Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey NHL Pittsburgh Penguins - Vegas Golden Knights
Result
3:2 OT
11/03/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USA: NHL
Pittsburgh Penguins - Vegas Golden Knights - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
1738
Shots off Goal
1915
Shooting PCT
17.65% (3/17)5.26% (2/38)
Blocked Shots
921
Goalkeeper Saves
3614
Saves PCT
94.74% (36/38)82.35% (14/17)
Penalties
14
PIM
28
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
25% (1/4)100% (1/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
0% (0/1)75% (3/4)
Hits
1610
Faceoffs Won
2831
Faceoffs %
47.4652.54
Giveaways
1612
Takeaways
410
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 04:36, Olofsson V. (2 min),
  • 16:57, Hertl T. (2 min),
  • 17:48, 1 - 0, Crosby S. (G), Rakell R. (A), Hayes K. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 00:04, Roy N. (2 min),
  • 03:02, 2 - 0, Crosby S. (G), Rakell R. (A),
  • 14:09, Tomasino P. (2 min),
  • 14:29, 2 - 1, Dorofeyev P. (G), Hanifin N. (A), Eichel J. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 00:47, Whitecloud Z. (2 min),
  • 19:54, 2 - 2, Hanifin N. (G), Stone M. (A), Dorofeyev P. (A2)
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 00:49, 3 - 2, Karlsson E. (G), Malkin E. (A), Letang K. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Pittsburgh Penguins
27.7%
Draw
20.7%
Vegas Golden Knights
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.4% 19.9% 53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2% 19.7% 54.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pittsburgh Penguins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Vegas Golden Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vegas Golden Knights than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Pittsburgh Penguins - Vegas Golden Knights Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.4
    (3.61)
    4.58
    (4.79)
    1.84
    (1.78)
    5.6%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

  • Watch this match and NHL with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : SportsNet Pittsburgh
  • What is the prediction for Pittsburgh Penguins - Vegas Golden Knights?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Pittsburgh will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Vegas will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Vegas: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Pittsburgh won 2.
    • Pittsburgh is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Vegas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recently Vegas have a series of home games.
    • In this match Vegas is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Vegas: Lavoie R. (Upper-Body Injury) Lehner R. (Hip Injury) Theodore S. (Arm Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pittsburgh: Joseph P. (Upper-Body Injury) Novak T. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Vegas: Karlsson W. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • Our prediction for today's Vegas to win the game is with odds 1.79.
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Pittsburgh won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 38:41 (average 2.9:3.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Pittsburgh won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 21:14 (average 3.5:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pittsburgh Penguins - Vegas Golden Knights were as follows:
    07.03.2025 Vegas Golden Knights - Pittsburgh Penguins 4:0
    20.01.2024 Vegas Golden Knights - Pittsburgh Penguins 3:2
    19.11.2023 Pittsburgh Penguins - Vegas Golden Knights 3:0
    05.01.2023 Vegas Golden Knights - Pittsburgh Penguins 5:2
    01.12.2022 Pittsburgh Penguins - Vegas Golden Knights 4:3
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche4301013:87
    2Dallas Stars3210015:106
    3Vegas Golden Knights4112014:136
    4Edmonton Oilers320108:55
    5Seattle Kraken311109:75
    6Nashville Predators4201112:125
    7Winnipeg Jets3200112:94
    8Anaheim Ducks3110112:124
    9St. Louis Blues320019:94
    10Minnesota Wild4110215:154
    11Chicago Blackhawks4101210:113
    12Los Angeles Kings4011212:163
    13Vancouver Canucks310028:92
    14Utah Mammoth301025:72
    15San Jose Sharks3002110:162
    16Calgary Flames401039:162


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes3210015:76
    2Boston Bruins4210113:96
    3Montreal Canadiens4210115:126
    4Florida Panthers4300113:106
    5Washington Capitals421019:76
    6New Jersey Devils3200111:114
    7Detroit Red Wings3200110:104
    8Toronto Maple Leafs4200217:154
    9Pittsburgh Penguins4200211:134
    10New York Rangers5200310:74
    11Philadelphia Flyers310119:83
    12Tampa Bay Lightning4101213:163
    13Columbus Blue Jackets3100210:92
    14Ottawa Senators310028:142
    15New York Islanders300037:130
    16Buffalo Sabres300032:100

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

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