AFC Wimbledon vs Port Vale: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Two AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale
Result
0:2
26/04/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : League Two - Round 45
  • Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)
AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.150.98
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
45
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
75% (304/406)68% (215/316)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
0.150.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.471.14
Total shots
45
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
22
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
35
Shots outside the Box
10
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
1510
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1216
Passes
75% (304/406)68% (215/316)
Long passes
28% (15/54)32% (24/75)
Passes in final third
55% (67/122)48% (45/93)
Crosses
16% (3/19)50% (4/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.42
Throw-ins
2320
Fouls
1612
Tackles
53% (8/15)59% (10/17)
Duels won
6263
Clearances
2141
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
1.140.47
Goals prevented
-0.860.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+3', Bugiel O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 58', Hutchinson S. 🟨,
  • 64', 0 - 1, Stockley J. , Headley J. (A),
  • 66', Bugiel O. , Browne M. ,
  • 66', Hutchinson S. , Hippolyte M. ,
  • 67', Lewis J. 🟨,
  • 67', 0 - 2, Headley J. , Byers G. (A),
  • 75', Harbottle R. , Ogundere I. ,
  • 82', Walters R. , Harper R. ,
  • 84', Stevens M. , Pigott J. ,
  • 85', Maycock C. , Sasu A. ,
  • 87', Headley J. , Shorrock J. ,
  • 90+1', Tolaj L. , Curtis R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


AFC Wimbledon
38.3%
Draw
30.6%
Port Vale
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 28.1% 28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 29.1% 27%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AFC Wimbledon's form might have worsened.
  • Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.12)
    3.08
    (3.32)
    3.04
    (3.34)
    6.1%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
    • Recent matches Wimbledon is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Port Vale is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Wimbledon will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Wimbledon: Browne M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Heneghan B. (Inactive) Kyle John (Inactive) Sang T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Wimbledon: Hippolyte M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Port Vale: Garrity B. (Injury) Hart S. (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Wimbledon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:10 (average 1.6:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Wimbledon won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Port Vale - AFC Wimbledon 3:2
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    Latest results of Port Vale
    21.04.2025 Port Vale - Grimsby Town 2:2
    12.04.2025 Port Vale - Bromley 5:0
    05.04.2025 Walsall - Port Vale 2:3
    01.04.2025 Port Vale - Bradford City 2:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Walsall (4)Chesterfield (7)2 : 1, 2 : 0
    2AFC Wimbledon (5)Notts Co (6)1 : 0, 1 : 0

    Final
    1Walsall (4)AFC Wimbledon (5)
    Which TV channels are streaming of AFC Wimbledon - Port Vale?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
    usaUsaParamount+
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