Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship
Soccer USL Championship Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising
Result
0:1
28/05/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.56
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
205
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
114
Passes
84% (310/367)84% (247/295)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.420.70
Total shots
205
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
110
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
1614
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1417
Passes
84% (310/367)84% (247/295)
Long passes
68% (59/87)41% (13/32)
Passes in final third
69% (71/103)60% (50/83)
Crosses
17% (4/23)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.67
Throw-ins
2118
Fouls
1714
Tackles
57% (4/7)67% (6/9)
Duels won
2937
Clearances
1127
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.701.42
Goals prevented
-0.301.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', Leal P. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Okello N. ⚽, Avayevu H. (A),
  • 26', Sacko I. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Cabral R. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 67', Peeters D. ↓, Covil V. ↑,
  • 75', Gyau J. ↓, Pearson C. ↑,
  • 75', Sacko I. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
  • 75', Formella D. ↓, Margaritha J. ↑,
  • 78', Covil V. 🟨,
  • 80', Leal P. ↓, Pickering N. ↑,
  • 81', Nigro G. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Scearce J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Noel V. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Las Vegas Lights
34.3%		Draw
27.3%		Phoenix Rising
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 28.5% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 27.7% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Phoenix Rising's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Vegas Lights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Phoenix Rising, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.7 ↑
    (2.25)    		 3.39 ↑
    (3.1)    		 2.41 ↓
    (2.75)    		 8.1%
    (13.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Las Vegas (votes: 1 - 50%). Phoenix Rising (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Phoenix Rising may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Las Vegas has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:47. (average 1.4:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Las Vegas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.8:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights 1:2
    01.06.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising 0:0
    26.08.2023 Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising 2:3
    26.05.2023 Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights 0:1
    Latest results of Las Vegas Lights
    24.05.2025 Las Vegas Lights - El Paso Locomotive 1:2 ✺
    17.05.2025 Sacramento Republic - Las Vegas Lights 5:0
    10.05.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Colorado Springs Switchbacks 0:0
    03.05.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Loudoun United 1:0
    30.04.2025 Las Vegas Lights - AV Alta 2:1
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    17.05.2025 Phoenix Rising - Monterey Bay 2:0
    10.05.2025 New Mexico United - Phoenix Rising 1:2
    07.05.2025 Phoenix Rising - Houston Dynamo 1:4 ✺
    03.05.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Phoenix Rising 1:1
    26.04.2025 Phoenix Rising - San Antonio 0:1
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City17115130:131738
    3Loudoun1783626:24227
    4North Carolina1682625:20526
    5Pittsburgh1664614:14022
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1655626:28-220
    8Miami FC1653816:24-818
    9Birmingham1846819:25-618
    10Rhode Island1745814:18-417
    11Tampa Bay16421017:25-814
    12Hartford Athletic1534815:21-613


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1685324:16829
    2San Antonio1683523:21227
    3New Mexico1581622:17525
    4Sacramento Republic1666422:121024
    5Phoenix Rising1665526:26023
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    8Orange County SC1562722:22020
    9Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    10Lexington1747617:23-619
    11Las Vegas Lights1753913:28-1518
    12Colorado Springs1646619:22-318

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

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