Result
1:1
24/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- : Ekstraklasa - Round 34
- Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
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Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.70 | 1.20 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
83% (353/427) | 66% (157/239) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.70 | 1.20 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.37 | 0.79 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
35 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
4 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
83% (353/427) | 66% (157/239) |
Long passes |
---|
57% (41/72) | 44% (27/62) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (73/109) | 40% (27/68) |
Crosses |
---|
17% (4/24) | 29% (5/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.87 | 0.75 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
89% (8/9) | 67% (10/15) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 39 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.79 | 1.37 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.21 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', Ulvestad F. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Koulouris E. ⚽, Leo Borges (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 59', Wedrychowski M. ↓, Koutris L. ↑,
- 59', Kurzawa R. ↓, Smolinski K. ↑,
- 69', Hansen K. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Wojtuszek N. ⚽,
- 72', Wahlqvist L. 🟨,
- 75', Gamboa J. ↓, Lukasiak K. ↑,
- 79', Pietuszewski O. 🟨,
- 80', Loncar D. 🟨,
- 82', Churlinov D. ↓, Villar Miki ↑,
- 85', Luizao ↓, Lisowski W. ↑,
- 85', Ulvestad F. ↓, Paryzek P. ↑,
- 89', Skrzypczak M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Smolinski K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jagiellonia Białystok 46.6% | Draw 25.3% | Pogoń Szczecin 28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.03 ↓ (2.16) |
3.69 ↑ (3.54) |
3.32 ↑ (3.12) |
6.6% (6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Jagiellonia Białystok will win
(10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Jagiellonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Jagiellonia might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Jagiellonia: Romanczuk T.
(Knee Injury)
Sacek M.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Przyborek A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Diaby-Fadiga L.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Jagiellonia Białystok won against Pogoń Szczecin?
Jagiellonia Białystok has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Jagiellonia Białystok?
Pogoń Szczecin has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
01.12.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
1:1
26.04.2024
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:2
03.04.2024
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:1
28.10.2023
Pogoń Szczecin
-
Jagiellonia Białystok
2:1
11.02.2023
Jagiellonia Białystok
-
Pogoń Szczecin
2:0
Latest results of Jagiellonia Białystok
Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Arka Gdynia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Jagiellonia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Gornik Zabrze | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Korona Kielce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Piast Gliwice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | GKS Katowice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Motor Lublin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Wisla Plock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Pogon Szczecin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Legia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Lech Poznan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Zaglebie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Cracovia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Widzew Lodz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Radomiak Radom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Termalica B-B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Rakow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
Which TV channels are streaming of Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
| |
---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport 4, Ekstraklasa TV |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
World | Onefootball |