Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs New Mexico United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New Mexico United
Result
1:0
04/07/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New Mexico United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.17
Ball Possession
31%69%
Total shots
186
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
78
Passes
73% (195/268)86% (559/649)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.17
xG on target (xGOT)
1.600.13
Total shots
186
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
131
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
30
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
78
Touches in opposition box
3711
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
1010
Passes
73% (195/268)86% (559/649)
Long passes
31% (17/54)46% (29/63)
Passes in final third
67% (66/98)66% (84/127)
Crosses
33% (7/21)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.50
Throw-ins
1515
Fouls
1010
Tackles
75% (9/12)70% (7/10)
Duels won
4037
Clearances
2829
Interceptions
144
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.131.60
Goals prevented
0.130.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Biasi L. 🟨,
  • 72', Walti J. , Sample B. ,
  • 72', Ahl C. , Jacquesson B. ,
  • 72', Biasi L. , Etou B. ,
  • 73', 1 - 0, Mertz R. ,
  • 73', Akale M. , Gaines M. ,
  • 73', Vargas M. , Amang T. ,
  • 87', Luiz Fernando 🟨,
  • 87', Barnes P. 🟨,
  • 87', Bailey Z. , Pondeca T. ,
  • 88', Seymore W. , Gloster C. ,
  • 88', Mertz R. , Broughton M. ,
  • 90+3', Williams A. , Bouregy J. ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Pittsburgh Riverhounds
47.9%
Draw
28.4%
New Mexico United
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 28.9% 32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 28.8% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pittsburgh Riverhounds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pittsburgh Riverhounds's performance.
  • New Mexico United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Mexico United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Riverhounds than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pittsburgh Riverhounds that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Mexico United than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Mexico United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New Mexico United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (2.4)
    3.23
    (3.2)
    3.87
    (2.85)
    9%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Pittsburgh has had a series of home games.
    • Pittsburgh is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Pittsburgh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New Mexico United were as follows:
    09.03.2024 New Mexico United - Pittsburgh Riverhounds 1:0
    23.09.2023 Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New Mexico United 2:1
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston17122335:161938
    2Louisville City16114129:121737
    3Loudoun1582524:20426
    4North Carolina1572621:18323
    5Pittsburgh1462612:12020
    6Indy Eleven1555524:24020
    7Detroit1655620:22-220
    8Miami FC1553716:21-518
    9Birmingham1746719:24-518
    10Rhode Island1644814:18-416
    11Hartford Athletic1333715:20-512
    12Tampa Bay15321016:25-911


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Antonio1683523:21227
    2New Mexico1581622:17525
    3FC Tulsa1474321:14725
    4Sacramento Republic1565422:121023
    5Phoenix Rising1665526:26023
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Monterey Bay1764718:21-322
    8Las Vegas Lights1653813:24-1118
    9Lexington1646617:23-618
    10Orange County SC1452718:22-417
    11Oakland Roots1652917:25-817
    12Colorado Springs1536618:22-415

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Pittsburgh Riverhounds - New Mexico United?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+
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