Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

25/03/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Amalie Arena (Tampa, FL).

USA: NHL

Match Stats


Shots on Goal
27	17
Shots off target
15	10
Shooting PCT
22.22% (6/27)	5.88% (1/17)
Blocked Shots
15	15
Goalkeeper Saves
16	21
Saves PCT
94.12% (16/17)	77.78% (21/27)
Penalties
2	5
PIM
4	18
Power-play Goals
1	0
Shorthanded Goals
0	0
Power-play PCT
20% (1/5)	0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)	80% (4/5)
Hits
10	37
Faceoffs Won
27	39
Faceoffs %
40.91	59.09
Giveaways
14	9
Takeaways
5	4
Empty Net Goals
0	0

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Period (4 - 0)
07:02, Rakell R. (2 min),
12:13, 1 - 0, Cirelli A. (G), Paul N. (A), McDonagh R. (A2)
13:30, 2 - 0, McDonagh R. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Cernak E. (A2)
15:12, 3 - 0, Cirelli A. (G), Hagel B. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)
16:00, 4 - 0, Point B. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
16:00, Jarry T. ↓, Nedeljkovic A. ↑,
2nd Period (2 - 0)
07:05, Lilleberg E. (2 min),
13:39, Graves R. (2 min),
15:31, 5 - 0, Kucherov N. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Bjorkstrand O. (A2)
19:19, 6 - 0, Hagel B. (G), Perbix N. (A), Lilleberg E. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
03:53, Imama B. (2 min),
03:53, Imama B. (2 min),
03:53, Imama B. (10 min),
04:48, Kucherov N. (2 min),
14:15, 6 - 1, Rust B. (G), Grzelcyk M. (A), Crosby S. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tampa Bay Lightning
58.8%

Draw
19.8%

Pittsburgh Penguins
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

20.1%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

20.1%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Lightning's performance.

Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pittsburgh Penguins might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Lightning that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pittsburgh Penguins could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.8)	4.77 ↑ (4.75)	4.33 ↑ (3.56)	6.3% (4.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

Watch this match and NHL with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : FanDuel Sports Network Sun

What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 29% – 96%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.

Preview Facts

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 14).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 3.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Pittsburgh could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Tampa Bay have a series of guest games.
Recently Pittsburgh have a series of home games.
In this match Tampa Bay is a favorite.
There will not play in Pittsburgh: Blomqvist J. (Injury) Joseph P. (Upper-Body Injury) Shea R. (Upper-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Pittsburgh: Bemstrom E. (Injury) Novak T. (Lower-Body Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 68:70 (average 3.4:3.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 36:34 (average 3.6:3.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against Pittsburgh Penguins?

Tampa Bay Lightning has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Pittsburgh Penguins won against Tampa Bay Lightning?

Pittsburgh Penguins has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins were as follows:

12.01.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:5

19.11.2024 Pittsburgh Penguins - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:3

06.04.2024 Pittsburgh Penguins - Tampa Bay Lightning 5:4

06.12.2023 Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins 3:1

30.11.2023 Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins 2:4

Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning

23.03.2025 Vegas Golden Knights - Tampa Bay Lightning 4:2 ✺

22.03.2025 Utah Hockey Club - Tampa Bay Lightning 6:4 ✺

20.03.2025 Dallas Stars - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:3 ✺

15.03.2025 Boston Bruins - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:6 ✺

13.03.2025 Philadelphia Flyers - Tampa Bay Lightning 4:3 ✺

Latest results of Pittsburgh Penguins

23.03.2025 Florida Panthers - Pittsburgh Penguins 4:3 ✺

21.03.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Columbus Blue Jackets 6:3 ✺

18.03.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - New York Islanders 2:4 ✺

15.03.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - New Jersey Devils 7:3 ✺

13.03.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - St. Louis Blues 5:3 ✺

NHL Table

Main

Western Conference

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Anaheim Ducks	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
2	Winnipeg Jets	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
3	Calgary Flames	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
4	Chicago Blackhawks	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
5	Colorado Avalanche	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
6	Dallas Stars	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
7	Edmonton Oilers	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
8	Los Angeles Kings	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
9	Minnesota Wild	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
10	Nashville Predators	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
11	San Jose Sharks	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
12	St. Louis Blues	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
13	Vancouver Canucks	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
14	Vegas Golden Knights	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
15	Seattle Kraken	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
16	Utah Mammoth	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Detroit Red Wings	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
2	Pittsburgh Penguins	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
3	Boston Bruins	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
4	Buffalo Sabres	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
5	Carolina Hurricanes	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
6	Columbus Blue Jackets	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
7	Florida Panthers	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
8	Montreal Canadiens	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
9	New Jersey Devils	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
10	New York Islanders	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
11	Ottawa Senators	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
12	Philadelphia Flyers	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
13	Tampa Bay Lightning	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
14	Toronto Maple Leafs	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
15	Washington Capitals	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
16	New York Rangers	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

Which TV channels are streaming of Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


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