Result
3:4
21/09/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ekstraklasa - Round 9
- Referee: Kochanek M. (Pol)
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 2.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (353/408) | 77% (223/288) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.45 | 2.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.87 | 3.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 45 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (353/408) | 77% (223/288) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (27/48) | 41% (19/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (100/136) | 53% (39/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 30% (3/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.24 | 2.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.24 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 18', Kalahur M. 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 0, Molnar R. ⚽, Greenwood S. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Mena C. ⚽, Kapic R. (A),
- 39', 2 - 1, Juwara M. ⚽,
- 43', Cojocaru V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Neugebauer T. ↓, Bobcek T. ↑,
- 53', 2 - 2, Zhelizko I. ⚽,
- 60', Bieganski J. ↓, Pozo J. ↑,
- 61', Grosicki K. ↓, Mukairu P. ↑,
- 63', Wahlqvist L. 🟨,
- 68', Kapic R. (Pen),
- 78', 2 - 3, Loncar D. (Own goal),
- 80', Sezonienko K. 🟨,
- 82', Molnar R. ↓, Kostorz K. ↑,
- 82', Greenwood S. ↓, Przyborek A. ↑,
- 82', Koutris L. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
- 84', Kurminowski D. ↓, Olsson E. ↑,
- 85', Pozo J. 🟨,
- 87', Kludka B. ↓, Jaunzems A. ↑,
- 88', Viunnyk B. 🟨,
- 90+2', Viunnyk B. ↓, Sezonienko K. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 4, Sezonienko K. ⚽,
- 90+8', 3 - 4, Ulvestad F. (Pen),
- 90+8', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pogoń Szczecin
56.2% | Draw
23.1% | Lechia Gdańsk
20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pogoń Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Lechia Gdańsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (+3%)
Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.7 ↓
(1.79) |
4.42 ↑
(4) |
5.22 ↑
(3.96) |
0.5%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Pogoń Szczecin will win
(15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Pogoń Szczecin is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lechia: Pllana B.
(Inactive)
Sarnavskyi B.
(Knee Injury)
Tsarenko A.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Lechia: Kludka B.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:25. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
17.05.2025
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Lechia Gdańsk
3:3
23.11.2024
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Pogoń Szczecin
0:3
15.04.2023
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Pogoń Szczecin
0:1
01.10.2022
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Lechia Gdańsk
2:1
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 22 |
| 2 | Jagiellonia | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Legia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Rakow | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Zaglebie | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 21:16 | 5 | 13 |
| 11 | Widzew Lodz | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17:15 | 2 | 13 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 12 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Termalica B-B | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 9 |
| 16 | GKS Katowice | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:22 | -11 | 8 |
| 17 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 18 | Lechia Gdansk | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 19:26 | -7 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Which TV channels are streaming of Pogoń Szczecin - Lechia Gdańsk?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
