Plymouth Argyle vs Millwall: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/02/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Home Park (Plymouth).

ENGLAND: Championship - Round 32
Referee: Simpson J. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.56	0.84
Ball Possession
35%	65%
Goal Attempts
13	13
Shots on Goal
7	6
Shots off Goal
4	2
Blocked Shots
2	5
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
2	6
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
5	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	2
Free Kicks
10	19
Offsides
0	1
Fouls
19	10
Yellow Cards
1	0
Throw-ins
18	41
Touches in the Opposition Box
15	15
Passes
61% (161/265)	75% (378/502)
Passes in the final third
53% (51/97)	57% (85/148)
Crosses
13% (2/15)	16% (3/19)
Tackles
70% (16/23)	56% (9/16)
Clearances Total
47	32
Interceptions
7	9

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Bryan J. (Own goal),
10', 2 - 0, Hardie R. (Pen),
40', Randell A. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
53', 3 - 0, Bundu M. ⚽, Palsson V. (A),
56', 4 - 0, Hardie R. ⚽,
57', Neghli C. ↓, Bangura-Williams R. ↑,
58', Cundle L. ↓, Azeez F. ↑,
62', Hardie R. ↓, Baidoo M. ↑,
63', Ogbeta N. ↓, Mumba B. ↑,
63', Randell A. ↓, Gyabi D. ↑,
71', Sorinola M. ↓, Szucs K. ↑,
77', Connolly A. ↓, Watmore D. ↑,
77', De Norre C. ↓, Mitchell B. ↑,
78', Bundu M. ↓, Al Hajj R. ↑,
80', 4 - 1, Bryan J. ⚽, Azeez F. (A),
86', 5 - 1, Katic N. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Plymouth Argyle
25.8%

Draw
31.1%

Millwall
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27%

30%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

29.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Plymouth Argyle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Plymouth Argyle - Millwall Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.51)	3.07 ↓ (3.17)	2.22 ↑ (2.21)	4.5% (5.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Plymouth Argyle - Millwall?

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Plymouth will win (votes: 4 - 14.8%). Millwall will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 29.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 36.9% – 74.3%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches New Orleans won 3.
New Orleans has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Sacramento is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Sacramento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently New Orleans have a series of guest games.
Sacramento will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 20 head-to-head matches New Orleans won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 2361:2257 (average 118.1:112.9).
Including matches at home between the teams New Orleans won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1159:1075 (average 115.9:107.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Plymouth Argyle won against Millwall?

Plymouth Argyle has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Plymouth Argyle?

Millwall has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Plymouth Argyle - Millwall were as follows:

23.10.2024 Millwall - Plymouth Argyle 1:0

27.04.2024 Millwall - Plymouth Argyle 1:0

03.10.2023 Plymouth Argyle - Millwall 0:2

Latest results of Plymouth Argyle

09.02.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Liverpool 1:0 ✺

01.02.2025 Plymouth Argyle - West Bromwich Albion 2:1 ✺

25.01.2025 Sunderland - Plymouth Argyle 2:2 ✺

22.01.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Burnley 0:5 ✺

18.01.2025 Plymouth Argyle - Queens Park Rangers 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Millwall

08.02.2025 Leeds United - Millwall 0:2 ✺

01.02.2025 Millwall - Queens Park Rangers 2:1 ✺

28.01.2025 Portsmouth - Millwall 0:1 ✺

25.01.2025 Luton Town - Millwall 0:1 ✺

21.01.2025 Millwall - Cardiff City 2:2 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Birmingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Blackburn	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Derby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Middlesbrough	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Portsmouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Bristol City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Charlton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Hull	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Leicester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Norwich	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Preston	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	QPR	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Sheffield Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Sheffield Wed	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Southampton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Stoke	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Watford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	West Brom	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Millwall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Swansea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Wrexham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Oxford Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Which TV channels are streaming of Plymouth Argyle - Millwall?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Hungary	Net4+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+