Result
2:1
03/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ekstraklasa - Round 11
- Referee: Sylwestrzak D. (Pol)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.09 | 1.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (328/392) | 87% (396/455) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.09 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.14 | 1.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 46 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (328/392) | 87% (396/455) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (25/42) | 55% (21/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (72/104) | 69% (63/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 44% (4/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.06 | 3.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 1.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 29', Twumasi E. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Ndiaye M. ⚽, Greenwood S. (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, Barkovskiy G. ⚽, Juande (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Tomasiewicz G. ↓, Lewicki J. ↑,
- 46', Loncar D. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
- 69', Lokilo J. ↓, Jirka E. ↑,
- 69', Twumasi E. ↓, Mokwa T. ↑,
- 74', Molnar R. ↓, Przyborek A. ↑,
- 74', Ali H. 🟨,
- 79', Juwara M. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, Grosicki K. (Pen),
- 90', Felix J. ↓, Vallejo H. ↑,
- 90+1', Chrapek M. ↓, Lesniak O. ↑,
- 90+1', Grosicki K. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
- 90+2', Kostorz K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pogoń Szczecin
50.6% | Draw
26.4% | Piast Gliwice
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)Piast Gliwice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Piast Gliwice might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Piast Gliwice than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.03) |
3.73 ↑
(3.6) |
4.4 ↑
(3.26) |
1.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Piast will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pogoń Szczecin: 59.8% – 94.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pogoń Szczecin will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 2.
- In recent matches, Pogoń Szczecin has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Piast is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Piast may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Pogoń Szczecin will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges
(Injury)
- There will not play in Piast: Dalmau A.
(Red Card)
Katsantonis A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 0.6:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.7:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Piast Gliwice?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Piast Gliwice won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Piast Gliwice has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice were as follows:
13.04.2025
Piast Gliwice
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:1
26.02.2025
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Piast Gliwice
2:0
06.10.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Piast Gliwice
1:0
26.06.2024
Piast Gliwice
-
Pogoń Szczecin
1:0
20.04.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Piast Gliwice
0:2
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Latest results of Piast Gliwice
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 22 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Legia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Rakow | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Zaglebie | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 21:16 | 5 | 13 |
| 11 | Widzew Lodz | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17:15 | 2 | 13 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 12 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Termalica B-B | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:22 | -11 | 8 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:26 | -7 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Which TV channels are streaming of Pogoń Szczecin - Piast Gliwice?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
