Result
27/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Perugia 45.5% | Draw 29.5% | Pianese 25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perugia's performance.Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Perugia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Perugia - Pianese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.03 ↓ (2.4) |
3.12 ↑ (2.8) |
3.68 ↑ (3.15) |
8.6% (9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 14).
- Perugia has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Pianese's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Perugia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Perugia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Pianese?
Perugia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pianese won against Perugia?
Pianese has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Perugia - Pianese were as follows:
22.12.2024
Perugia
-
Pianese
1:1
24.08.2024
Pianese
-
Perugia
3:3
Latest results of Perugia
Latest results of Pianese
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Arezzo | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 15 |
2 | Ravenna | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 15 |
3 | Ascoli | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 14 |
4 | Juventus U23 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
5 | Gubbio | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 11 |
6 | Campobasso | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 10 |
7 | Ternana | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Guidonia | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Forli | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
10 | Sambenedettese | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
11 | Carpi | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
12 | Pineto | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
13 | Vis Pesaro | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
14 | Pianese | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
15 | Livorno | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 6 |
16 | Torres | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
17 | Pontedera | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
18 | Perugia | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 3 |
19 | Bra | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
20 | Rimini | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
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