Birmingham City vs Port Vale: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Birmingham City - Port Vale
Result
0:1
26/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)
Birmingham City - Port Vale - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.321.83
Ball Possession
70%30%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
13
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
107
Passes
83% (467/560)66% (156/235)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
0.321.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.012.63
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
107
Touches in opposition box
2014
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
813
Passes
83% (467/560)66% (156/235)
Long passes
38% (18/48)31% (16/51)
Passes in final third
68% (108/158)56% (29/52)
Crosses
9% (3/34)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.311.08
Throw-ins
3424
Fouls
148
Tackles
71% (10/14)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4752
Clearances
1948
Interceptions
37
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
2.630.01
Goals prevented
1.630.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 30', Neumann P. 🟨,
  • 39', Leonard M. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Headley J. , Croasdale R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Humphreys C. , Kyle John ,
  • 46', Ducksch M. , Stansfield J. ,
  • 46', Fujimoto K. , Paik Seung-Ho ,
  • 46', Sampsted A. , Cochrane A. ,
  • 57', Faal M. , Paton R. ,
  • 61', Doyle T. 🟨,
  • 67', Dykes L. , Furuhashi K. ,
  • 69', Lawrence-Gabriel J. , Clark M. ,
  • 77', Headley J. , Garrity B. ,
  • 77', Doyle T. , Laird E. ,

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
67%
Draw
20.4%
Port Vale
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.1% 18.2% 11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.1% 17.5% 11.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birmingham City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Birmingham City - Port Vale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.35)
    4.64
    (5.2)
    7.57
    (8.04)
    5.3%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Port Vale?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 14 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Birmingham City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Birmingham is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Port Vale's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Birmingham has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Birmingham is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Amos B. (Muscle Injury) Stockley J. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Paton R. (Muscle Injury)
    • We predict that Birmingham will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Port Vale were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Port Vale - Birmingham City 0:2
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    Latest results of Port Vale
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    6SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    7Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    8ByeBrighton
    9BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    10ByeLeeds
    11GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    12ByeManchester Utd
    13BournemouthBye
    14ByeBrentford
    16ByeAston Villa
    17SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    18PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    20ByeNottingham
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25NewcastleBye
    27StokeWalsall1 : 0
    28BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    29TottenhamBye
    31AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    32MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    33BarrowPreston0 : 1
    34WrexhamHull4 : 3
    35PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    36GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    37BurnleyBye
    38West BromDerby1 : 2
    39CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    40CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    41LiverpoolBye
    43WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    44NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    45Crystal PalaceBye
    47NewportMillwall0 : 1
    48CoventryLuton1 : 0
    49WolvesBye
    50ByeWest Ham
    51EvertonBye
    52ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    53TranmereBurton1 : 2
    54HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    56ByeChelsea
    57WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    58Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    59BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    60Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    4Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    5Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    6GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    7BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    8ByeAston Villa
    9SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    10ByeNottingham
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13NewcastleBye
    14StokeBradford City0 : 3
    15TottenhamBye
    16AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    17PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    18ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    19BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    20CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    21LiverpoolBye
    22NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    23Crystal PalaceBye
    24MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    25WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    26EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    27BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    28ByeChelsea
    29WiganStockport County1 : 0
    30BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    2BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    3Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    4BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1
    5SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    6HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    7NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    8TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    9WrexhamReading2 : 0
    10BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    11LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    12Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    13WolvesEverton2 : 0
    14LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    15WiganWycombe0 : 2
    16FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArsenalBrighton
    2GrimsbyBrentford
    3SwanseaManchester City
    4NewcastleTottenham
    5WrexhamCardiff
    6LiverpoolCrystal Palace
    7WolvesChelsea
    8WycombeFulham
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