Philadelphia Union II vs New England Revolution II: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS Next Pro Philadelphia Union II - New England Revolution II
Result
3:2 penalties
26/06/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLS Next Pro
Philadelphia Union II - New England Revolution II - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.09
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
80% (400/503)67% (209/310)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.181.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.160.90
Total shots
178
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
80
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1016
Passes
80% (400/503)67% (209/310)
Long passes
56% (24/43)26% (15/58)
Passes in final third
70% (112/159)53% (33/62)
Crosses
18% (4/22)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.59
Throw-ins
3118
Fouls
1610
Tackles
52% (13/25)39% (11/28)
Duels won
5663
Clearances
840
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.901.16
Goals prevented
-1.10-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', Mussenden J. 🟨,
  • 26', 0 - 1, Marcos Dias , Diarbian G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Tsicoulias M. , Buck J. ,
  • 46', Korzeniowski S. , Davis E. ,
  • 46', Pierre N. , Benitez O. ,
  • 55', 0 - 2, Mussenden J. , Marcos Dias (A),
  • 60', Bernstein H. , Pariano N. ,
  • 61', LeBlanc K. , Olney C. ,
  • 61', 1 - 2, Sullivan C. , Sequera G. (A),
  • 63', Mussenden J. , Fry M. ,
  • 67', Buck J. 🟨,
  • 68', 2 - 2, Uzcategui R. ,
  • 73', Butts L. 🟨,
  • 73', Butts L. , Ackerman E. ,
  • 77', Sullivan C. , Johnson J. ,
  • 81', Diarbian G. , Reilly A. ,
  • 81', Oliveira C. , Hutchinson D. ,
  • 90', Marcos Dias 🟨,
  • Penalties (7 - 6)
  • 1, Pariano N. (Pen),
  • 1, Marcos Dias (Pen),
  • 2, Olivas S. (Pen),
  • 2, Fry M. (Pen),
  • 3, Vazquez D. (Pen),
  • 3, Hutchinson D. (Pen),
  • 4, Davis E. (Pen),
  • 4, Buck J. (Pen),
  • 5, Johnson J. (Pen),
  • 5, Souza V. (Pen),
  • 6, Sequera G. (Pen),
  • 6, Barry H. (Pen),
  • 7, Olney C. (Pen),
  • 7, Reilly A. (Pen),
  • 8, Uzcategui R. (Pen),
  • 8, Ackerman E. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union II
61.3%
Draw
21.6%
New England Revolution II
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 22.7% 26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 21.6% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Philadelphia Union II's performance.
  • New England Revolution II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New England Revolution II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Union II than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Philadelphia Union II that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution II than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New England Revolution II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Philadelphia Union II - New England Revolution II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.77)
    4.25
    (4)
    5.37
    (3.47)
    9.1%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union II - New England Revolution II?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Philadelphia II will win (votes: 3 - 75%). New England II will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia II won 3.
    • Philadelphia II is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • New England II is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • New England II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, New England II has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Philadelphia II is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Philadelphia II will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia II won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.9:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2.5:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union II - New England Revolution II were as follows:
    09.03.2025 New England Revolution II - Philadelphia Union II 1:0
    06.07.2024 New England Revolution II - Philadelphia Union II 1:2
    19.05.2024 New England Revolution II - Philadelphia Union II 1:3
    24.03.2024 Philadelphia Union II - New England Revolution II 2:1
    01.10.2023 New England Revolution II - Philadelphia Union II 3:2
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2161012339:2834
    2Philadelphia Union II14742133:1131
    3Chicago Fire II15722428:2427
    4New England Revolution II14541421:1824
    5New York City II16523630:3322
    6Toronto FC II15603616:2321
    7Cincinnati 215260715:2318
    8Columbus Crew 214312814:2613


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Chattanooga16822424:2130
    2Huntsville14632329:1726
    3Orlando City B16621723:2923
    4Crown Legacy15334523:2719
    5Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    6Carolina Core15324620:2117
    7Atlanta United 213224519:2314


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Ventura County16911530:2430
    2Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    3Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    4Real Monarchs13523325:2222
    5Town FC13522428:1821
    6Portland Timbers 215512726:3119
    7Los Angeles FC II15511823:3118


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2161110432:2235
    2Colorado Rapids 217803628:2627
    3North Texas16721628:3126
    4Austin FC II15533417:1624
    5Houston Dynamo 216531722:2322
    6Minnesota 214602623:2020
    7Sporting Kansas City II14013109:335


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2161012339:2834
    2Philadelphia Union II14742133:1131
    3Chattanooga16822424:2130
    4Chicago Fire II15722428:2427
    5Huntsville14632329:1726
    6New England Revolution II14541421:1824
    7Orlando City B16621723:2923
    8New York City II16523630:3322
    9Toronto FC II15603616:2321
    10Crown Legacy15334523:2719
    11Cincinnati 215260715:2318
    12Inter Miami II16502925:3517
    13Carolina Core15324620:2117
    14Atlanta United 213224519:2314
    15Columbus Crew 214312814:2613


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2161110432:2235
    2Ventura County16911530:2430
    3Colorado Rapids 217803628:2627
    4North Texas16721628:3126
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 216630735:3124
    6Austin FC II15533417:1624
    7Tacoma Defiance14620634:3222
    8Real Monarchs13523325:2222
    9Houston Dynamo 216531722:2322
    10Town FC13522428:1821
    11Minnesota 214602623:2020
    12Portland Timbers 215512726:3119
    13Los Angeles FC II15511823:3118
    14Sporting Kansas City II14013109:335

          Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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