Piracicaba vs Comercial SP: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Copa Paulista Piracicaba - Comercial SP
Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Paulista - Play Offs - Semi-finals
Piracicaba - Comercial SP - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Gustavo L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 48', Carlos Manuel 🟨,
  • 62', David Ribeiro , Erik Bessa ,
  • 63', Carlos Manuel , Djavan ,
  • 66', Luis Felipe , Almir Luan ,
  • 70', Erik Bessa 🟨,
  • 73', Wellington 🟨,
  • 79', Wellington 🟥,
  • 85', Mian F. , Gabriel Barros ,
  • 85', Franklin , Mascaro A. ,
  • 88', Leo Santos , Natan ,
  • 88', Michel , Iago ,

Chances of winning


Piracicaba
67.1%
Draw
21.7%
Comercial SP
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 30.1% 21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 30.2% 21.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Piracicaba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piracicaba's performance.
  • Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Comercial SP might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piracicaba than the current prediction. (-18.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piracicaba that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Comercial SP could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Piracicaba - Comercial SP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.46
    (1.87)
    4.5
    (3.02)
    8.79
    (4.29)
    2.2%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Piracicaba won 3.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • In this match, Piracicaba is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Piracicaba won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Piracicaba won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Piracicaba - Comercial SP were as follows:
    19.09.2025 Comercial SP - Piracicaba 1:1
    03.03.2024 Comercial SP - Piracicaba 1:4
    01.03.2023 Piracicaba - Comercial SP 1:0
    Latest results of Piracicaba
    Latest results of Comercial SP
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1PiracicabaAEA Aracatuba2 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Portuguesa SantistaOeste0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Sao Jose ECSao Bento2 : 1, 1 : 1
    4ComercialInter de Limeira2 : 0, 0 : 1
    5Uniao Sao JoaoNoroeste3 : 0, 0 : 1
    6PrimaveraPaulista2 : 0, 0 : 1
    7Gremio PrudenteSao Caetano2 : 0, 0 : 0
    8Monte AzulFrancana1 : 2, 1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1PiracicabaOeste2 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Sao Jose ECComercial0 : 1, 0 : 1
    3Uniao Sao JoaoPrimavera0 : 2, 0 : 4
    4Gremio PrudenteFrancana3 : 0, 1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1PiracicabaComercial1 : 0, 1 : 1
    2PrimaveraGremio Prudente3 : 1, 0 : 1

    Final
    1PiracicabaPrimavera
    X
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