Perugia vs Pianese: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Italian Serie C Group B Perugia - Pianese
27/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Perugia - Pianese - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Perugia
45.5%
Draw
29.5%
Pianese
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 32.7% 29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 32% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perugia's performance.
  • Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perugia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • Perugia - Pianese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.4)
    3.12
    (2.8)
    3.68
    (3.15)
    8.6%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 14).
    • Perugia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Pianese's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Perugia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Perugia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Perugia - Pianese were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Perugia - Pianese 1:1
    24.08.2024 Pianese - Perugia 3:3
    Latest results of Perugia
    23.09.2025 Perugia - Sambenedettese 1:2
    19.09.2025 Ravenna - Perugia 3:2
    14.09.2025 Perugia - Ascoli 0:2
    06.09.2025 Gubbio - Perugia 1:1
    30.08.2025 Bra - Perugia 2:2
    Latest results of Pianese
    23.09.2025 Pianese - Arezzo 2:4
    20.09.2025 Vis Pesaro - Pianese 0:0
    13.09.2025 Pianese - Sambenedettese 1:1
    06.09.2025 Sassari Torres - Pianese 0:2
    31.08.2025 Pianese - Carpi 0:1
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo650112:5715
    2Ravenna650113:8515
    3Ascoli642010:01014
    4Juventus U23632110:8211
    5Gubbio63215:4111
    6Campobasso631212:7510
    7Ternana63129:6310
    8Guidonia63124:4010
    9Forli63036:519
    10Sambenedettese62226:608
    11Carpi62226:7-18
    12Pineto62227:8-18
    13Vis Pesaro61325:506
    14Pianese61325:6-16
    15Livorno62043:9-66
    16Torres61235:8-35
    17Pontedera61144:12-84
    18Perugia60336:10-43
    19Bra60244:9-52
    20Rimini61143:8-5-7

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation

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