Polonia Warsaw vs Stal Rzeszów: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Division 1 Polonia Warsaw - Stal Rzeszów
Result
2:3
03/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Division 1 - Round 12
  • Referee: Idzik P. (Pol)
Polonia Warsaw - Stal Rzeszów - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1816
Shots on target
75
Corner Kicks
83
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
1816
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
1111
Corner Kicks
83
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1812
Throw-ins
198
Fouls
1216

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', Krasovskiy V. 🟨,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Wolski F. , Warczak P. (A),
  • 27', 0 - 2, Slawinski O. , Thill S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', 0 - 3, Wolski F. , Kadziolka S. (A),
  • 54', Krasovskiy V. , Soja M. ,
  • 60', Bajdur M. , Poczobut B. ,
  • 60', Wojciechowski O. , Piotrowski B. ,
  • 64', 1 - 3, Szur P. , Poczobut B. (A),
  • 65', Lyczko S. , Masiak K. ,
  • 65', Zjawinski L. 🟨,
  • 71', Slawinski O. 🟨,
  • 75', Dadok R. , Buksa A. ,
  • 75', Wolski F. , Kukulka K. ,
  • 75', Slawinski O. , Musik M. ,
  • 80', Kadziolka S. 🟨,
  • 81', Szur P. 🟨,
  • 88', Thill S. 🟨,
  • 90+2', 2 - 3, Zjawinski L. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Polonia Warsaw
44.9%
Draw
26.3%
Stal Rzeszów
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.2% 21.4% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8% 20.8% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polonia Warsaw's form might have worsened.
  • Stal Rzeszów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stal Rzeszów's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+15.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polonia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Rzeszów than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stal Rzeszów, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Polonia Warsaw - Stal Rzeszów Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (1.58)
    4.35
    (4.38)
    3.8
    (4.82)
    -15.6%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Polonia Warsaw - Stal Rzeszów?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Stal Rzeszów will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Polonia: 35.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Polonia Warsaw will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Polonia is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Polonia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Polonia Warsaw - Stal Rzeszów were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Stal Rzeszów - Polonia Warsaw 1:2
    04.11.2024 Polonia Warsaw - Stal Rzeszów 1:0
    26.05.2024 Stal Rzeszów - Polonia Warsaw 1:2
    01.12.2023 Polonia Warsaw - Stal Rzeszów 2:2
    Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
    Latest results of Stal Rzeszów
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla1292137:112629
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow1264225:141122
    3Grodzisk M1263325:17821
    4Slask Wroclaw1263320:18221
    5Polonia Bytom1262419:14520
    6S. Rzeszow1262421:19220
    7Chrobry Glogow1254318:13519
    8Odra Opole1245313:14-117
    9Ruch Chorzow1244417:19-216
    10Pogon Siedlce1243515:13215
    11LKS Lodz1243517:18-115
    12Polonia Warszawa1235419:21-214
    13Legnica1242616:25-914
    14Puszcza1218311:14-311
    15Tychy1232717:26-911
    16Stal Mielec1232716:26-1011
    17Leczna1216515:24-99
    18Pruszkow1230915:30-159

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Polonia Warsaw - Stal Rzeszów?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
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