Polonia Warsaw vs Puszcza Niepołomice: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Division 1 Polonia Warsaw - Puszcza Niepołomice
Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Division 1 - Round 10
  • Referee: Lezny S. (Pol)
Polonia Warsaw - Puszcza Niepołomice - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
154
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
63
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
154
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
90
Corner Kicks
63
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1610
Throw-ins
2915
Fouls
1016

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 19', Salihu H. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Nascimento F. (Pen),
  • 25', 0 - 2, Simon C. , Nascimento F. (A),
  • 45', Janasik P. , Brasido D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Salihu H. , Szur P. ,
  • 55', Stec J. 🟨,
  • 58', Simon C. , Smiglewski K. ,
  • 58', Stec J. , Stepien K. ,
  • 62', 1 - 2, Szur P. , Skrabb S. (A),
  • 62', Skrabb S. , Bajdur M. ,
  • 62', Dadok R. , Vega D. ,
  • 68', Iwao K. , Stepien M. ,
  • 74', Piekarski A. , Przybylko K. ,
  • 74', Cholewiak M. , Korczakowski O. ,
  • 75', Mrozinski P. 🟨,
  • 83', Poczobut B. , Buksa A. ,
  • 90+1', Bajdur M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Barczak N. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Korczakowski O. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Brasido D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Polonia Warsaw
38.7%
Draw
30.4%
Puszcza Niepołomice
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 25.2% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 24.7% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Polonia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Polonia Warsaw's form might have worsened.
  • Puszcza Niepołomice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Puszcza Niepołomice's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+14%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Polonia Warsaw, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puszcza Niepołomice than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Puszcza Niepołomice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Polonia Warsaw - Puszcza Niepołomice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.53
    (1.78)
    4.15
    (3.65)
    3.84
    (4)
    -21.6%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Polonia Warsaw - Puszcza Niepołomice?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Puszcza will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Polonia: 44.1%94.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Puszcza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Polonia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Polonia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Polonia Warsaw - Puszcza Niepołomice were as follows:
    27.02.2025 Polonia Warsaw - Puszcza Niepołomice 1:2
    Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
    Latest results of Puszcza Niepołomice
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla1292137:112629
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow1264225:141122
    3Grodzisk M1263325:17821
    4Slask Wroclaw1263320:18221
    5Polonia Bytom1262419:14520
    6S. Rzeszow1262421:19220
    7Chrobry Glogow1254318:13519
    8Odra Opole1245313:14-117
    9Ruch Chorzow1244417:19-216
    10Pogon Siedlce1243515:13215
    11LKS Lodz1243517:18-115
    12Polonia Warszawa1235419:21-214
    13Legnica1242616:25-914
    14Puszcza1218311:14-311
    15Tychy1232717:26-911
    16Stal Mielec1232716:26-1011
    17Leczna1216515:24-99
    18Pruszkow1230915:30-159

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Polonia Warsaw - Puszcza Niepołomice?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app
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