46% (16/35)43% (20/46)
Passes in final third
74% (89/121)64% (56/88)
Crosses
18% (3/17)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.760.66
Throw-ins
2019
Fouls
711
Tackles
59% (13/22)57% (8/14)
Duels won
4430
Clearances
2423
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
57
xGOT faced
1.481.15
Goals prevented
0.480.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', Lussi T. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Moultrie O. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', O'Sullivan D. , Koyama S. ,
  • 64', Mckenzie M. , Torpey K. ,
  • 69', Sanchez A. , Shaw J. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Lussi T. ,
  • 73', Sugita H. , Castellanos D. ,
  • 73', Turner R. , Linnehan P. ,
  • 75', Aline Gomes , Vine C. ,
  • 75', Lussi T. , Speck M. ,
  • 79', Tordin P. 🟨,
  • 85', Tordin P. , Perry J. ,

Chances of winning


North Carolina Courage
42.1%
Draw
28.1%
Portland Thorns
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.2% 29.3% 33.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • North Carolina Courage has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Portland Thorns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • North Carolina Courage - Portland Thorns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.45)
    3.27
    (3.11)
    3.08
    (2.72)
    8.9%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 1.
    • North Carolina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:19. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:10. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between North Carolina Courage - Portland Thorns were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Portland Thorns - North Carolina Courage 0:0
    08.06.2024 Portland Thorns - North Carolina Courage 1:0
    13.04.2024 North Carolina Courage - Portland Thorns 2:0
    20.08.2023 Portland Thorns - North Carolina Courage 2:1
    06.05.2023 North Carolina Courage - Portland Thorns 3:3
    Latest results of Portland Thorns
    NWSL Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kansas City Current W16131232:102240
    2San Diego Wave W1685328:181029
    3Orlando Pride W1784522:13928
    4Washington Spirit W1684425:22328
    5Portland Thorns W1675425:17826
    6Seattle Reign W1674524:20425
    7Racing Louisville W1664622:27-522
    8Gotham W1655620:16420
    9North Carolina Courage W1655620:23-320
    10Angel City W1755722:27-520
    11Houston Dash W1653819:26-718
    12Bay FC W1645718:22-417
    13Chicago W1616915:32-179
    14Utah Royals W16141112:31-197

          Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of North Carolina Courage - Portland Thorns?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    australiaAustraliaStan Sport
    netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+
    usaUsaion TV, NSWL+, NWSL+ app, Tubi TV
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