Phoenix Rising vs Houston Dynamo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

07/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Wild Horse Pass Stadium (Chandler, AZ).

: US Open Cup - 1/16-finals

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.98	2.76
Ball Possession
37%	63%
Total shots
5	21
Shots on target
4	11
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
2	14
Passes
80% (338/425)	87% (619/708)
Yellow Cards
6	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98	2.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.16	4.58
Total shots
5	21
Shots on target
4	11
Shots off target
0	5
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
3	17
Shots outside the Box
2	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
2	14
Touches in opposition box
11	38
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
19	24
Passes
80% (338/425)	87% (619/708)
Long passes
54% (31/57)	46% (19/41)
Passes in final third
46% (36/79)	81% (163/202)
Crosses
18% (2/11)	42% (16/38)
Expected assists (xA)
0.40	2.32
Throw-ins
25	34
Fouls
24	19
Tackles
58% (7/12)	41% (7/17)
Duels won
48	59
Clearances
24	22
Interceptions
8	13
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
7	3
xGOT faced
4.58	1.16
Goals prevented
0.58	0.16

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Felipe Andrade ⚽, Lodeiro N. (A),
24', Johnson D. 🟨,
45+2', Gillingham B. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 1, Formella D. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ortiz P. ↓, Awodesu F. ↑,
50', Smith C. 🟨,
52', Kowalczyk S. 🟨,
56', Duenas E. 🟨,
63', Duenas E. ↓, McGlynn J. ↑,
63', Segal G. ↓, Raines B. ↑,
63', Artur ↓, Ponce E. ↑,
64', Montgomery B. 🟨,
65', Cuello E. 🟨,
69', Johnson D. ↓, Rivera D. ↑,
70', Okello N. 🟨,
81', Lodeiro N. ↓, Lingr O. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 3)
91', Cuello E. ↓, Flood R. ↑,
91', Felipe Andrade ↓, Steres D. ↑,
99', 1 - 2, McGlynn J. ⚽, Raines B. (A),
105', Okello N. ↓, Ping J. ↑,
106', Ping J. 🟨,
112', 1 - 3, Ponce E. ⚽, Lingr O. (A),
115', 1 - 4, Kowalczyk S. ⚽, Lingr O. (A),
116', Sainte C. F. ↓, Kowall C. ↑,
116', Montgomery B. ↓, Araneda A. ↑,
117', Ponce E. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Phoenix Rising
22.5%

Draw
25.3%

Houston Dynamo
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

27%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

26%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Houston Dynamo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Phoenix Rising - Houston Dynamo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.15 ↑ (3.45)	3.68 ↑ (3.36)	1.78 ↓ (1.95)	7.5% (10.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising - Houston Dynamo?

The most likely score is 1:2.

Preview Facts

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, Houston is considered a favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Phoenix Rising won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against Houston Dynamo?

Phoenix Rising has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Houston Dynamo won against Phoenix Rising?

Houston Dynamo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Rising - Houston Dynamo were as follows:

Latest results of Phoenix Rising

03.05.2025 Colorado Springs Switchbacks - Phoenix Rising 1:1 ✺

26.04.2025 Phoenix Rising - San Antonio 0:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Phoenix Rising - Sacramento Republic 2:2 ✺

16.04.2025 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 1:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Phoenix Rising - Detroit City 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Houston Dynamo

03.05.2025 Los Angeles - Houston Dynamo 2:0 ✺

26.04.2025 Houston Dynamo - Austin FC 2:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Houston Dynamo - Colorado Rapids 2:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Los Angeles Galaxy - Houston Dynamo 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Houston Dynamo - Los Angeles 1:0 ✺

Draw

2025

1/128-finals

1	Philadelphia Union	Bye
5	Indy Eleven	Bye
7	Inter Miami II	Miami United	4 : 2
8	Miami FC	Naples United	4 : 1
9	Columbus Crew 2	NY Renegades	4 : 1
10	Lexington	Southern Indiana	5 : 0
12	Bye	Pittsburgh
16	Bye	New York City
17	Colorado Springs	Bye
19	Asheville City	Greenville	0 : 1
20	Appalachian	One Knoxville	0 : 3
24	Bye	New York Red Bulls
25	FC Dallas	Bye
29	AV Alta	Ventura	3 : 1
30	Los Angeles FC II	Arizona FC	7 : 1
32	Bye	Orange County SC
33	Sarasota Paradise	FC Naples	1 : 2
34	Little Rock Rangers	Birmingham	1 : 0
36	Bye	Tampa Bay
40	Bye	Orlando City
41	Nashville SC	Bye
45	Las Vegas Lights	Bye
47	Chattanooga	Corpus Christi FC	1 : 0
48	New Jersey Alliance	Chattanooga Red Wolves	2 : 3
49	Long Island	Charlotte Independ.	2 : 3
50	Carolina Core	Soda City	4 : 2
52	Bye	North Carolina
56	Bye	Charlotte
57	DC United	Bye
61	Charleston	Bye
63	Tormenta	Harbor City	3 : 0
64	Texoma	Foro	1 : 2
65	Louisville City	Bye
67	West Chester Utd	Loudoun	2 : 3
68	Richmond Kickers	Virginia Dream	1 : 3
72	Bye	Minnesota United
73	St. Louis City	Bye
77	Sporting Kansas City II	Menace	1 : 2
78	Flatirons	Union Omaha	1 : 2
80	Bye	San Antonio
81	Hartford Athletic	New York Shockers	3 : 0
82	Portland Hearts of Pine	Faialense	4 : 0
84	Bye	Rhode Island
88	Bye	New England Revolution
89	Chicago Fire	Bye
93	Detroit	Bye
95	Motown	Westchester SC
96	Cincinnati 2	New York Pancyprian	0 : 1
97	Tacoma Defiance	Washington AC	3 : 1
98	Ballard	Spokane Velocity	0 : 1
100	Bye	Oakland Roots
104	Bye	Portland Timbers
105	Sacramento Republic	Bye
107	Monterey Bay	International SF	4 : 0
108	Real Monarchs	El Farolito	1 : 3
112	Bye	San Jose Earthquakes
113	Forward Madison	Duluth FC	5 : 1
114	Tulsa Athletic	FC Tulsa	0 : 1
116	Bye	Phoenix Rising
120	Bye	Houston Dynamo
121	Austin FC	Bye
125	New Mexico	Bye
127	Ventura County	Laguna United	7 : 0
128	El Paso	Harpos	5 : 1

1/64-finals

1	Philadelphia Union	Bye
3	Indy Eleven	Bye
4	Inter Miami II	Miami FC	0 : 1
5	Columbus Crew 2	Lexington	3 : 0
6	Bye	Pittsburgh
8	Bye	New York City
9	Colorado Springs	Bye
10	Greenville	One Knoxville	1 : 3
12	Bye	New York Red Bulls
13	FC Dallas	Bye
15	AV Alta	Los Angeles FC II	2 : 1
16	Bye	Orange County SC
17	FC Naples	Little Rock Rangers	3 : 0
18	Bye	Tampa Bay
20	Bye	Orlando City
21	Nashville SC	Bye
23	Las Vegas Lights	Bye
24	Chattanooga	Chattanooga Red Wolves	1 : 2
25	Charlotte Independ.	Carolina Core	2 : 1
26	Bye	North Carolina
28	Bye	Charlotte
29	DC United	Bye
31	Charleston	Bye
32	Tormenta	Foro	3 : 2
33	Louisville City	Bye
34	Loudoun	Virginia Dream	4 : 2
36	Bye	Minnesota United
37	St. Louis City	Bye
39	Menace	Union Omaha	1 : 2
40	Bye	San Antonio
41	Hartford Athletic	Portland Hearts of Pine	1 : 2
42	Bye	Rhode Island
44	Bye	New England Revolution
45	Chicago Fire	Bye
47	Detroit	Bye
48	Westchester SC	New York Pancyprian	3 : 2
49	Tacoma Defiance	Spokane Velocity	2 : 1
50	Bye	Oakland Roots
52	Bye	Portland Timbers
53	Sacramento Republic	Bye
54	Monterey Bay	El Farolito	1 : 2
56	Bye	San Jose Earthquakes
57	Forward Madison	FC Tulsa	1 : 3
58	Bye	Phoenix Rising
60	Bye	Houston Dynamo
61	Austin FC	Bye
63	New Mexico	Bye
64	Ventura County	El Paso	0 : 3

1/32-finals

1	Philadelphia Union	Bye
2	Indy Eleven	Miami FC	1 : 0
3	Columbus Crew 2	Pittsburgh	0 : 1
4	Bye	New York City
5	Colorado Springs	One Knoxville	3 : 2
6	Bye	New York Red Bulls
7	FC Dallas	Bye
8	AV Alta	Orange County SC	3 : 2
9	FC Naples	Tampa Bay	1 : 2
10	Bye	Orlando City
11	Nashville SC	Bye
12	Las Vegas Lights	Chattanooga Red Wolves	2 : 3
13	Charlotte Independ.	North Carolina	1 : 3
14	Bye	Charlotte
15	DC United	Bye
16	Charleston	Tormenta	4 : 0
17	Louisville City	Loudoun	2 : 1
18	Bye	Minnesota United
19	St. Louis City	Bye
20	Union Omaha	San Antonio	1 : 0
21	Portland Hearts of Pine	Rhode Island	1 : 2
22	Bye	New England Revolution
23	Chicago Fire	Bye
24	Detroit	Westchester SC	3 : 1
25	Tacoma Defiance	Oakland Roots	2 : 1
26	Bye	Portland Timbers
27	Sacramento Republic	El Farolito	1 : 0
28	Bye	San Jose Earthquakes
29	FC Tulsa	Phoenix Rising	1 : 2
30	Bye	Houston Dynamo
31	Austin FC	Bye
32	New Mexico	El Paso	2 : 3

1/16-finals

1	Philadelphia Union	Indy Eleven	2 : 1
2	Pittsburgh	New York City	1 : 0
3	Colorado Springs	New York Red Bulls	1 : 4
4	FC Dallas	AV Alta	3 : 1
5	Tampa Bay	Orlando City	0 : 5
6	Nashville SC	Chattanooga Red Wolves	1 : 0
7	North Carolina	Charlotte	1 : 4
8	DC United	Charleston	2 : 0
9	Louisville City	Minnesota United	0 : 1
10	St. Louis City	Union Omaha	2 : 0
11	Rhode Island	New England Revolution	1 : 2
12	Chicago Fire	Detroit	4 : 0
13	Tacoma Defiance	Portland Timbers	2 : 3
14	Sacramento Republic	San Jose Earthquakes	1 : 2
15	Phoenix Rising	Houston Dynamo	1 : 4
16	Austin FC	El Paso	3 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Philadelphia Union	Pittsburgh	4 : 1
2	New York Red Bulls	FC Dallas	3 : 2
3	Orlando City	Nashville SC	2 : 3
4	Charlotte	DC United	3 : 4
5	Minnesota United	St. Louis City	3 : 2
6	New England Revolution	Chicago Fire	1 : 3
7	Portland Timbers	San Jose Earthquakes	0 : 1
8	Houston Dynamo	Austin FC	1 : 3

Quarter-finals

1	Philadelphia Union	New York Red Bulls
2	Nashville SC	DC United
3	Minnesota United	Chicago Fire
4	San Jose Earthquakes	Austin FC

Which TV channels are streaming of Phoenix Rising - Houston Dynamo?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Usa	CBS, Paramount+