Swansea City vs Plymouth Argyle: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle
Result
2:1 penalties
26/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.441.09
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
86% (494/572)77% (221/288)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.441.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.041.31
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
66
Shots inside the Box
912
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
2118
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
614
Passes
86% (494/572)77% (221/288)
Long passes
56% (33/59)50% (36/72)
Passes in final third
72% (84/117)63% (50/80)
Crosses
14% (3/21)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.571.06
Throw-ins
2014
Fouls
156
Tackles
69% (11/16)68% (13/19)
Duels won
3959
Clearances
2019
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.311.04
Goals prevented
0.310.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Vipotnik Z. , Stamenic M. (A),
  • 45', 1 - 1, Wiredu B. , Sorinola M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Eom J. , Key J. ,
  • 62', Burgess C. , Cabango B. ,
  • 62', Stamenic M. , Galbraith E. ,
  • 62', Inoussa Z. , Yalcouye M. ,
  • 65', Ibrahim B. , Watts C. ,
  • 65', Oseni O. , Tolaj L. ,
  • 70', Casey K. , Cullen L. ,
  • 71', Finn T. , Issaka F. ,
  • 72', Hatch J. , Mumba B. ,
  • 76', Roberts C. 🟨,
  • 80', Fulton J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Pepple A. , Boateng M. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 3)
  • 1, Vipotnik Z. (Pen),
  • 1, Tolaj L. (Pen),
  • 2, Galbraith E. (Pen),
  • 2, Sorinola M. (Pen),
  • 3, Cullen L. (Pen),
  • 3, Watts C. (Pen),
  • 4, Cabango B. (Pen),
  • 4, Mumba B. (Pen),
  • 5, Widell M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Swansea City
64.8%
Draw
21.4%
Plymouth Argyle
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 25.1% 19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 22.5% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swansea City's performance.
  • Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Plymouth Argyle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Swansea City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plymouth Argyle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.71)
    4.52
    (3.75)
    7.11
    (4.72)
    3.6%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: Swansea City will win (38 of 38 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Swansea City will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Swansea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Swansea has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Swansea is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Hazard C. (Knee Injury) Issaka F. (Thigh Injury) MacKenzie J. (Inactive) Paterson J. (Inactive) Pleguezuelo J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Swansea: Lissah F. (Inactive) Santos R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: Amaechi X. (Injury) Galloway B. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:6. (average 2.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle 3:0
    10.12.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Swansea City 1:2
    03.02.2024 Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle 0:1
    07.10.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Swansea City 1:3
    Latest results of Swansea City
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    6PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    8ByeNottingham
    9TranmereBurton1 : 2
    10HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    12ByeChelsea
    13TottenhamBye
    15AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    16MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    17BournemouthBye
    18ByeBrentford
    20ByeAston Villa
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25LiverpoolBye
    27WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    28NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    29NewcastleBye
    31StokeWalsall1 : 0
    32BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    33BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    34ByeLeeds
    35GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    36ByeManchester Utd
    37WolvesBye
    38ByeWest Ham
    39EvertonBye
    40ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    41Crystal PalaceBye
    43NewportMillwall0 : 1
    44CoventryLuton1 : 0
    45BurnleyBye
    46West BromDerby1 : 2
    47CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    48CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    49BarrowPreston0 : 1
    50WrexhamHull4 : 3
    51PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    52GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    53WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    54Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    55BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    56Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    57BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    58SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    59Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    60ByeBrighton
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    4ByeNottingham
    5BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    6ByeChelsea
    7TottenhamBye
    8AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    9BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    10ByeAston Villa
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13LiverpoolBye
    14NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    15NewcastleBye
    16StokeBradford City0 : 3
    17Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    18GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    19WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    20EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    21Crystal PalaceBye
    22MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    23BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    24CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    25PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    26ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    27WiganStockport County1 : 0
    28BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    29BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    30Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal
    2SwanseaNottingham
    3LincolnChelsea
    4TottenhamDoncaster
    5BrentfordAston Villa
    6HuddersfieldManchester City
    7LiverpoolSouthampton
    8NewcastleBradford City
    9Sheffield WedGrimsby
    10WolvesEverton
    11Crystal PalaceMillwall
    12BurnleyCardiff
    13WrexhamReading
    14WiganWycombe
    15BarnsleyBrighton
    16FulhamCambridge Utd
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