Tampa Bay Lightning vs Pittsburgh Penguins: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Hockey NHL Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins
Result
6:1
25/03/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USA: NHL
Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2717
Shots off target
1510
Shooting PCT
22.22% (6/27)5.88% (1/17)
Blocked Shots
1515
Goalkeeper Saves
1621
Saves PCT
94.12% (16/17)77.78% (21/27)
Penalties
25
PIM
418
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
20% (1/5)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)80% (4/5)
Hits
1037
Faceoffs Won
2739
Faceoffs %
40.9159.09
Giveaways
149
Takeaways
54
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (4 - 0)
  • 07:02, Rakell R. (2 min),
  • 12:13, 1 - 0, Cirelli A. (G), Paul N. (A), McDonagh R. (A2)
  • 13:30, 2 - 0, McDonagh R. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Cernak E. (A2)
  • 15:12, 3 - 0, Cirelli A. (G), Hagel B. (A), Moser J.J. (A2)
  • 16:00, 4 - 0, Point B. (G), Guentzel J. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
  • 16:00, Jarry T. , Nedeljkovic A. ,
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 07:05, Lilleberg E. (2 min),
  • 13:39, Graves R. (2 min),
  • 15:31, 5 - 0, Kucherov N. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Bjorkstrand O. (A2)
  • 19:19, 6 - 0, Hagel B. (G), Perbix N. (A), Lilleberg E. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 03:53, Imama B. (2 min),
  • 03:53, Imama B. (2 min),
  • 03:53, Imama B. (10 min),
  • 04:48, Kucherov N. (2 min),
  • 14:15, 6 - 1, Rust B. (G), Grzelcyk M. (A), Crosby S. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Lightning
58.8%
Draw
19.8%
Pittsburgh Penguins
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 20.1% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53% 20.1% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tampa Bay Lightning's performance.
  • Pittsburgh Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pittsburgh Penguins might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tampa Bay Lightning that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pittsburgh Penguins could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.8)
    4.77
    (4.75)
    4.33
    (3.56)
    6.3%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

  • Watch this match and NHL with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : FanDuel Sports Network Sun
  • What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 29%96%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 3.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Pittsburgh could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Tampa Bay have a series of guest games.
    • Recently Pittsburgh have a series of home games.
    • In this match Tampa Bay is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Pittsburgh: Blomqvist J. (Injury) Joseph P. (Upper-Body Injury) Shea R. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Pittsburgh: Bemstrom E. (Injury) Novak T. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Tampa Bay won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 68:70 (average 3.4:3.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tampa Bay won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 36:34 (average 3.6:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins were as follows:
    12.01.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:5
    19.11.2024 Pittsburgh Penguins - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:3
    06.04.2024 Pittsburgh Penguins - Tampa Bay Lightning 5:4
    06.12.2023 Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins 3:1
    30.11.2023 Tampa Bay Lightning - Pittsburgh Penguins 2:4
    NHL Table
    Pre-season

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Buffalo Sabres220006:14
    2Montreal Canadiens211006:34
    3Tampa Bay Lightning211005:34
    4Toronto Maple Leafs210106:63
    5Detroit Red Wings110003:22
    6Ottawa Senators201016:62
    7Boston Bruins201017:92
    8Florida Panthers200023:100


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Nashville Predators3201012:65
    2Colorado Avalanche220008:34
    3Dallas Stars202005:34
    4Minnesota Wild201105:53
    5Winnipeg Jets200114:61
    6St. Louis Blues200112:61
    7Chicago Blackhawks100012:30
    8Utah Mammoth300034:140


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Edmonton Oilers320108:55
    2Los Angeles Kings220006:24
    3Calgary Flames311017:64
    4San Jose Sharks110003:02
    5Anaheim Ducks210017:42
    6Seattle Kraken210016:72
    7Vancouver Canucks100013:50
    8Vegas Golden Knights200021:60


    Metropolitan Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1New York Rangers210109:83
    2Washington Capitals110005:22
    3New Jersey Devils210019:72
    4Philadelphia Flyers201015:62
    5Columbus Blue Jackets310025:72
    6Pittsburgh Penguins100101:21
    7New York Islanders200114:91
    8Carolina Hurricanes100011:20

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