Phoenix Rising vs Las Vegas Lights: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

05/09/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Wild Horse Pass Stadium (Chandler, AZ).

: USL Championship
Referee: Hernandez C. (Usa)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.19	0.63
Ball Possession
63%	37%
Total shots
5	9
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	7
Passes
89% (446/500)	84% (242/288)
Yellow Cards
2	4
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.19	0.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.15	0.10
Total shots
5	9
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
2	4
Shots outside the Box
3	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	7
Touches in opposition box
15	7
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
15	7
Passes
89% (446/500)	84% (242/288)
Long passes
60% (29/48)	53% (29/55)
Passes in final third
74% (67/90)	67% (47/70)
Crosses
21% (4/19)	21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.02	0.64
Throw-ins
24	14
Fouls
8	16
Tackles
80% (8/10)	71% (12/17)
Duels won
39	35
Clearances
17	22
Interceptions
6	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.10	0.15
Goals prevented
0.10	0.15

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Pickering N. ↓, Smart S. ↑,
29', Smart S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Flores D. ↓, Flood R. ↑,
55', Pearson C. ↓, Probo G. ↑,
55', Smart S. ↓, Covil V. ↑,
65', Cabral R. ↓, Dennis C. ↑,
70', Gaines M. ↓, Stojanovic S. ↑,
71', Rodriguez J. ↓, O'Driscoll R. ↑,
73', Avayevu H. 🟨,
75', Covil V. 🟨,
78', Emmers X. ↓, Formella D. ↑,
78', Czichos R. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
81', O'Driscoll R. 🟨,
83', Rizzo P. 🟨,
90+2', O'Driscoll R. 🟨,
90+5', Rizzo P. ↓, Capetillo A. ↑,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Phoenix Rising
50%

Draw
25.6%

Las Vegas Lights
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

24.2%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

23.3%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Phoenix Rising's form might have worsened.

Las Vegas Lights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Phoenix Rising, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Las Vegas Lights, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.65)	3.62 ↓ (3.82)	3.79 ↓ (4.68)	8.1% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Phoenix Rising is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix Rising won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 48:26. (average 2.4:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix Rising won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:6. (average 2.9:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against Las Vegas Lights?

Phoenix Rising has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Las Vegas Lights won against Phoenix Rising?

Las Vegas Lights has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights were as follows:

28.05.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising 0:1

28.09.2024 Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights 1:2

01.06.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising 0:0

26.08.2023 Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising 2:3

26.05.2023 Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights 0:1

Latest results of Phoenix Rising

30.08.2025 Phoenix Rising - El Paso Locomotive 3:3 ✺

23.08.2025 Phoenix Rising - Colorado Springs Switchbacks 4:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Tampa Bay Rowdies - Phoenix Rising 1:1 ✺

09.08.2025 Lexington - Phoenix Rising 2:0 ✺

02.08.2025 Phoenix Rising - Birmingham Legion 3:3 ✺

Latest results of Las Vegas Lights

30.08.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Lexington 1:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Las Vegas Lights - North Carolina 1:2 ✺

16.08.2025 New Mexico United - Las Vegas Lights 2:2 ✺

09.08.2025 Las Vegas Lights - San Antonio 1:1 ✺

02.08.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Las Vegas Lights 6:0 ✺

USL Championship Table

2025

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City ✔	24	17	6	1	48:18	30	57
2	Charleston ✔	24	16	3	5	50:27	23	51
3	Loudoun	24	11	4	9	39:40	-1	37
4	North Carolina	23	11	3	9	35:32	3	36
5	Hartford Athletic	24	10	5	9	37:27	10	35
6	Detroit	24	8	8	8	29:30	-1	32
7	Pittsburgh	24	8	7	9	23:23	0	31
8	Rhode Island	24	7	6	11	17:24	-7	27
9	Indy Eleven	24	7	5	12	36:43	-7	26
10	Tampa Bay	23	6	4	13	27:37	-10	22
11	Birmingham	23	4	10	9	29:38	-9	22
12	Miami FC	24	5	6	13	22:38	-16	21

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa	24	13	7	4	39:26	13	46
2	Sacramento Republic	23	10	8	5	35:19	16	38
3	New Mexico	23	10	3	10	31:31	0	33
4	San Antonio	23	9	6	8	31:30	1	33
5	El Paso	23	8	8	7	37:33	4	32
6	Lexington	24	8	8	8	26:30	-4	32
7	Colorado Springs	23	8	7	8	32:33	-1	31
8	Phoenix Rising	24	7	10	7	40:42	-2	31
9	Orange County SC	22	8	5	9	34:34	0	29
10	Oakland Roots	23	7	4	12	28:37	-9	25
11	Las Vegas Lights	24	6	7	11	18:39	-21	25
12	Monterey Bay	25	6	6	13	24:36	-12	24

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )

Which TV channels are streaming of Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Usa	TUDN App, TUDN