Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey NHL Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins
Result
6:1
25/03/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USA: NHL
Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2717
Shots off target
1510
Shooting PCT
22.22% (6/27)5.88% (1/17)
Blocked Shots
1515
Goalkeeper Saves
1621
Saves PCT
94.12% (16/17)77.78% (21/27)
Penalties
25
PIM
418
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
20% (1/5)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)80% (4/5)
Hits
1037
Faceoffs Won
2739
Faceoffs %
40.9159.09
Giveaways
149
Takeaways
54
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (4 - 0)
  • 07:02, Rakell R. (2 min),
  • 12:13, 1 - 0, Cirelli A. (G), Paul N. (A), McDonagh R. (A2)
  • 13:30, 2 - 0, McDonagh R. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Cernak E. (A2)
  • 15:12, 3 - 0, Cirelli A. (G), Hagel B. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)
  • 16:00, 4 - 0, Point B. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
  • 16:00, Jarry T. , Nedeljkovic A. ,
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 07:05, Lilleberg E. (2 min),
  • 13:39, Graves R. (2 min),
  • 15:31, 5 - 0, Kucherov N. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Bjorkstrand O. (A2)
  • 19:19, 6 - 0, Hagel B. (G), Perbix N. (A), Lilleberg E. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 03:53, Imama B. (2 min),
  • 03:53, Imama B. (2 min),
  • 03:53, Imama B. (10 min),
  • 04:48, Kucherov N. (2 min),
  • 14:15, 6 - 1, Rust B. (G), Grzelcyk M. (A), Crosby S. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Lightning
58.8%
Draw
19.8%
Pittsburgh Penguins
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 20.1% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 20.1% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Lightning's performance.
  • Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pittsburgh Penguins might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Lightning that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pittsburgh Penguins could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.8)
    4.77
    (4.75)
    4.33
    (3.56)
    6.3%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

  • Watch this match and NHL with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FanDuel Sports Network Sun
  • What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 3.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Pittsburgh could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Tampa Bay have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Pittsburgh have a series of home games.
    • In this match Tampa Bay is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Pittsburgh: Blomqvist J. (Injury) Joseph P. (Upper-Body Injury) Shea R. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pittsburgh: Bemstrom E. (Injury) Novak T. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 68:70 (average 3.4:3.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 36:34 (average 3.6:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins were as follows:
    12.01.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:5
    19.11.2024 Pittsburgh Penguins - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:3
    06.04.2024 Pittsburgh Penguins - Tampa Bay Lightning 5:4
    06.12.2023 Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins 3:1
    30.11.2023 Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins 2:4
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche4301013:87
    2Edmonton Oilers320108:55
    3Nashville Predators4201112:125
    4Seattle Kraken211005:24
    5Dallas Stars2110010:84
    6Winnipeg Jets3200112:94
    7St. Louis Blues320019:94
    8Minnesota Wild3110113:104
    9Vegas Golden Knights3012010:114
    10Chicago Blackhawks4101210:113
    11Los Angeles Kings4011212:163
    12Anaheim Ducks201018:92
    13San Jose Sharks200209:112
    14Vancouver Canucks310028:92
    15Utah Mammoth301025:72
    16Calgary Flames301027:122


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Boston Bruins4210113:96
    2Florida Panthers4300113:106
    3Washington Capitals421019:76
    4Carolina Hurricanes2110010:64
    5Montreal Canadiens3200110:84
    6New Jersey Devils3200111:114
    7Pittsburgh Penguins320018:94
    8Detroit Red Wings3200110:104
    9Toronto Maple Leafs4200217:154
    10New York Rangers5200310:74
    11Philadelphia Flyers310119:83
    12Tampa Bay Lightning4101213:163
    13Columbus Blue Jackets3100210:92
    14Ottawa Senators310028:142
    15New York Islanders300037:130
    16Buffalo Sabres300032:100

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

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