Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Baseball MLB Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds
Result
3:1
21/05/2025 at 12:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLB
Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Hits
94
Errors
01
2B - double
21
3B - triple
00
Home Runs
00
Runs batted in
31
Left on base
85
Base on Balls
43
Strikeouts
78
Stolen bases
00
At bat
3029
Batting Average
0.30.138

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pittsburgh Pirates
46.1%
Cincinnati Reds
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 51.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pittsburgh Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Cincinnati Reds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Pirates than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati Reds than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2)

    1.78
    (1.75)
    4%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 8.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Cincinnati Reds will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 5:5.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 1.
    • Pittsburgh is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cincinnati is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Pittsburgh: Lawrence J. (Elbow Injury) Mayza T. (Shoulder Injury) Moreta D. (Elbow Injury) Oviedo J. (Elbow Injury)
    • There will not play in Cincinnati: Aguiar J. (Shoulder Injury) Antone T. (Elbow Injury) Callihan T. (Forearm injury) Candelario J. (Back Injury) Encarnacion-Strand C. (Back Injury) Fraley J. (Calf Injury) Greene H. (Groin Injury) Lowder R. (Forearm injury) Marte N. (Abdominal strain) Miley W. (Elbow Injury) Spiers C. (Shoulder Injury) Staumont J. (Injury) Williamson B. (Elbow Injury) Young A. (Elbow Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pittsburgh: Diamond D. (Injury) Gonzales N. (Ankle Injury) Rodriguez E. (Finger Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cincinnati: Gibaut I. (Shoulder Injury) Moll S. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pittsburgh won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 73:90. (average 3.7:4.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pittsburgh won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 3:3.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds were as follows:
    20.05.2025 Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds 1:0
    19.05.2025 Pittsburgh Pirates - Cincinnati Reds 1:7
    13.04.2025 Cincinnati Reds - Pittsburgh Pirates 4:0
    12.04.2025 Cincinnati Reds - Pittsburgh Pirates 5:2
    11.04.2025 Cincinnati Reds - Pittsburgh Pirates 5:3
    MLB Table
    Main

    American League
    PlWLPCT
    1Toronto Blue Jays1156748556:5200.583
    2Detroit Tigers1156649552:4720.574
    3Houston Astros1146450493:4440.561
    4Boston Red Sox1156451574:4890.557
    5Seattle Mariners1146153519:4920.535
    6New York Yankees1146054584:4970.526
    7Texas Rangers1156055475:4040.522
    8Cleveland Guardians1135855446:4720.513
    9Kansas City Royals1145658418:4360.491
    10Tampa Bay Rays1155659517:4710.487
    11Los Angeles Angels1145559494:5610.482
    12Minnesota Twins1135360471:5050.469
    13Baltimore Orioles1145163492:5760.447
    14Athletics1155065509:6200.435
    15Chicago White Sox1134271431:4990.372


    National League
    PlWLPCT
    1Milwaukee Brewers1136944565:4390.611
    2Los Angeles Dodgers1146648590:5140.579
    3Chicago Cubs1136548582:4720.575
    4Philadelphia Phillies1136548534:4510.575
    5New York Mets1146351500:4620.553
    6San Diego Padres1146351473:4360.553
    7Cincinnati Reds1146054520:4730.526
    8San Francisco Giants1145757477:4630.500
    9St.Louis Cardinals1155758504:5220.496
    10Miami Marlins1125557480:5300.491
    11Arizona Diamondbacks1145460553:5630.474
    12Pittsburgh Pirates1144965405:4620.430
    13Atlanta Braves1124765464:4930.420
    14Washington Nationals1124468484:6270.393
    15Colorado Rockies1133083423:7200.265

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