Pogoń Szczecin vs Lechia Gdańsk: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

17/05/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera (Szczecin).

: Ekstraklasa - Round 33
Referee: Gryckiewicz P. (Pol)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.99	1.19
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
17	11
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
6	4
Passes
79% (285/361)	84% (400/475)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99	1.19
xG on target (xGOT)
1.10	1.58
Total shots
17	11
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
9	3
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
11	6
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
20	32
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free Kicks
4	8
Passes
79% (285/361)	84% (400/475)
Long passes
59% (30/51)	48% (21/44)
Passes in final third
61% (60/98)	78% (121/156)
Crosses
47% (7/15)	15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.84	1.31
Throw-ins
23	14
Fouls
8	4
Tackles
71% (10/14)	88% (7/8)
Duels won
33	32
Clearances
21	21
Interceptions
8	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	0
xGOT faced
1.58	1.10
Goals prevented
-1.42	-0.90

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Sezonienko K. ⚽, Kapic R. (A),
31', Wahlqvist L. 🟨,
32', 1 - 1, Olsson E. (Own goal),
39', 1 - 2, Zhelizko I. ⚽, Mena C. (A),
45+1', 2 - 2, Ulvestad F. ⚽, Przyborek A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kurzawa R. ↓, Smolinski K. ↑,
54', Przyborek A. 🟨,
55', Gamboa J. ↓, Lukasiak K. ↑,
65', Pllana B. 🟨,
68', Luizao 🟨,
69', Kapic R. 🟨,
69', Ulvestad F. 🟨,
72', 3 - 2, Koulouris E. ⚽, Grosicki K. (A),
79', Sezonienko K. ↓, Glogowski M. ↑,
79', Viunnyk B. ↓, Wendt K. ↑,
79', Khlan M. ↓, Tsarenko A. ↑,
79', Mena C. ↓, Wojtowicz T. ↑,
84', Przyborek A. ↓, Lis J. ↑,
86', 3 - 3, Glogowski M. ⚽, Kapic R. (A),
90+4', Koutris L. ↓, Lisowski W. ↑,
90+4', Grosicki K. ↓, Klukowski A. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Pogoń Szczecin
63.1%

Draw
20.8%

Lechia Gdańsk
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

24.4%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

26%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Szczecin's performance.

Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.7)	4.51 ↑ (3.9)	5.76 ↑ (4.9)	6.5% (4.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk?

Users Predictions: Pogoń Szczecin will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 4.
Pogoń Szczecin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Lechia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Lechia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Pogoń Szczecin is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Lechia: Bobcek T. (Muscle Injury) Kardas A. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Lechia: Sarnavskyi B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 1.7:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Lechia Gdańsk?

Pogoń Szczecin has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Pogoń Szczecin?

Lechia Gdańsk has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:

23.11.2024 Lechia Gdańsk - Pogoń Szczecin 0:3

15.04.2023 Lechia Gdańsk - Pogoń Szczecin 0:1

01.10.2022 Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk 2:1

Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin

14.05.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Motor Lublin 3:0 ✺

10.05.2025 Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Szczecin 2:0 ✺

02.05.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Legia Warsaw 3:4 ✺

25.04.2025 Puszcza Niepołomice - Pogoń Szczecin 4:5 ✺

19.04.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Raków Częstochowa 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk

11.05.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce 3:2 ✺

04.05.2025 Cracovia - Lechia Gdańsk 0:2 ✺

26.04.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Piast Gliwice 3:1 ✺

21.04.2025 Legia Warsaw - Lechia Gdańsk 2:1 ✺

14.04.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Stal Mielec 3:2 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arka Gdynia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Jagiellonia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Gornik Zabrze	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Korona Kielce	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Piast Gliwice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	GKS Katowice	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Motor Lublin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Wisla Plock	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Pogon Szczecin	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Legia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Lech Poznan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Zaglebie	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Cracovia	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Widzew Lodz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Radomiak Radom	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Termalica B-B	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Rakow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Lechia Gdansk	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	-5

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1

Which TV channels are streaming of Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV
World	Onefootball