Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Baseball MLB Philadelphia Phillies - Washington Nationals
Result
2:4
01/05/2025 at 18:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLB
Philadelphia Phillies - Washington Nationals - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Hits
96
Errors
20
2B - double
12
3B - triple
10
Home Runs
00
Runs batted in
22
Left on base
78
Base on Balls
24
Strikeouts
74
Stolen bases
03
At bat
3434
Batting Average
0.2650.176

Highlights

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Phillies
60.5%
Washington Nationals
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.9% 39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5% 40.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Phillies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Washington Nationals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Nationals than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Philadelphia Phillies - Washington Nationals Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.57)

    2.44
    (2.45)
    3.9%
    (4.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 10.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Philadelphia Phillies - Washington Nationals?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Washington will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Philadelphia: 65%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 6:6.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 4.
    • Philadelphia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Washington is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Philadelphia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Philadelphia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Washington: Cavalli C. (Elbow Injury) DeJong P. (Broken nose) Gray J. (Elbow Injury) Herz D. P. (Elbow Injury) Ribalta O. (Arm Injury) Soroka M. (Muscle Injury) Thompson M. (Elbow Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 113:74. (average 5.7:3.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 58:30. (average 6.4:3.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Phillies - Washington Nationals were as follows:
    30.04.2025 Philadelphia Phillies - Washington Nationals 7:2
    29.04.2025 Philadelphia Phillies - Washington Nationals 7:6
    30.03.2025 Washington Nationals - Philadelphia Phillies 5:1
    29.03.2025 Washington Nationals - Philadelphia Phillies 6:11
    27.03.2025 Washington Nationals - Philadelphia Phillies 3:7
    MLB Table
    Main

    American League
    PlWLPCT
    1Toronto Blue Jays1116447523:5060.577
    2Detroit Tigers1116447536:4560.577
    3Houston Astros1106248474:4260.564
    4New York Yankees1106050576:4780.545
    5Boston Red Sox1116051547:4780.541
    6Seattle Mariners1115952502:4790.532
    7Texas Rangers1115754455:3900.514
    8Cleveland Guardians1095554427:4550.505
    9Kansas City Royals1105555402:4140.500
    10Tampa Bay Rays1115457505:4600.486
    11Los Angeles Angels1105357478:5470.482
    12Minnesota Twins1095158453:4870.468
    13Baltimore Orioles1105060482:5500.455
    14Athletics1124963487:6000.438
    15Chicago White Sox1104169422:4830.373


    National League
    PlWLPCT
    1Milwaukee Brewers1096544533:4310.596
    2Chicago Cubs1096445571:4570.587
    3Los Angeles Dodgers1106446573:5010.582
    4Philadelphia Phillies1096247509:4410.569
    5New York Mets1106248476:4340.564
    6San Diego Padres1106149449:4140.555
    7Cincinnati Reds1115853510:4660.523
    8San Francisco Giants1105555447:4410.500
    9St.Louis Cardinals1115556484:4960.495
    10Miami Marlins1085355466:5120.491
    11Arizona Diamondbacks1105159529:5450.464
    12Pittsburgh Pirates1104763385:4370.427
    13Atlanta Braves1094663457:4810.422
    14Washington Nationals1094465472:5890.404
    15Colorado Rockies1092980405:6810.266

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