Poland vs Belgium, EuroBasket: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Basketball EuroBasket Poland - Belgium
Result
69:70
04/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EuroBasket - Round 5
Poland - Belgium - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
5955
Field Goals Made
2323
Field Goals %
39%41.8%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3428
2-Point Field Goals Made
1912
2-Point Field Goals %
55.9%42.9%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2527
3-Point Field Goals Made
411
3-Point Field Goals %
16%40.7%
Free Throws Attempted
2420
Free Throws Made
1913
Free Throws %
79.2%65%
Offensive Rebounds
109
Defensive Rebounds
2124
Total Rebounds
3133
Assists
1917
Blocks
26
Turnovers
1010
Steals
54
Personal Fouls
2624

Highlights

Chances of winning


Poland
81.3%
Belgium
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.8% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3% 32.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Poland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Poland's performance.
  • Belgium has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Belgium might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poland than the current prediction. (-14%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Poland that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgium than the current prediction. (+14%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Belgium could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Poland - Belgium Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.2
    (1.38)

    5.05
    (2.9)
    3.4%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 155.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
  • What is the prediction for Poland - Belgium?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Poland will win (votes: 5 - 25%). Belgium will win (votes: 15 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Belgium: 56%94%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Belgium will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 84:72.
  • Preview Facts
    • Poland is Qualified for EuroBasket (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Recent performances by Poland have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Belgium is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Poland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Poland is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poland won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 280:235. (average 56:47).
    Latest results of Poland
    02.09.2025 France - Poland 83:76
    31.08.2025 Poland - Iceland 84:75
    30.08.2025 Poland - Israel 66:64
    28.08.2025 Slovenia - Poland 95:105
    21.08.2025 Finland - Poland 106:87
    Latest results of Belgium
    02.09.2025 Belgium - Israel 89:92
    31.08.2025 Slovenia - Belgium 86:69
    30.08.2025 Iceland - Belgium 64:71
    28.08.2025 Belgium - France 64:92
    Draw
    Final tournament

    1/8-finals
    1Lithuania (B2)Latvia (A3)88 : 79
    2Greece (C1)Israel (D4)84 : 79
    3Turkey (A1)Sweden (B4)85 : 79
    4Poland (D2)Bosnia & Herzegovina (C3)80 : 72
    5Germany (B1)Portugal (A4)85 : 58
    6Italy (C2)Slovenia (D3)77 : 84
    7Serbia (A2)Finland (B3)86 : 92
    8France (D1)Georgia (C4)70 : 80

    Quarter-finals
    1Lithuania (B2)Greece (C1)76 : 87
    2Turkey (A1)Poland (D2)91 : 77
    3Germany (B1)Slovenia (D3)99 : 91
    4Finland (B3)Georgia (C4)93 : 79

    Semi-finals
    1Greece (C1)Turkey (A1)
    2Germany (B1)Finland (B3)98 : 86

    Final
    1TBD #1Germany (B1)

    3rd place
    2ByeFinland (B3)
    Which TV channels are streaming of Poland - Belgium?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    belgiumBelgiumSporza, Sporza, VRT Canvas
    croatiaCroatiaSportKlub
    finlandFinlandRuutu+
    franceFrancebeIN Sports MAX 4
    germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
    greeceGreeceNova Sports 4
    italyItalyDAZN Italia
    polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 1, TVP Sport
    serbiaSerbiaSportklub
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV
    worldWorldCourt Side 1891
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