Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Baseball MLB Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies
Result
5:4
07/09/2025 at 13:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : MLB
Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Hits
107
Errors
11
2B - double
02
3B - triple
01
Home Runs
21
Runs batted in
54
Left on base
108
Base on Balls
45
Strikeouts
47
Stolen bases
30
At bat
3434
Batting Average
0.2940.206

Highlights

Chances of winning


Miami Marlins
44.4%
Philadelphia Phillies
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 50.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami Marlins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Philadelphia Phillies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Marlins than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miami Marlins, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philadelphia Phillies than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Philadelphia Phillies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (2.06)

    1.72
    (1.77)
    4.4%
    (5%)
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 1.
    • Miami is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Philadelphia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 93:107. (average 4.7:5.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 48:60. (average 4.4:5.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies were as follows:
    06.09.2025 Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies 2:4
    05.09.2025 Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies 3:9
    19.06.2025 Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies 1:2
    18.06.2025 Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies 2:4
    17.06.2025 Miami Marlins - Philadelphia Phillies 8:3
    MLB Table
    Main

    American League
    PlWLPCT
    1Toronto Blue Jays1548965759:6950.578
    2New York Yankees1548668803:6700.558
    3Detroit Tigers1548569736:6580.552
    4Seattle Mariners1548569728:6660.552
    5Boston Red Sox1548470756:6500.545
    6Houston Astros1548470652:6290.545
    7Cleveland Guardians1538271600:6190.536
    8Texas Rangers1547975657:5720.513
    9Kansas City Royals1547777609:6090.500
    10Tampa Bay Rays1547579686:6380.487
    11Baltimore Orioles1547381654:7470.474
    12Athletics1547381709:7760.474
    13Los Angeles Angels1546985651:8000.448
    14Minnesota Twins1536687655:7470.431
    15Chicago White Sox1545896613:7010.377


    National League
    PlWLPCT
    1Milwaukee Brewers1549460786:6020.610
    2Philadelphia Phillies1549262751:6210.597
    3Chicago Cubs1548866747:6180.571
    4Los Angeles Dodgers1548767786:6600.565
    5San Diego Padres1548371655:6000.539
    6New York Mets1548074734:6750.519
    7Cincinnati Reds1547876690:6600.506
    8Arizona Diamondbacks1547777760:7390.500
    9San Francisco Giants1547678666:6520.494
    10St.Louis Cardinals1547579660:7120.487
    11Miami Marlins1547480684:7690.481
    12Atlanta Braves1547183687:7030.461
    13Pittsburgh Pirates1546589548:6300.422
    14Washington Nationals1546292653:8540.403
    15Colorado Rockies15442112581:9840.273

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