Las Vegas Lights vs Phoenix Rising: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer USL Championship Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising
Result
0:1
28/05/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : USL Championship
Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.56
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
205
Shots on target
51
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
114
Passes
84% (310/367)84% (247/295)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.56
xG on target (xGOT)
1.420.70
Total shots
205
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
110
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
1614
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1417
Passes
84% (310/367)84% (247/295)
Long passes
68% (59/87)41% (13/32)
Passes in final third
69% (71/103)60% (50/83)
Crosses
17% (4/23)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.650.67
Throw-ins
2118
Fouls
1714
Tackles
57% (4/7)67% (6/9)
Duels won
2937
Clearances
1127
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.701.42
Goals prevented
-0.301.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', Leal P. 🟨,
  • 24', 0 - 1, Okello N. , Avayevu H. (A),
  • 26', Sacko I. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Cabral R. , Johnson D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 67', Peeters D. , Covil V. ,
  • 75', Gyau J. , Pearson C. ,
  • 75', Sacko I. , Traore M. ,
  • 75', Formella D. , Margaritha J. ,
  • 78', Covil V. 🟨,
  • 80', Leal P. , Pickering N. ,
  • 81', Nigro G. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Scearce J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Noel V. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Las Vegas Lights
34.3%
Draw
27.3%
Phoenix Rising
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 28.5% 32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 27.7% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Las Vegas Lights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Phoenix Rising's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Vegas Lights than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Vegas Lights, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Phoenix Rising, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.7
    (2.25)
    3.39
    (3.1)
    2.41
    (2.75)
    8.1%
    (13.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Las Vegas (votes: 1 - 50%). Phoenix Rising (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Phoenix Rising may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Las Vegas has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Las Vegas won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:47. (average 1.4:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Las Vegas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.8:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights 1:2
    01.06.2024 Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising 0:0
    26.08.2023 Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising 2:3
    26.05.2023 Phoenix Rising - Las Vegas Lights 0:1
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston1181226:121425
    2Louisville City1174017:61125
    3Loudoun1171320:11922
    4North Carolina1162316:11520
    5Detroit1245315:15017
    6Pittsburgh114259:10-114
    7Miami FC1041511:14-313
    8Rhode Island1133510:11-112
    9Indy Eleven1025318:20-211
    10Birmingham1124512:16-410
    11Hartford Athletic101369:17-86
    12Tampa Bay1112810:20-105


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1New Mexico1171316:10622
    2FC Tulsa1162314:8620
    3San Antonio1262418:16220
    4El Paso1255221:16520
    5Phoenix Rising1254322:19319
    6Monterey Bay1354415:13219
    7Orange County SC1141614:20-613
    8Sacramento Republic1034315:11413
    9Las Vegas Lights123367:18-1112
    10Colorado Springs1226416:19-312
    11Oakland Roots1232713:22-911
    12Lexington1215611:20-98

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Las Vegas Lights - Phoenix Rising?
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