Port Vale vs Plymouth Argyle: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League One Port Vale - Plymouth Argyle
Result
1:3
07/05/2023 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 46
  • Referee: Mather S. (Eng)
Port Vale - Plymouth Argyle - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


Port Vale
19.8%
Draw
23.4%
Plymouth Argyle
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 28.1% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5% 26.9% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Port Vale's form might have worsened.
  • Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Plymouth Argyle's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Port Vale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plymouth Argyle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Port Vale - Plymouth Argyle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.74
    (3.01)
    4.04
    (3.3)
    1.66
    (2.25)
    6.1%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Port Vale - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Plymouth will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 4.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Plymouth: 59.8%94.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Port Vale has the most likely position - 18 (59.44%), project points - 50, currently - 49, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Plymouth has the most likely position - 1 (67.29%), project points - 100, currently - 98, not chance of relegated, not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 4.
    • Port Vale is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Plymouth is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Plymouth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Plymouth is a favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-5.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    02.12.2022 Plymouth Argyle - Port Vale 0:2
    Latest results of Port Vale
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff752012:21017
    2Bradford City852114:10417
    3Barnsley751114:9516
    4Stevenage751110:5516
    5Doncaster85129:8116
    6Huddersfield850315:11415
    7Lincoln843111:8315
    8Wigan833213:9412
    9Luton740310:6412
    10Stockport County833213:12112
    11AFC Wimbledon840410:10012
    12Bolton825110:7311
    13Mansfield832312:10211
    14Leyton Orient832310:13-311
    15Northampton73135:6-110
    16Exeter83059:909
    17Plymouth830511:17-69
    18Rotherham72146:10-47
    19Wycombe81258:11-35
    20Port Vale81256:9-35
    21Reading71247:12-55
    22Burton61145:10-54
    23Blackpool71157:14-74
    24Peterborough81166:15-94

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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