Port Vale vs Morecambe: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

22/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Vale Park (Stoke on Trent).

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 38
Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.91	0.57
Ball Possession
54%	46%
Goal Attempts
15	8
Shots on Goal
4	2
Shots off Goal
5	2
Blocked Shots
6	4
Big Chances
0	1
Corner Kicks
3	5
Shots inside the Box
6	6
Shots outside the Box
9	2
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
Free Kicks
10	10
Offsides
4	1
Fouls
10	10
Yellow Cards
2	3
Throw-ins
24	21
Touches in the Opposition Box
32	12
Passes
77% (272/354)	72% (207/287)
Passes in the final third
63% (92/146)	51% (43/85)
Crosses
22% (4/18)	11% (2/19)
Tackles
43% (6/14)	79% (11/14)
Clearances Total
34	37
Interceptions
10	2

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Tutonda D. 🟨,
24', Hall C. 🟨,
31', Williams R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', Angol L. 🟨,
63', Lewis A. ↓, Songo'o Y. ↑,
66', Walters R. ↓, Garrity B. ↑,
66', Clark M. ↓, Richards R. ↑,
70', Edwards G. ↓, Slew J. ↑,
84', Tollitt B. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
84', Jones C. ↓, Cooke C. ↑,
89', 1 - 0, Curtis R. ⚽, Richards R. (A),
90', Curtis R. 🟨,
90+3', Tolaj L. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
90+3', Richards R. ↓, Smith N. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Port Vale 61.8%

Draw 23%

Morecambe 15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

Port Vale 55.7%

Draw 24%

Morecambe 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

Port Vale 57.5%

Draw 23.2%

Morecambe 19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Port Vale's performance.

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Morecambe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Port Vale - Morecambe Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.68)	4.05 ↑ (3.9)	6.27 ↑ (4.61)	6% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Port Vale - Morecambe?

The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is Port Vale will win! (13 of 15 users predict this).

Preview Facts

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 3.
Recent matches Port Vale is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Morecambe is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Port Vale could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Port Vale is a favorite.
There will not play in Port Vale: Headley J. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Morecambe: Hendrie L. (Inactive) Macadam H. (Inactive) Moore S. (Inactive) Ray G. (Inactive) Schofield R. (Injury) Taylor M. (Red Card)
There are questionable in Morecambe: Lewis P. (Injury)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 15:10 (average 1.1:0.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:3 (average 0.8:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Morecambe?

Port Vale has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Port Vale?

Morecambe has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Morecambe were as follows:

16.11.2024 Morecambe - Port Vale 0:1

21.02.2023 Morecambe - Port Vale 1:0

26.12.2022 Port Vale - Morecambe 1:0

Latest results of Port Vale

15.03.2025 Port Vale - Milton Keynes Dons 3:0 ✺

11.03.2025 Colchester United - Port Vale 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Fleetwood Town - Port Vale 1:1 ✺

04.03.2025 Port Vale - Harrogate Town 0:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Port Vale 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Morecambe

15.03.2025 Morecambe - Barrow 2:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Milton Keynes Dons - Morecambe 2:1 ✺

04.03.2025 Morecambe - AFC Wimbledon 1:0 ✺

01.03.2025 Gillingham - Morecambe 1:0 ✺

22.02.2025 Morecambe - Walsall 0:2 ✺

English League Two Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Doncaster ✔	46	24	12	10	73:50	23	84
2	Port Vale ✔	46	22	14	10	65:46	19	80
3	Bradford City	46	22	12	12	64:45	19	78
4	Walsall	46	21	14	11	75:54	21	77
5	AFC Wimbledon	46	20	13	13	56:35	21	73
6	Notts Co ✔	46	20	12	14	68:49	19	72
7	Chesterfield	46	19	13	14	73:54	19	70
8	Salford	46	18	15	13	64:54	10	69
9	Grimsby	46	20	8	18	61:67	-6	68
10	Colchester	46	16	19	11	52:47	5	67
11	Bromley	46	17	15	14	64:59	5	66
12	Swindon	46	15	17	14	71:63	8	62
13	Crewe	46	15	17	14	49:48	1	62
14	Fleetwood	46	15	15	16	60:60	0	60
15	Cheltenham	46	16	12	18	60:70	-10	60
16	Barrow	46	15	14	17	52:50	2	59
17	Gillingham	46	14	16	16	41:46	-5	58
18	Harrogate	46	14	11	21	43:61	-18	53
19	MK Dons	46	14	10	22	52:66	-14	52
20	Tranmere	46	12	15	19	45:65	-20	51
21	Accrington	46	12	14	20	53:69	-16	50
22	Newport	46	13	10	23	52:76	-24	49
23	Carlisle ✔	46	10	12	24	44:71	-27	42
24	Morecambe ✔	46	10	6	30	40:72	-32	36

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Clinched Spots for Teams

Doncaster is Qualified for League One
Port Vale is Qualified for League One
Notts Co is Qualified for League Two (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Carlisle is Relegated to National League
Morecambe is Relegated to National League

Which TV channels are streaming of Port Vale - Morecambe?

It is being streamed on channel


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+