Port Vale vs Grimsby Town: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Vale Park (Stoke on Trent).

: League Two - Round 44
Referee: Eley R. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.43	1.27
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
17	11
Shots on target
8	4
Big Chances
4	3
Corner Kicks
10	7
Passes
73% (228/312)	60% (133/222)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
2.43	1.27
xG on target (xGOT)
3.87	1.34
Total shots
17	11
Shots on target
8	4
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
12	6
Shots outside the Box
5	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
4	3
Corner Kicks
10	7
Touches in opposition box
42	19
Through passes
50% (1/2)	0% (0/1)
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
7	11
Passes
73% (228/312)	60% (133/222)
Long passes
51% (24/47)	21% (12/58)
Passes in final third
70% (86/123)	46% (44/96)
Crosses
26% (9/34)	0% (0/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.91	0.09
Fouls
11	7
Tackles
82% (18/22)	50% (7/14)
Duels won
88	62
Clearances Total
40	36
Interceptions
4	6
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	6
xGOT faced
1.34	3.87
Goals prevented
-0.66	1.87

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Rose D. ⚽,
26', Clark M. 🟨,
40', Svanthorsson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 0 - 2, Rose D. (Pen),
56', Smith N. ↓, Headley J. ↑,
56', Harper R. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
59', Hart S. ↓, Walters R. ↑,
62', McEachran G. 🟨,
64', Rodgers H. 🟨,
68', Vernam C. ↓, Obikwu J. ↑,
76', Croasdale R. ↓, Richards R. ↑,
78', 1 - 2, Tolaj L. ⚽,
82', Svanthorsson J. ↓, McJannett C. ↑,
83', Green K. ↓, Ainley C. ↑,
88', McEachran G. ↓, Barrington L. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Debrah J. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Port Vale
46.5%

Draw
29.2%

Grimsby Town
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

27.4%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

25.8%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Port Vale - Grimsby Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 (2.02)	3.22 ↓ (3.42)	3.86 ↑ (3.59)	6.4% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Port Vale - Grimsby Town?

Users Predictions: Port Vale will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 8).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 1.
Port Vale is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Grimsby is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Port Vale is a favorite.
There will not play in Port Vale: Heneghan B. (Inactive) Kyle John (Inactive) Sang T. (Injury)
There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Injury) Obikwu J. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Port Vale: Garrity B. (Injury) Headley J. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Grimsby: Luker J. (Inactive) Wilson D. (Inactive)
Last 9 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8:16 (average 0.9:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:4 (average 1.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Port Vale won against Grimsby Town?

Port Vale has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Port Vale?

Grimsby Town has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Grimsby Town were as follows:

29.12.2024 Grimsby Town - Port Vale 3:0

21.07.2023 Port Vale - Grimsby Town 1:1

Latest results of Port Vale

18.04.2025 Carlisle United - Port Vale 3:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Port Vale - Bromley 5:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Walsall - Port Vale 2:3 ✺

01.04.2025 Port Vale - Bradford City 2:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Port Vale 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Grimsby Town

18.04.2025 Grimsby Town - Swindon Town 0:4 ✺

12.04.2025 Harrogate Town - Grimsby Town 2:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Grimsby Town - Morecambe 3:1 ✺

01.04.2025 Crewe Alexandra - Grimsby Town 2:0 ✺

28.03.2025 Colchester United - Grimsby Town 1:2 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Which TV channels are streaming of Port Vale - Grimsby Town?

It is being streamed on channel


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+