Jagiellonia Białystok vs Pogoń Szczecin: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Ekstraklasa Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin
Result
1:1
24/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Ekstraklasa - Round 34
  • Referee: Myc W. (Pol)
Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.701.20
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
83% (353/427)66% (157/239)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
0.701.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.370.79
Total shots
178
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
3522
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
1514
Passes
83% (353/427)66% (157/239)
Long passes
57% (41/72)44% (27/62)
Passes in final third
67% (73/109)40% (27/68)
Crosses
17% (4/24)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.75
Throw-ins
1720
Fouls
1415
Tackles
89% (8/9)67% (10/15)
Duels won
4253
Clearances
2339
Interceptions
105
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.791.37
Goals prevented
-0.210.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 27', Ulvestad F. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Koulouris E. , Leo Borges (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 59', Wedrychowski M. , Koutris L. ,
  • 59', Kurzawa R. , Smolinski K. ,
  • 69', Hansen K. , Pietuszewski O. ,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Wojtuszek N. ,
  • 72', Wahlqvist L. 🟨,
  • 75', Gamboa J. , Lukasiak K. ,
  • 79', Pietuszewski O. 🟨,
  • 80', Loncar D. 🟨,
  • 82', Churlinov D. , Villar Miki ,
  • 85', Luizao , Lisowski W. ,
  • 85', Ulvestad F. , Paryzek P. ,
  • 89', Skrzypczak M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Smolinski K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Jagiellonia Białystok
46.6%
Draw
25.3%
Pogoń Szczecin
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 26.5% 30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 27.3% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jagiellonia Białystok has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.16)
    3.69
    (3.54)
    3.32
    (3.12)
    6.6%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Jagiellonia (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Pogoń Szczecin (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Users Predictions: Jagiellonia Białystok will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Jagiellonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Jagiellonia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Jagiellonia: Romanczuk T. (Knee Injury) Sacek M. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Przyborek A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Jagiellonia: Diaby-Fadiga L. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jagiellonia won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jagiellonia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:1
    26.04.2024 Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin 2:2
    03.04.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:1
    28.10.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok 2:1
    11.02.2023 Jagiellonia Białystok - Pogoń Szczecin 2:0
    Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arka Gdynia00000:000
    2Jagiellonia00000:000
    3Gornik Zabrze00000:000
    4Korona Kielce00000:000
    5Piast Gliwice00000:000
    6GKS Katowice00000:000
    7Motor Lublin00000:000
    8Wisla Plock00000:000
    9Pogon Szczecin00000:000
    10Legia00000:000
    11Lech Poznan00000:000
    12Zaglebie00000:000
    13Cracovia00000:000
    14Widzew Lodz00000:000
    15Radomiak Radom00000:000
    16Termalica B-B00000:000
    17Rakow00000:000
    18Lechia Gdansk00000:00-5

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1

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