Phoenix Rising vs Houston Dynamo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer US Open Cup Phoenix Rising - Houston Dynamo
Result
1:4 ET
07/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : US Open Cup - 1/16-finals
Phoenix Rising - Houston Dynamo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.982.76
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
521
Shots on target
411
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
214
Passes
80% (338/425)87% (619/708)
Yellow Cards
64
Expected Goals (xG)
0.982.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.164.58
Total shots
521
Shots on target
411
Shots off target
05
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
317
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
214
Touches in opposition box
1138
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1924
Passes
80% (338/425)87% (619/708)
Long passes
54% (31/57)46% (19/41)
Passes in final third
46% (36/79)81% (163/202)
Crosses
18% (2/11)42% (16/38)
Expected assists (xA)
0.402.32
Throw-ins
2534
Fouls
2419
Tackles
58% (7/12)41% (7/17)
Duels won
4859
Clearances
2422
Interceptions
813
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
73
xGOT faced
4.581.16
Goals prevented
0.580.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Felipe Andrade , Lodeiro N. (A),
  • 24', Johnson D. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Gillingham B. 🟨,
  • 45+4', 1 - 1, Formella D. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ortiz P. , Awodesu F. ,
  • 50', Smith C. 🟨,
  • 52', Kowalczyk S. 🟨,
  • 56', Duenas E. 🟨,
  • 63', Duenas E. , McGlynn J. ,
  • 63', Segal G. , Raines B. ,
  • 63', Artur , Ponce E. ,
  • 64', Montgomery B. 🟨,
  • 65', Cuello E. 🟨,
  • 69', Johnson D. , Rivera D. ,
  • 70', Okello N. 🟨,
  • 81', Lodeiro N. , Lingr O. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 3)
  • 91', Cuello E. , Flood R. ,
  • 91', Felipe Andrade , Steres D. ,
  • 99', 1 - 2, McGlynn J. , Raines B. (A),
  • 105', Okello N. , Ping J. ,
  • 106', Ping J. 🟨,
  • 112', 1 - 3, Ponce E. , Lingr O. (A),
  • 115', 1 - 4, Kowalczyk S. , Lingr O. (A),
  • 116', Sainte C. F. , Kowall C. ,
  • 116', Montgomery B. , Araneda A. ,
  • 117', Ponce E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Phoenix Rising
22.5%
Draw
25.3%
Houston Dynamo
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.4% 27% 46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5% 26% 48.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Houston Dynamo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Houston Dynamo's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Phoenix Rising - Houston Dynamo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.15
    (3.45)
    3.68
    (3.36)
    1.78
    (1.95)
    7.5%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Phoenix Rising - Houston Dynamo?
    The most likely score is 1:2. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Houston is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Phoenix Rising won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    Latest results of Houston Dynamo
    Draw
    2025

    1/128-finals
    1Tacoma DefianceWashington AC3 : 1
    2BallardSpokane Velocity0 : 1
    4ByeOakland Roots
    8ByePortland Timbers
    9Sacramento RepublicBye
    11Monterey BayInternational SF4 : 0
    12Real MonarchsEl Farolito1 : 3
    16ByeSan Jose Earthquakes
    17Colorado SpringsBye
    19Asheville CityGreenville0 : 1
    20AppalachianOne Knoxville0 : 3
    24ByeNew York Red Bulls
    25FC DallasBye
    29AV AltaVentura3 : 1
    30Los Angeles FC IIArizona FC7 : 1
    32ByeOrange County SC
    33Forward MadisonDuluth FC5 : 1
    34Tulsa AthleticFC Tulsa0 : 1
    36ByePhoenix Rising
    40ByeHouston Dynamo
    41Austin FCBye
    45New MexicoBye
    47Ventura CountyLaguna United7 : 0
    48El PasoHarpos5 : 1
    49Louisville CityBye
    51West Chester UtdLoudoun2 : 3
    52Richmond KickersVirginia Dream1 : 3
    56ByeMinnesota United
    57St. Louis CityBye
    61Sporting Kansas City IIMenace1 : 2
    62FlatironsUnion Omaha1 : 2
    64ByeSan Antonio
    65Sarasota ParadiseFC Naples1 : 2
    66Little Rock RangersBirmingham1 : 0
    68ByeTampa Bay
    72ByeOrlando City
    73Nashville SCBye
    77Las Vegas LightsBye
    79ChattanoogaCorpus Christi FC1 : 0
    80New Jersey AllianceChattanooga Red Wolves2 : 3
    81Long IslandCharlotte Independ.2 : 3
    82Carolina CoreSoda City4 : 2
    84ByeNorth Carolina
    88ByeCharlotte
    89DC UnitedBye
    93CharlestonBye
    95TormentaHarbor City3 : 0
    96TexomaForo1 : 2
    97Philadelphia UnionBye
    101Indy ElevenBye
    103Inter Miami IIMiami United4 : 2
    104Miami FCNaples United4 : 1
    105Columbus Crew 2NY Renegades4 : 1
    106LexingtonSouthern Indiana5 : 0
    108ByePittsburgh
    112ByeNew York City
    113Hartford AthleticNew York Shockers3 : 0
    114Portland Hearts of PineFaialense4 : 0
    116ByeRhode Island
    120ByeNew England Revolution
    121Chicago FireBye
    125DetroitBye
    127MotownWestchester SC
    128Cincinnati 2New York Pancyprian0 : 1

    1/64-finals
    1Tacoma DefianceSpokane Velocity2 : 1
    2ByeOakland Roots
    4ByePortland Timbers
    5Sacramento RepublicBye
    6Monterey BayEl Farolito1 : 2
    8ByeSan Jose Earthquakes
    9Colorado SpringsBye
    10GreenvilleOne Knoxville1 : 3
    12ByeNew York Red Bulls
    13FC DallasBye
    15AV AltaLos Angeles FC II2 : 1
    16ByeOrange County SC
    17Forward MadisonFC Tulsa1 : 3
    18ByePhoenix Rising
    20ByeHouston Dynamo
    21Austin FCBye
    23New MexicoBye
    24Ventura CountyEl Paso0 : 3
    25Louisville CityBye
    26LoudounVirginia Dream4 : 2
    28ByeMinnesota United
    29St. Louis CityBye
    31MenaceUnion Omaha1 : 2
    32ByeSan Antonio
    33FC NaplesLittle Rock Rangers3 : 0
    34ByeTampa Bay
    36ByeOrlando City
    37Nashville SCBye
    39Las Vegas LightsBye
    40ChattanoogaChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 2
    41Charlotte Independ.Carolina Core2 : 1
    42ByeNorth Carolina
    44ByeCharlotte
    45DC UnitedBye
    47CharlestonBye
    48TormentaForo3 : 2
    49Philadelphia UnionBye
    51Indy ElevenBye
    52Inter Miami IIMiami FC0 : 1
    53Columbus Crew 2Lexington3 : 0
    54ByePittsburgh
    56ByeNew York City
    57Hartford AthleticPortland Hearts of Pine1 : 2
    58ByeRhode Island
    60ByeNew England Revolution
    61Chicago FireBye
    63DetroitBye
    64Westchester SCNew York Pancyprian3 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Tacoma DefianceOakland Roots2 : 1
    2ByePortland Timbers
    3Sacramento RepublicEl Farolito1 : 0
    4ByeSan Jose Earthquakes
    5Colorado SpringsOne Knoxville3 : 2
    6ByeNew York Red Bulls
    7FC DallasBye
    8AV AltaOrange County SC3 : 2
    9FC TulsaPhoenix Rising1 : 2
    10ByeHouston Dynamo
    11Austin FCBye
    12New MexicoEl Paso2 : 3
    13Louisville CityLoudoun2 : 1
    14ByeMinnesota United
    15St. Louis CityBye
    16Union OmahaSan Antonio1 : 0
    17FC NaplesTampa Bay1 : 2
    18ByeOrlando City
    19Nashville SCBye
    20Las Vegas LightsChattanooga Red Wolves2 : 3
    21Charlotte Independ.North Carolina1 : 3
    22ByeCharlotte
    23DC UnitedBye
    24CharlestonTormenta4 : 0
    25Philadelphia UnionBye
    26Indy ElevenMiami FC1 : 0
    27Columbus Crew 2Pittsburgh0 : 1
    28ByeNew York City
    29Portland Hearts of PineRhode Island1 : 2
    30ByeNew England Revolution
    31Chicago FireBye
    32DetroitWestchester SC3 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Tacoma DefiancePortland Timbers2 : 3
    2Sacramento RepublicSan Jose Earthquakes1 : 2
    3Colorado SpringsNew York Red Bulls1 : 4
    4FC DallasAV Alta3 : 1
    5Phoenix RisingHouston Dynamo1 : 4
    6Austin FCEl Paso3 : 2
    7Louisville CityMinnesota United0 : 1
    8St. Louis CityUnion Omaha2 : 0
    9Tampa BayOrlando City0 : 5
    10Nashville SCChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 0
    11North CarolinaCharlotte1 : 4
    12DC UnitedCharleston2 : 0
    13Philadelphia UnionIndy Eleven2 : 1
    14PittsburghNew York City1 : 0
    15Rhode IslandNew England Revolution1 : 2
    16Chicago FireDetroit4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes
    2New York Red BullsFC Dallas
    3Houston DynamoAustin FC
    4Minnesota UnitedSt. Louis City
    5Orlando CityNashville SC
    6CharlotteDC United
    7Philadelphia UnionPittsburgh
    8New England RevolutionChicago Fire
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