Górnik Łęczna vs Pogoń Siedlce: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Polish Division 1 Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce
Result
1:1
21/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Division 1 - Round 6
  • Referee: Karski L. (Pol)
Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
178
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
136
Corner Kicks
75
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1517
Throw-ins
1313
Fouls
1612
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 41', 0 - 1, Flis M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', 1 - 1, Doba S. ,
  • 53', Szuprytowski D. , Zielonka N. ,
  • 60', Ogaga D. 🟨,
  • 72', Kryeziu E. , Traore S. ,
  • 72', Tkacz D. , Deja A. ,
  • 76', Jakubik D. 🟨,
  • 81', Demianiuk C. , Rybak A. ,
  • 81', Spacil B. , Orlik K. ,
  • 87', Famulak M. , Misiak P. ,
  • 87', Misiak P. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Górnik Łęczna
34.4%
Draw
28.3%
Pogoń Siedlce
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 29.4% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 28.5% 31.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Górnik Łęczna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Górnik Łęczna's form might have worsened.
  • Pogoń Siedlce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogoń Siedlce's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Łęczna than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Siedlce than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogoń Siedlce, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (2.29)
    3.32
    (3.13)
    2.56
    (3)
    6.3%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Pogoń Siedlce will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Górnik Łęczna: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Górnik Łęczna (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Pogoń Siedlce (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 3.
    • Recent form of Górnik Łęczna has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Pogoń Siedlce's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Górnik Łęczna won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Łęczna won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce were as follows:
    02.05.2025 Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce 1:3
    26.10.2024 Pogoń Siedlce - Górnik Łęczna 1:1
    28.02.2023 Pogoń Siedlce - Górnik Łęczna 0:1
    Latest results of Górnik Łęczna
    Latest results of Pogoń Siedlce
    Polish Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla971132:102222
    2KS Wieczysta Krakow1063124:111321
    3Slask Wroclaw1163219:16321
    4Polonia Bytom1061318:12619
    5S. Rzeszow1152418:17117
    6Chrobry Glogow1144316:12416
    7Ruch Chorzow1144317:16116
    8Grodzisk M1043320:16415
    9Pogon Siedlce1143414:11315
    10Polonia Warszawa1135317:18-114
    11Odra Opole1135311:14-314
    12Legnica1142516:23-714
    13LKS Lodz1033414:14012
    14Tychy1132616:23-711
    15Stal Mielec1132615:24-911
    16Puszcza1117310:13-310
    17Leczna1106513:24-116
    18Pruszkow1120913:29-166

          Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Division 2

    Which TV channels are streaming of Górnik Łęczna - Pogoń Siedlce?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
    polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app
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