Chełmianka Chełm vs Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Polish Division 3 - Group IV Chełmianka Chełm - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Result
3:4
30/05/2025 at 13:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : III Liga - Group IV - Round 33
Chełmianka Chełm - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Majda O. ,
  • 42', 0 - 2, Imiela A. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 53', 1 - 2, Kobialka M. ,
  • 74', 2 - 2, Karbownik J. ,
  • 81', 3 - 2, Kroczek D. ,
  • 85', 3 - 3, Bystrek O. ,
  • 90', 3 - 4, Grabowski M. ,

Chances of winning


Chełmianka Chełm
50.8%
Draw
22.4%
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.1% 20.7% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5% 18% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chełmianka Chełm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chełmianka Chełm's form might have worsened.
  • Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Chełmianka Chełm - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.8
    (1.57)
    4.07
    (4.4)
    3.4
    (4.31)
    9.6%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation).
    • In recent matches, Chełmianka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Lubaczów has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Chełmianka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chełmianka won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chełmianka Chełm - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Chełmianka Chełm 1:6
    Polish Division 3 - Group IV Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski651014:5916
    2Avia Swidnik650113:5815
    3Chelmianka Chelm650113:8515
    4Wislanie Skawina640215:14112
    5Biala Podlaska631212:10210
    6Korona Kielce II631211:11010
    7Star Starachowice622210:1008
    8Cracovia II62229:12-38
    9Lubaczow622213:1038
    10Stal Krasnik621310:917
    11Sparta Kazimierza Wielka621311:12-17
    12Kolbuszowa Dolna62138:9-17
    13Wisloka Debica61329:906
    14Naprzod Jedrzejow61329:10-16
    15Wisla II620411:18-76
    16Siarka Tarnobrzeg61237:12-55
    17Czarni Polaniec61055:11-63
    18Swidniczanka Swidnik60247:12-52

          Promotion ~ Division 2
          Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

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