Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Baseball MLB Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies
Result
2:1
08/06/2025 at 13:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Hits
73
Errors
10
2B - double
12
3B - triple
00
Home Runs
00
Runs batted in
20
Left on base
82
Base on Balls
33
Strikeouts
127
Stolen bases
11
At bat
3027
Batting Average
0.2330.111

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pittsburgh Pirates
51.4%
Philadelphia Phillies
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7% 49.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pittsburgh Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Philadelphia Phillies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.89)

    1.97
    (1.91)
    4.7%
    (5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 7.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Philadelphia will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 5:5.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 2.
    • Pittsburgh has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Philadelphia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Pittsburgh has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Pittsburgh: Holderman C. (Finger Injury) Lawrence J. (Elbow Injury) Mayza T. (Shoulder Injury) Oviedo J. (Back Injury) Valdez E. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Nola A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pittsburgh: Bart J. (Concussion) Diamond D. (Injury) Moreta D. (Elbow Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 73:75. (average 3.7:3.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:36. (average 4.2:4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies 2:1
    06.06.2025 Pittsburgh Pirates - Philadelphia Phillies 5:4
    18.05.2025 Philadelphia Phillies - Pittsburgh Pirates 1:0
    17.05.2025 Philadelphia Phillies - Pittsburgh Pirates 5:2
    16.05.2025 Philadelphia Phillies - Pittsburgh Pirates 8:4
    MLB Table
    Main

    American League
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Tigers1327854641:5430.591
    2Toronto Blue Jays1317655640:5850.580
    3Houston Astros1317259560:5410.550
    4Boston Red Sox1307159651:5460.546
    5New York Yankees1296960659:5630.535
    6Seattle Mariners1306961586:5710.531
    7Kansas City Royals1316764506:5090.511
    8Texas Rangers1326666546:4830.500
    9Cleveland Guardians1296465501:5510.496
    10Tampa Bay Rays1296267577:5490.481
    11Los Angeles Angels1296168561:6480.473
    12Baltimore Orioles1306070567:6390.462
    13Athletics1316071588:6730.458
    14Minnesota Twins1305971537:5940.454
    15Chicago White Sox1304783512:5840.362


    National League
    PlWLPCT
    1Milwaukee Brewers1318150666:5070.618
    2Philadelphia Phillies1307654617:5160.585
    3Chicago Cubs1307555644:5190.577
    4San Diego Padres1307456546:4830.569
    5Los Angeles Dodgers1307357668:5800.562
    6New York Mets1306961593:5460.531
    7Cincinnati Reds1306763587:5440.515
    8Arizona Diamondbacks1306466644:6290.492
    9St.Louis Cardinals1306466571:5980.492
    10San Francisco Giants1316368530:5400.481
    11Miami Marlins1306169562:6260.469
    12Atlanta Braves1305971570:5910.454
    13Pittsburgh Pirates1315774467:5370.435
    14Washington Nationals1305377557:7100.408
    15Colorado Rockies1313794491:8400.282

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