Swansea City vs Plymouth Argyle: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle
Result
2:1 penalties
26/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Bell E. (Eng)
Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.441.09
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
86% (494/572)77% (221/288)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.441.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.041.31
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
66
Shots inside the Box
912
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
2118
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
614
Passes
86% (494/572)77% (221/288)
Long passes
56% (33/59)50% (36/72)
Passes in final third
72% (84/117)63% (50/80)
Crosses
14% (3/21)37% (7/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.571.06
Throw-ins
2014
Fouls
156
Tackles
69% (11/16)68% (13/19)
Duels won
3959
Clearances
2019
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.311.04
Goals prevented
0.310.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Vipotnik Z. , Stamenic M. (A),
  • 45', 1 - 1, Wiredu B. , Sorinola M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Eom J. , Key J. ,
  • 62', Burgess C. , Cabango B. ,
  • 62', Stamenic M. , Galbraith E. ,
  • 62', Inoussa Z. , Yalcouye M. ,
  • 65', Ibrahim B. , Watts C. ,
  • 65', Oseni O. , Tolaj L. ,
  • 70', Casey K. , Cullen L. ,
  • 71', Finn T. , Issaka F. ,
  • 72', Hatch J. , Mumba B. ,
  • 76', Roberts C. 🟨,
  • 80', Fulton J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Pepple A. , Boateng M. ,
  • Penalties (5 - 3)
  • 1, Vipotnik Z. (Pen),
  • 1, Tolaj L. (Pen),
  • 2, Galbraith E. (Pen),
  • 2, Sorinola M. (Pen),
  • 3, Cullen L. (Pen),
  • 3, Watts C. (Pen),
  • 4, Cabango B. (Pen),
  • 4, Mumba B. (Pen),
  • 5, Widell M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Swansea City
64.8%
Draw
21.4%
Plymouth Argyle
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 25.1% 19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 22.5% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swansea City's performance.
  • Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Plymouth Argyle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-15.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Swansea City that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Plymouth Argyle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.71)
    4.52
    (3.75)
    7.11
    (4.72)
    3.6%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: Swansea City will win (38 of 38 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Swansea City will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Swansea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Swansea has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Swansea is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Hazard C. (Knee Injury) Issaka F. (Thigh Injury) MacKenzie J. (Inactive) Paterson J. (Inactive) Pleguezuelo J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Swansea: Lissah F. (Inactive) Santos R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: Amaechi X. (Injury) Galloway B. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 19:6. (average 2.4:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    09.04.2025 Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle 3:0
    10.12.2024 Plymouth Argyle - Swansea City 1:2
    03.02.2024 Swansea City - Plymouth Argyle 0:1
    07.10.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Swansea City 1:3
    Latest results of Swansea City
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    4ByeArsenal
    5BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    6SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    7Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    8ByeBrighton
    9BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    10ByeLeeds
    11GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    12ByeManchester Utd
    13BournemouthBye
    14ByeBrentford
    16ByeAston Villa
    17SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    18PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    20ByeNottingham
    21SunderlandBye
    22HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    24ByeManchester City
    25NewcastleBye
    27StokeWalsall1 : 0
    28BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    29TottenhamBye
    31AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    32MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    33BarrowPreston0 : 1
    34WrexhamHull4 : 3
    35PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    36GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    37BurnleyBye
    38West BromDerby1 : 2
    39CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    40CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    41LiverpoolBye
    43WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    44NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    45Crystal PalaceBye
    47NewportMillwall0 : 1
    48CoventryLuton1 : 0
    49WolvesBye
    50ByeWest Ham
    51EvertonBye
    52ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    53TranmereBurton1 : 2
    54HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    56ByeChelsea
    57WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    58Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    59BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    60Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    61FulhamBye
    62Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    63Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    64CharltonStevenage3 : 1

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale0 : 1
    2ByeArsenal
    3BarnsleyRotherham2 : 1
    4Oxford UtdBrighton0 : 6
    5Sheffield WedLeeds2 : 1
    6GrimsbyManchester Utd3 : 2
    7BournemouthBrentford0 : 2
    8ByeAston Villa
    9SwanseaPlymouth2 : 1
    10ByeNottingham
    11SunderlandHuddersfield1 : 2
    12ByeManchester City
    13NewcastleBye
    14StokeBradford City0 : 3
    15TottenhamBye
    16AccringtonDoncaster0 : 2
    17PrestonWrexham2 : 3
    18ReadingAFC Wimbledon2 : 1
    19BurnleyDerby2 : 1
    20CardiffCheltenham3 : 0
    21LiverpoolBye
    22NorwichSouthampton0 : 3
    23Crystal PalaceBye
    24MillwallCoventry2 : 1
    25WolvesWest Ham3 : 2
    26EvertonMansfield2 : 0
    27BurtonLincoln0 : 1
    28ByeChelsea
    29WiganStockport County1 : 0
    30BromleyWycombe1 : 2
    31FulhamBristol City2 : 0
    32Cambridge UtdCharlton3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Port ValeArsenal0 : 2
    2BarnsleyBrighton0 : 6
    3Sheffield WedGrimsby0 : 1
    4BrentfordAston Villa2 : 1
    5SwanseaNottingham3 : 2
    6HuddersfieldManchester City0 : 2
    7NewcastleBradford City4 : 1
    8TottenhamDoncaster3 : 0
    9WrexhamReading2 : 0
    10BurnleyCardiff1 : 2
    11LiverpoolSouthampton2 : 1
    12Crystal PalaceMillwall2 : 1
    13WolvesEverton2 : 0
    14LincolnChelsea1 : 2
    15WiganWycombe0 : 2
    16FulhamCambridge Utd1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArsenalBrighton
    2GrimsbyBrentford
    3SwanseaManchester City
    4NewcastleTottenham
    5WrexhamCardiff
    6LiverpoolCrystal Palace
    7WolvesChelsea
    8WycombeFulham
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