Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Tampa Bay Rowdies: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship
Soccer USL Championship Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies
Result
2:1
21/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.66
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
75% (256/340)79% (355/447)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.240.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.300.10
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
2611
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
913
Passes
75% (256/340)79% (355/447)
Long passes
35% (23/66)40% (33/82)
Passes in final third
63% (70/112)58% (64/110)
Crosses
29% (6/21)36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.38
Throw-ins
2018
Fouls
139
Tackles
80% (8/10)83% (10/12)
Duels won
3744
Clearances
2323
Interceptions
513
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.101.30
Goals prevented
-0.900.30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Vancaeyezeele T. (Own goal),
  • 20', 2 - 0, Williams A. ⚽, Biasi L. (A),
  • 40', 2 - 1, Arteaga M. ⚽, Bassett O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 52', Suber S. 🟨,
  • 66', Pacius W. 🟨,
  • 68', Ahl C. ↓, Griffin D. ↑,
  • 68', Jacquesson B. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
  • 72', Wyke L. ↓, Skinner J. ↑,
  • 72', Bodily B. ↓, Moon N. ↑,
  • 76', Ydrach R. ↓, Etou B. ↑,
  • 81', Vancaeyezeele T. ↓, Crisostomo D. ↑,
  • 88', Mertz R. ↓, Broughton M. ↑,
  • 90', Bassett O. ↓, Mustali E. ↑,
  • 90+4', Biasi L. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Arteaga M. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Pittsburgh Riverhounds
49.6%		Draw
28%		Tampa Bay Rowdies
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 27.4% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 26.6% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pittsburgh Riverhounds's performance.
  • Tampa Bay Rowdies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tampa Bay Rowdies might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pittsburgh Riverhounds that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Rowdies than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tampa Bay Rowdies could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.86 ↓
    (2.21)    		 3.3 ↓
    (3.38)    		 4.13 ↑
    (3)    		 8.2%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies?
  • Users Predictions: Pittsburgh Riverhounds will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pittsburgh Riverhounds will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Pittsburgh might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2:1
    06.04.2024 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies 0:0
    07.10.2023 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0:2
    05.08.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:0
    Latest results of Pittsburgh Riverhounds
    14.06.2025 Indy Eleven - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1:0
    07.06.2025 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Detroit City 2:0 ✺
    31.05.2025 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - Rhode Island 0:1
    24.05.2025 Rhode Island - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 0:1
    21.05.2025 Philadelphia Union - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Rowdies
    14.06.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Miami 2:1
    07.06.2025 Louisville City - Tampa Bay Rowdies 2:1
    31.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - South Georgia Tormenta 2:1
    24.05.2025 Lexington - Tampa Bay Rowdies 1:1
    17.05.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Rhode Island 0:3
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City18125134:142041
    3Loudoun1883728:27127
    4North Carolina1782726:24226
    5Pittsburgh1875617:15226
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1755727:31-420
    8Miami FC1754817:25-819
    9Birmingham1947822:28-619
    10Tampa Bay17521020:26-617
    11Rhode Island1845914:20-617
    12Hartford Athletic1644819:21-216


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1795327:18932
    2San Antonio1783624:24027
    3Sacramento Republic1776425:131227
    4El Paso1775530:25526
    5New Mexico1681722:21125
    6Phoenix Rising1866630:33-324
    7Orange County SC1672726:23323
    8Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    9Colorado Springs1756622:23-121
    10Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    11Lexington1847718:26-819
    12Las Vegas Lights18531013:34-2118

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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