Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Baseball MLB Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies
Result
2:1
08/06/2025 at 13:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Hits
73
Errors
10
2B - double
12
3B - triple
00
Home Runs
00
Runs batted in
20
Left on base
82
Base on Balls
33
Strikeouts
127
Stolen bases
11
At bat
3027
Batting Average
0.2330.111

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pittsburgh Pirates
51.4%
Philadelphia Phillies
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7% 49.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pittsburgh Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Philadelphia Phillies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.89)

    1.97
    (1.91)
    4.7%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 7.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 5:5.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 2.
    • Pittsburgh has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Philadelphia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Pittsburgh has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Pittsburgh: Holderman C. (Finger Injury) Lawrence J. (Elbow Injury) Mayza T. (Shoulder Injury) Oviedo J. (Back Injury) Valdez E. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Nola A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pittsburgh: Bart J. (Concussion) Diamond D. (Injury) Moreta D. (Elbow Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 73:75. (average 3.7:3.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:36. (average 4.2:4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies 2:1
    06.06.2025 Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies 5:4
    18.05.2025 Philadelphia Phillies - Pittsburgh Pirates 1:0
    17.05.2025 Philadelphia Phillies - Pittsburgh Pirates 5:2
    16.05.2025 Philadelphia Phillies - Pittsburgh Pirates 8:4
    MLB Table
    Main

    American League
    PlWLPCT
    1Toronto Blue Jays1116447523:5060.577
    2Detroit Tigers1116447536:4560.577
    3Houston Astros1106248474:4260.564
    4New York Yankees1106050576:4780.545
    5Boston Red Sox1116051547:4780.541
    6Seattle Mariners1115952502:4790.532
    7Texas Rangers1115754455:3900.514
    8Cleveland Guardians1095554427:4550.505
    9Kansas City Royals1105555402:4140.500
    10Tampa Bay Rays1115457505:4600.486
    11Los Angeles Angels1105357478:5470.482
    12Minnesota Twins1095158453:4870.468
    13Baltimore Orioles1105060482:5500.455
    14Athletics1124963487:6000.438
    15Chicago White Sox1104169422:4830.373


    National League
    PlWLPCT
    1Milwaukee Brewers1096544533:4310.596
    2Chicago Cubs1096445571:4570.587
    3Los Angeles Dodgers1106446573:5010.582
    4Philadelphia Phillies1096247509:4410.569
    5New York Mets1106248476:4340.564
    6San Diego Padres1106149449:4140.555
    7Cincinnati Reds1115853510:4660.523
    8San Francisco Giants1105555447:4410.500
    9St.Louis Cardinals1115556484:4960.495
    10Miami Marlins1085355466:5120.491
    11Arizona Diamondbacks1105159529:5450.464
    12Pittsburgh Pirates1104763385:4370.427
    13Atlanta Braves1094663457:4810.422
    14Washington Nationals1094465472:5890.404
    15Colorado Rockies1092980405:6810.266

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