Birmingham City vs Port Vale: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Birmingham City - Port Vale
Result
0:1
26/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
Birmingham City - Port Vale - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.321.83
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
107
Passes
83% (467/560)66% (156/235)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
0.321.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.012.63
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
107
Touches in opposition box
2014
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
813
Passes
83% (467/560)66% (156/235)
Long passes
38% (18/48)31% (16/51)
Passes in final third
68% (108/158)56% (29/52)
Crosses
9% (3/34)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.311.08
Throw-ins
3424
Fouls
148
Tackles
71% (10/14)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4752
Clearances
1948
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
2.630.01
Goals prevented
1.630.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', Neumann P. 🟨,
  • 39', Leonard M. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Headley J. , Croasdale R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Humphreys C. , Kyle John ,
  • 46', Ducksch M. , Stansfield J. ,
  • 46', Fujimoto K. , Paik Seung-Ho ,
  • 46', Sampsted A. , Cochrane A. ,
  • 57', Faal M. , Paton R. ,
  • 61', Doyle T. 🟨,
  • 67', Dykes L. , Furuhashi K. ,
  • 69', Lawrence-Gabriel J. , Clark M. ,
  • 77', Headley J. , Garrity B. ,
  • 77', Doyle T. , Laird E. ,

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
67%
Draw
20.4%
Port Vale
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.1% 18.2% 11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1% 17.5% 11.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birmingham City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Birmingham City - Port Vale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.35)
    4.64
    (5.2)
    7.57
    (8.04)
    5.3%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Port Vale?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 14 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Birmingham City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Birmingham is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Port Vale's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Birmingham has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Birmingham is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Amos B. (Muscle Injury) Stockley J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Paton R. (Muscle Injury)
    • We predict that Birmingham will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Port Vale were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Port Vale - Birmingham City 0:2
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    Latest results of Port Vale
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    6PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    8ByeNottingham
    9TranmereBurton1 : 2
    10HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    12ByeChelsea
    13TottenhamBye
    15AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    16MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    17BournemouthBye
    18ByeBrentford
    20ByeAston Villa
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25LiverpoolBye
    27WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    28NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    29NewcastleBye
    31StokeWalsall1 : 0
    32BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    33BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    34ByeLeeds
    35GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    36ByeManchester Utd
    37WolvesBye
    38ByeWest Ham
    39EvertonBye
    40ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    41Crystal PalaceBye
    43NewportMillwall0 : 1
    44CoventryLuton1 : 0
    45BurnleyBye
    46West BromDerby1 : 2
    47CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    48CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    49BarrowPreston0 : 1
    50WrexhamHull4 : 3
    51PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    52GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    53WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    54Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    55BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    56Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    57BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    58SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    59Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    60ByeBrighton
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    4ByeNottingham
    5BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    6ByeChelsea
    7TottenhamBye
    8AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    9BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    10ByeAston Villa
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13LiverpoolBye
    14NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    15NewcastleBye
    16StokeBradford City0 : 3
    17Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    18GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    19WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    20EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    22MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    23BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    24CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    25PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    26ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    27WiganStockport County1 : 0
    28BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    29BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    30Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal
    2SwanseaNottingham
    3LincolnChelsea
    4TottenhamDoncaster
    5BrentfordAston Villa
    6HuddersfieldManchester City
    7LiverpoolSouthampton
    8NewcastleBradford City
    9Sheffield WedGrimsby
    10WolvesEverton
    11Crystal PalaceMillwall
    12BurnleyCardiff
    13WrexhamReading
    14WiganWycombe
    15BarnsleyBrighton
    16FulhamCambridge Utd
    Which TV channels are streaming of Birmingham City - Port Vale?
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