Port Melbourne vs Collingwood Magpies 2: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Aussie rules VFL Port Melbourne - Collingwood Magpies 2
Result
78:70
16/08/2025 at 00:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : VFL - Round 21
Port Melbourne - Collingwood Magpies 2 - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Goals
1110
Behinds
1210

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Quarter (20 - 34)
  • 2nd Quarter (21 - 17)
  • 3rd Quarter (11 - 6)
  • 4th Quarter (26 - 13)

Chances of winning


Port Melbourne
31.5%
Collingwood Magpies 2
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

7.2% 92.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Port Melbourne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Collingwood Magpies 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Melbourne than the current prediction. (-24.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Port Melbourne that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Collingwood Magpies 2 than the current prediction. (+24.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Collingwood Magpies 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Port Melbourne - Collingwood Magpies 2 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.95
    (2.89)

    1.36
    (1.35)
    7.8%
    (8.7%)
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-17)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Melbourne won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Collingwood 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Collingwood 2 has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Collingwood 2 is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Collingwood 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Port Melbourne won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 829:930. (average 75.4:84.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Port Melbourne won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 564:644. (average 80.6:92).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Port Melbourne - Collingwood Magpies 2 were as follows:
    01.04.2023 Port Melbourne - Collingwood Magpies 2 82:134
    Latest results of Port Melbourne
    09.08.2025 Coburg - Port Melbourne 90:72
    11.07.2025 Frankston - Port Melbourne 108:73
    05.07.2025 Port Melbourne - Williamstown 72:89
    Latest results of Collingwood Magpies 2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Footscray (1)Bye
    2ByeFrankston (4)
    7Brisbane 2 (6)Bye
    8Richmond Tigers 2 (8)GWS Giants 2 (9)116 : 98
    9Box Hill (2)Bye
    10ByeSouthport (3)
    15Casey (5)Bye
    16Collingwood Magpies 2 (7)Williamstown (10)69 : 81

    1/8-finals
    1Footscray (1)Frankston (4)105 : 25
    4Brisbane 2 (6)Richmond Tigers 2 (8)87 : 67
    5Box Hill (2)Southport (3)94 : 115
    8Casey (5)Williamstown (10)132 : 56

    Quarter-finals
    1Footscray (1)Bye
    2Box Hill (2)Brisbane 2 (6)
    3Southport (3)Bye
    4Frankston (4)Casey (5)

    Semi-finals
    1Footscray (1)TBD #2
    2Southport (3)TBD #4
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