Polonia Warsaw vs Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Division 1 Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Result
2:1
30/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Division 1 - Round 8
  • Referee: Kuzma L. (Pol)
Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
43
Corner Kicks
104
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
69
Corner Kicks
104
Offsides
42
Free Kicks
1314
Throw-ins
1117
Fouls
1111
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Durmus I. , Dadok R. (A),
  • 19', Adkonis J. 🟨,
  • 25', 2 - 0, Dadok R. , Skrabb S. (A),
  • 35', 2 - 1, Adamski R. , Kargulewicz K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Wojciechowski O. , Piotrowski B. ,
  • 57', Jaron D. , Korczakowski I. ,
  • 60', Poczobut B. 🟨,
  • 63', Salihu H. 🟨,
  • 72', Dadok R. , Vega D. ,
  • 72', Szczepaniak M. , Gieroba S. ,
  • 72', Kargulewicz K. , Jedrasik J. ,
  • 76', Salihu H. , Grudniewski M. ,
  • 80', Olewinski O. , Wypart O. ,
  • 80', Adkonis J. , Lis J. ,
  • 82', Brasido D. , Mlynski M. ,
  • 82', Skrabb S. , Gnaase D. ,

Chances of winning


Polonia Warsaw
48.7%
Draw
23.6%
Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 22.4% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 22.4% 28.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Polonia Warsaw have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Polonia Warsaw aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.91
    (1.91)
    3.88
    (4.16)
    3.35
    (3.22)
    8.1%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Polonia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Grodzisk Mazowiecki will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grodzisk Mazowiecki (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Grodzisk Mazowiecki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Polonia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Polonia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Polonia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    Latest results of Polonia Warsaw
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla861130:92119
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow852120:91117
    3Slask Wroclaw952215:13217
    4Polonia Bytom951314:12216
    5Grodzisk M1043320:16415
    6S. Rzeszow1042415:15014
    7Chrobry Glogow934213:10313
    8Ruch Chorzow934213:11213
    9Polonia Warszawa934215:15013
    10Odra Opole1034310:13-313
    11Pogon Siedlce93339:7212
    12LKS Lodz932414:14011
    13Tychy932415:16-111
    14Legnica932414:18-411
    15Stal Mielec1032513:21-811
    16Puszcza90637:11-46
    17Leczna906312:20-86
    18Pruszkow91088:27-193

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Polonia Warsaw - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 3, TVP Sport app
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