Polissya Zhytomyr vs Paksi SE: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

07/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Futbal Tatran Aréna (Prešov).

: Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals
Referee: Ostling J. (Swe)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.23	0.94
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
14	10
Shots on target
8	2
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
5	6
Passes
88% (466/532)	76% (292/383)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23	0.94
xG on target (xGOT)
3.31	0.56
Total shots
14	10
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
8	9
Shots outside the Box
6	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
5	6
Touches in opposition box
33	29
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
11	12
Passes
88% (466/532)	76% (292/383)
Long passes
69% (52/75)	41% (28/68)
Passes in final third
78% (102/130)	64% (76/118)
Crosses
16% (3/19)	25% (7/28)
Expected assists (xA)
2.22	1.53
Throw-ins
14	33
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
69% (9/13)	58% (7/12)
Duels won
48	50
Clearances
37	21
Interceptions
6	3
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	5
xGOT faced
0.56	3.31
Goals prevented
0.56	0.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
27', Sarapiy E. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Andriyevski O. ⚽, Krushynskyi B. (A),
45+1', 2 - 0, Beskorovaynyi D. ⚽, Lednev B. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Balogh B. ↓, Osvath A. ↑,
46', Haraszti Z. ↓, Hahn J. ↑,
49', Krushynskyi B. 🟨,
58', 3 - 0, Lednev B. ⚽, Krushynskyi B. (A),
64', Filippov O. ↓, Gayduchyk M. ↑,
64', Krushynskyi B. ↓, Nazarenko O. ↑,
64', Toth B. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
71', Hinora K. ↓, Horvath K. ↑,
78', Lednev B. ↓, Yosefi T. ↑,
78', Andriyevski O. ↓, Talles Costa ↑,
81', Papp K. ↓, Szekszardi M. ↑,
88', Kravchenko M. ↓, Hadroj A. ↑,
90+2', Mykhaylichenko B. 🟥,
90+5', Kinyik A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Polissya Zhytomyr
42.2%

Draw
27.8%

Paksi SE
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

28.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

28.3%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Polissya Zhytomyr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Polissya Zhytomyr's performance.

Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paksi SE might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polissya Zhytomyr than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Polissya Zhytomyr that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paksi SE could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Polissya Zhytomyr - Paksi SE Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.65)	3.36 ↑ (3.25)	3.12 ↑ (2.55)	6.7% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Polissya Zhytomyr - Paksi SE?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Polissya will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Paks will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Polissya: 25.5% – 74.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Polissya (votes: 2 - 50%). Paks (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

1st leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Futbal Tatran Aréna.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Paks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Polissya has had a series of away games.
Polissya might have a minor edge in this game.
Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

How many head-to-head matches has Polissya Zhytomyr won against Paksi SE?

Polissya Zhytomyr has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Paksi SE won against Polissya Zhytomyr?

Paksi SE has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Polissya Zhytomyr - Paksi SE were as follows:

Latest results of Polissya Zhytomyr

03.08.2025 Karpaty Lviv - Polissya Zhytomyr 0:2 ✺

31.07.2025 FC Santa Coloma - Polissya Zhytomyr 1:4 ✺

24.07.2025 Polissya Zhytomyr - FC Santa Coloma 1:2 ✺

16.07.2025 Puskás Academy - Polissya Zhytomyr 1:1 ✺

12.07.2025 Sturm Graz - Polissya Zhytomyr 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Paksi SE

03.08.2025 Kisvárda - Paksi SE 1:5 ✺

31.07.2025 Maribor - Paksi SE 1:1 ✺

27.07.2025 Paksi SE - Győri ETO 3:3 ✺

24.07.2025 Paksi SE - Maribor 1:0 ✺

17.07.2025 CFR Cluj - Paksi SE 3:0 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

13	Vikingur	Bye
15	Zalgiris	Bye
16	Bye	Linfield
21	Buducnost	Bye
22	Bye	Milsami
24	Bye	Virtus
29	TNS	Bye
30	Bye	Differdange
31	Levadia	Bye
32	Bye	Iberia 1999
33	O. Ljubljana	Bye
34	Bye	Inter Escaldes
35	Din. Minsk	Bye
36	Bye	Egnatia
41	Strasbourg	Bye
45	Vllaznia	BFC Daugavpils	4 : 2, 0 : 1
46	Malisheva	Vikingur Reykjavik	0 : 8, 0 : 1
47	HB Torshavn	Bye
48	Bye	Brondby
49	Silkeborg	Bye
50	Bye	KA Akureyri
51	Novi Pazar	Bye
52	Bye	Jagiellonia
53	Zira	Bye
54	Bye	Hajduk Split
55	Atletic Escaldes	Dudelange	3 : 2, 2 : 0
56	Bye	Dinamo Tirana
65	Anderlecht	Bye
68	Bye	Sheriff Tiraspol
69	Aris	Bye
70	Bye	Puskas Academy
71	AEK Athens FC	Bye
72	Bye	H. Beer Sheva
73	Viking	Bye
74	Zeljeznicar	Koper	1 : 3, 1 : 1
75	Cherno More	Bye
76	Bye	Basaksehir
77	FK Sarajevo	Bye
78	Bye	Univ. Craiova
79	Hibernians	Bye
80	Bye	Trnava
81	Crystal Palace	Bye
89	Lugano	Bye
92	Bye	Celje
93	Ostrava	Bye
95	Austria Vienna	Bye
96	Bye	Spaeri
97	Rakow	Bye
98	Bye	Zilina
99	Zhodino	Rabotnicki	1 : 0, 3 : 0
100	Bye	Maccabi Haifa
101	Kauno Zalgiris	Penybont	1 : 1, 3 : 0
102	Valur	Flora	2 : 1, 3 : 0
103	Arda	Bye
104	NSI Runavik	HJK	0 : 5, 4 : 0
105	Oleksandriya	Bye
106	Bye	Partizan
108	Bye	Hibernian
113	Levski Sofia	Bye
115	Birkirkara	Petrocub	0 : 3, 1 : 0
116	Bye	Sabah Baku
117	Ilves	Bye
118	Bye	AZ Alkmaar
119	Vaduz	Bye
120	Bye	Dungannon
121	Polissya Zhytomyr	Bye
122	Borac Banja Luka	FC Santa Coloma	2 : 0, 1 : 4
123	Paks	Bye
124	Bye	Maribor
128	Bye	Fiorentina
129	AIK	Bye
130	Magpies	Paide	1 : 4, 2 : 3
131	Tre Fiori	Pyunik Yerevan	0 : 5, 1 : 0
132	Bye	Gyor
133	Decic	Sileks	1 : 2, 2 : 0
134	Bye	SK Rapid
135	Dundee Utd	Bye
136	Bye	UNA Strassen
137	Radnicki 1923	Bye
138	SJK	Klaksvik	0 : 2, 1 : 2
139	Kosice	Bye
140	Urartu	Neman	0 : 4, 1 : 2
144	Bye	Rayo Vallecano
145	La Fiorita	Vardar	2 : 2, 0 : 3
146	Bye	Lausanne
147	Zimbru Chisinau	Bye
148	Bye	FC Astana
149	St. Patricks	Hegelmann	2 : 0, 1 : 0
150	Kalju	Partizani	1 : 0, 1 : 1
152	Bye	Besiktas
153	Larne	Auda	3 : 2, 0 : 0
154	Bye	Prishtina
155	Varazdin	Bye
156	Bye	Santa Clara
157	FC Ballkani	Bye
158	Floriana	Haverfordwest	3 : 2, 2 : 1
159	St Josephs	Cliftonville	3 : 2, 2 : 2
160	Bye	Shamrock Rovers
161	Rosenborg	Bye
162	Bye	Banga
163	Hammarby	Bye
164	Bye	Charleroi
168	Bye	Mainz
169	Aktobe	Bye
170	Bye	Sparta Prague
171	Ararat-Armenia	Bye
172	Bye	U. Cluj
173	Riga FC	Bye
174	Racing Luxembourg	Dila Gori	0 : 1, 1 : 2
175	Sutjeska	Dynamo Brest	2 : 0, 1 : 2
176	Bye	Beitar Jerusalem
189	Araz	Bye
190	Bye	Aris
191	Omonia	Bye
192	Torpedo Kutaisi	Ordabasy	1 : 1, 4 : 3

Quarter-finals

7	Vikingur	Bye
8	Zalgiris	Linfield	0 : 2, 0 : 0
11	Buducnost	Milsami	1 : 2, 0 : 0
12	Bye	Virtus
15	TNS	Differdange	0 : 1, 0 : 1
16	Levadia	Iberia 1999	2 : 2, 1 : 0
17	O. Ljubljana	Inter Escaldes	1 : 1, 4 : 2
18	Din. Minsk	Egnatia	0 : 1, 0 : 2
21	Strasbourg	Bye
23	Vllaznia	Vikingur Reykjavik	2 : 4, 2 : 1
24	HB Torshavn	Brondby	0 : 1, 1 : 1
25	Silkeborg	KA Akureyri	3 : 2, 1 : 1
26	Novi Pazar	Jagiellonia	1 : 3, 1 : 2
27	Zira	Hajduk Split	1 : 2, 1 : 1
28	Atletic Escaldes	Dinamo Tirana	1 : 1, 1 : 2
33	Anderlecht	Bye
34	Bye	Sheriff Tiraspol
35	Aris	Puskas Academy	2 : 0, 3 : 2
36	AEK Athens FC	H. Beer Sheva	0 : 0, 1 : 0
37	Viking	Koper	5 : 3, 7 : 0
38	Cherno More	Basaksehir	0 : 4, 0 : 1
39	FK Sarajevo	Univ. Craiova	0 : 4, 2 : 1
40	Hibernians	Trnava	1 : 5, 1 : 2
41	Crystal Palace	Bye
45	Lugano	Bye
46	Bye	Celje
47	Ostrava	Bye
48	Austria Vienna	Spaeri	5 : 0, 2 : 0
49	Rakow	Zilina	3 : 1, 3 : 0
50	Zhodino	Maccabi Haifa	0 : 3, 1 : 1
51	Kauno Zalgiris	Valur	2 : 1, 1 : 1
52	Arda	HJK	3 : 2, 0 : 0
53	Oleksandriya	Partizan	0 : 4, 0 : 2
54	Bye	Hibernian
57	Levski Sofia	Bye
58	Petrocub	Sabah Baku	1 : 4, 0 : 2
59	Ilves	AZ Alkmaar	0 : 5, 4 : 3
60	Vaduz	Dungannon	3 : 0, 0 : 1
61	Polissya Zhytomyr	FC Santa Coloma	4 : 1, 1 : 2
62	Paks	Maribor	1 : 1, 1 : 0
64	Bye	Fiorentina
65	AIK	Paide	6 : 0, 2 : 0
66	Pyunik Yerevan	Gyor	1 : 3, 2 : 1
67	Decic	SK Rapid	2 : 4, 0 : 2
68	Dundee Utd	UNA Strassen	1 : 0, 1 : 0
69	Radnicki 1923	Klaksvik	0 : 1, 0 : 0
70	Kosice	Neman	1 : 1, 2 : 3
72	Bye	Rayo Vallecano
73	Vardar	Lausanne	0 : 5, 2 : 1
74	Zimbru Chisinau	FC Astana	0 : 2, 1 : 1
75	St. Patricks	Kalju	2 : 2, 1 : 0
76	Bye	Besiktas
77	Larne	Prishtina	2 : 1, 0 : 0
78	Varazdin	Santa Clara	0 : 2, 2 : 1
79	FC Ballkani	Floriana	1 : 1, 4 : 2
80	St Josephs	Shamrock Rovers	0 : 0, 0 : 4
81	Rosenborg	Banga	2 : 0, 5 : 0
82	Hammarby	Charleroi	2 : 1, 0 : 0
84	Bye	Mainz
85	Aktobe	Sparta Prague	0 : 4, 2 : 1
86	Ararat-Armenia	U. Cluj	2 : 1, 0 : 0
87	Riga FC	Dila Gori	3 : 3, 2 : 1
88	Sutjeska	Beitar Jerusalem	2 : 5, 1 : 2
95	Araz	Aris	2 : 2, 2 : 1
96	Omonia	Torpedo Kutaisi	4 : 0, 1 : 0

Semi-finals

4	Vikingur	Linfield	2 : 1
6	Milsami	Virtus	3 : 2
8	Differdange	Levadia	2 : 3
9	O. Ljubljana	Egnatia	0 : 0
11	Strasbourg	Bye
12	Vikingur Reykjavik	Brondby	3 : 0
13	Silkeborg	Jagiellonia	0 : 1
14	Hajduk Split	Dinamo Tirana	2 : 1
17	Anderlecht	Sheriff Tiraspol	3 : 0
18	Aris	AEK Athens FC	2 : 2
19	Viking	Basaksehir	1 : 3
20	Univ. Craiova	Trnava	3 : 0
21	Crystal Palace	Bye
23	Lugano	Celje	0 : 5
24	Ostrava	Austria Vienna	4 : 3
25	Rakow	Maccabi Haifa	0 : 1
26	Kauno Zalgiris	Arda	0 : 1
27	Partizan	Hibernian	0 : 2
29	Levski Sofia	Sabah Baku	1 : 0
30	AZ Alkmaar	Vaduz	3 : 0
31	Polissya Zhytomyr	Paks	3 : 0
32	Bye	Fiorentina
33	AIK	Gyor	2 : 1
34	SK Rapid	Dundee Utd	2 : 2
35	Klaksvik	Neman	2 : 0
36	Bye	Rayo Vallecano
37	Lausanne	FC Astana	3 : 1
38	St. Patricks	Besiktas	1 : 4
39	Larne	Santa Clara	0 : 3
40	FC Ballkani	Shamrock Rovers	1 : 0
41	Rosenborg	Hammarby	0 : 0
42	Bye	Mainz
43	Sparta Prague	Ararat-Armenia	4 : 1
44	Riga FC	Beitar Jerusalem	3 : 0
48	Araz	Omonia	0 : 4

Final

2	Bye	TBD #4
3	Bye	TBD #6
4	Bye	TBD #8
5	TBD #9	Bye
6	Strasbourg	TBD #12
7	TBD #13	TBD #14
9	TBD #17	TBD #18
10	TBD #19	TBD #20
11	Crystal Palace	Bye
12	TBD #23	TBD #24
13	TBD #25	TBD #26
14	TBD #27	Bye
15	TBD #29	TBD #30
16	TBD #31	Fiorentina
17	TBD #33	TBD #34
18	TBD #35	Rayo Vallecano
19	TBD #37	TBD #38
20	TBD #39	TBD #40
21	TBD #41	Mainz
22	TBD #43	TBD #44
24	Bye	TBD #48

Which TV channels are streaming of Polissya Zhytomyr - Paksi SE?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Hungary	Duna World / M4 Sport +, M4 Sport