Ferrol vs Ponferradina: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Ferrol - Ponferradina
Result
2:1
14/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3
Ferrol - Ponferradina - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
97
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
97
Shots off target
74
Corner Kicks
43
Goalkeeper Saves
67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Pena A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 0 - 1, Lopez A. ,
  • 55', 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Alvaro J. ,
  • 72', 🟨,
  • 82', 2 - 1, Gimenez A. ,

Chances of winning


Ferrol
44.8%
Draw
29.2%
Ponferradina
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 28.3% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 28.4% 33.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ferrol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferrol's performance.
  • Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ponferradina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ferrol that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ponferradina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ferrol - Ponferradina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.39)
    3.15
    (3.22)
    3.52
    (2.71)
    8.9%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Ferrol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ferrol is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Ferrol won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ferrol won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ferrol - Ponferradina were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Ferrol - Ponferradina 1:1
    26.07.2023 Ponferradina - Ferrol 0:2
    Latest results of Ferrol
    23.08.2025 Ferrol - Celta de Vigo B 0:3
    16.08.2025 Ferrol - Ponferradina 1:1
    13.08.2025 Bergantiños - Ferrol 0:1
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    06.09.2025 Ponferradina - Pontevedra 0:1
    16.08.2025 Ferrol - Ponferradina 1:1
    13.08.2025 Ponferradina - Lugo 3:2
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife33007:079
    2Racing Club Ferrol22004:226
    3Arenteiro32014:226
    4Guadalajara32013:216
    5Ath Bilbao B31202:115
    6Zamora31202:115
    7Celta Vigo B31114:314
    8Arenas Getxo31115:504
    9CF Talavera31114:404
    10Barakaldo31113:304
    11Pontevedra31112:3-14
    12Osasuna B31112:3-14
    13Real Aviles31112:3-14
    14Ponferradina31024:313
    15Real Madrid B21012:203
    16Merida AD31023:7-43
    17Ourense CF30212:3-12
    18Cacereno30213:5-22
    19Lugo30121:3-21
    20Unionistas30030:4-40

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation

    Which TV channels are streaming of Ferrol - Ponferradina?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, TVG 2
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