Polonia Warsaw vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Division 1 Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
30/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Division 1 - Round 8
  • Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Polonia Warsaw
48.7%
Draw
23.6%
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 22.4% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 22.4% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Polonia Warsaw have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Polonia Warsaw aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.91)
    3.88
    (4.16)
    3.35
    (3.22)
    8.1%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Polonia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Polonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla760128:72118
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow742118:9914
    3Slask Wroclaw842213:13014
    4Polonia Bytom841312:11113
    5Grodzisk M732214:10411
    6Tychy832314:14011
    7LKS Lodz731312:11110
    8Legnica831413:17-410
    9Stal Mielec731310:15-510
    10Chrobry Glogow723211:929
    11Pogon Siedlce72327:529
    12Ruch Chorzow72329:819
    13Polonia Warszawa723212:13-19
    14S. Rzeszow72239:13-48
    15Odra Opole72235:9-48
    16Puszcza70527:9-25
    17Leczna70529:13-45
    18Pruszkow71068:25-173

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app
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