Petra Marcinko vs Alina Charaeva: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Tennis WTA US Open Petra Marcinko - Alina Charaeva
Result
1:2
21/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Petra Marcinko - Alina Charaeva - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Aces
34
Double Faults
45
1st Serve Percentage
69%66%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (35/49)63% (45/71)
2nd Serve Points Won
32% (7/22)42% (15/36)
Break Points Saved
29% (2/7)71% (10/14)
Average 1st Serve Speed
140 km/h161 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
108 km/h133 km/h
1st Return Points Won
37% (26/71)31% (15/49)
2nd Return Points Won
58% (21/36)68% (15/22)
Break Points Converted
29% (4/14)71% (5/7)
Winners
2322
Unforced Errors
4035
Net Points Won
83% (5/6)89% (8/9)
Service Points Won
58% (41/71)56% (59/106)
Return Points Won
44% (47/106)42% (30/71)
Total Points Won
50% (88/177)50% (89/177)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
62% (8/13)69% (9/13)
Return Games Won
31% (4/13)38% (5/13)
Total Games Won
46% (12/26)54% (14/26)

Chances of winning


Petra Marcinko
78.3%
Alina Charaeva
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.8% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.2% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Petra Marcinko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Petra Marcinko's performance.
  • Alina Charaeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alina Charaeva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petra Marcinko than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Petra Marcinko - Alina Charaeva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.21
    (1.36)

    4.31
    (3)
    6.1%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Petra Marcinko - Alina Charaeva?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Marcinko will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Charaeva will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marcinko: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Charaeva (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Marcinko is ranked WTA: 115. Charaeva is ranked WTA: 196.
    • Marcinko has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Charaeva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Charaeva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Marcinko is the team to beat.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Petra Marcinko
    Latest results of Alina Charaeva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Masarova R.2 : 0
    2Parrizas-Diaz N. (RET.)Kudermetova P.0 : 0
    3Jacquemot E.Bouzkova M.2 : 0
    4Marino R. (Q)Fernandez L. (31)0 : 2
    5Mertens E. (19)Ahn A. (WC)2 : 0
    6Sun L.Osorio C.2 : 1
    7Bucsa C.Liu C. (Q)2 : 0
    8Eala A.Tauson C. (14)2 : 1
    9Rybakina E. (9)Pareja J. (WC)2 : 0
    10Bronzetti L.Valentova T. (Q)1 : 2
    11Raducanu E.Shibahara E. (Q)2 : 0
    12Tjen J. (Q)Kudermetova V. (24)2 : 1
    13Kessler M. (32)Linette M.2 : 0
    14Selekhmeteva O. (Q)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    15Sasnovich A.Jovic I.0 : 2
    16Aiava D. (Q)Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    17Pegula J. (4)Sherif M.2 : 0
    18Starodubtseva Y.Blinkova A.0 : 2
    19Azarenka V.Inoue H. (Q)2 : 0
    20Pavlyuchenkova A.Yastremska D. (30)2 : 1
    21Samsonova L. (17)Yuan Y.2 : 1
    22Jeanjean L.Hon P. (Q)0 : 2
    23Li A.Sramkova R.2 : 1
    24Zhang S. (Q)Bencic B. (16)0 : 2
    25Navarro E. (10)Wang Y.2 : 0
    26Teichmann J.McNally C. (WC)0 : 2
    27Uchijima M.Danilovic O.2 : 1
    28Krejcikova B.Mboko V. (22)2 : 0
    29Ostapenko J. (25)Wang Xiy. (Q)2 : 0
    30Townsend T.Ruzic A.2 : 0
    31Potapova A.Zhu L.2 : 1
    32Parks A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    33Keys M. (6)Zarazua R.1 : 2
    34Kvitova P.Parry D.0 : 2
    35Volynets K. (Q)Sonmez Z.0 : 2
    36Boulter K.Kostyuk M. (27)0 : 2
    37Noskova L. (21)Galfi D. (Q)2 : 0
    38Jones F. (Q)Lys E.0 : 2
    39Cirstea S.Sierra S.2 : 0
    40Williams V. (WC)Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    41Kasatkina D. (15)Ruse G.2 : 0
    42Rakhimova K.Garcia C. (WC)2 : 1
    43Baptiste H.Siniakova K.2 : 0
    44Minnen G.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    45Frech M. (28)Gibson T. (WC)2 : 0
    46Semenistaja D. (Q)Stearns P.0 : 2
    47Vekic D.Bouzas Maneiro J.2 : 1
    48Tomljanovic A.Gauff C. (3)1 : 2
    49Anisimova A. (8)Birrell K.2 : 0
    50Jimenez Kasintseva V. (Q)Joint M.0 : 2
    51Collins D.Cristian J.0 : 2
    52Krueger A.Kenin S. (26)2 : 1
    53Haddad Maia B. (18)Kartal S.2 : 1
    54Boisson L.Golubic V.1 : 2
    55Sakkari M.Maria T.2 : 0
    56Bondar A.Svitolina E. (12)2 : 0
    57Alexandrova E. (13)Sevastova A.2 : 0
    58Dolehide C.Wang Xin.1 : 2
    59Zakharova A.Avanesyan E.2 : 0
    60Siegemund L.Shnaider D. (20)2 : 1
    61Kalinskaya A. (29)Ngounoue C. (WC)2 : 1
    62Putintseva Y.Cocciaretto E.2 : 0
    63Lamens S.Glozman V. (WC)2 : 0
    64Arango E.Swiatek I. (2)0 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Kudermetova P.2 : 0
    2Jacquemot E.Fernandez L. (31)1 : 2
    3Mertens E. (19)Sun L.2 : 0
    4Bucsa C.Eala A.2 : 0
    5Rybakina E. (9)Valentova T.2 : 0
    6Raducanu E.Tjen J.2 : 0
    7Kessler M. (32)Vondrousova M.0 : 2
    8Jovic I.Paolini J. (7)0 : 2
    9Pegula J. (4)Blinkova A.2 : 0
    10Azarenka V.Pavlyuchenkova A.2 : 0
    11Samsonova L. (17)Hon P.1 : 2
    12Li A.Bencic B. (16)2 : 0
    13Navarro E. (10)McNally C.2 : 0
    14Uchijima M.Krejcikova B.0 : 2
    15Ostapenko J. (25)Townsend T.0 : 2
    16Potapova A.Andreeva M. (5)0 : 2
    17Zarazua R.Parry D.1 : 2
    18Sonmez Z.Kostyuk M. (27)1 : 2
    19Noskova L. (21)Lys E. (RET.)1 : 0
    20Cirstea S.Muchova K. (11)1 : 2
    21Kasatkina D. (15)Rakhimova K.2 : 1
    22Baptiste H.Osaka N. (23)0 : 2
    23Frech M. (28)Stearns P.2 : 1
    24Vekic D.Gauff C. (3)0 : 2
    25Anisimova A. (8)Joint M.2 : 0
    26Cristian J.Krueger A.2 : 1
    27Haddad Maia B. (18)Golubic V.2 : 0
    28Sakkari M.Bondar A.2 : 0
    29Alexandrova E. (13)Wang Xin.2 : 0
    30Zakharova A.Siegemund L.0 : 2
    31Kalinskaya A. (29)Putintseva Y.2 : 0
    32Lamens S.Swiatek I. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Fernandez L. (31)2 : 0
    2Mertens E. (19)Bucsa C.1 : 2
    3Rybakina E. (9)Raducanu E.2 : 0
    4Vondrousova M.Paolini J. (7)2 : 0
    5Pegula J. (4)Azarenka V.2 : 0
    6Hon P.Li A.0 : 2
    7Navarro E. (10)Krejcikova B.1 : 2
    8Townsend T.Andreeva M. (5)2 : 0
    9Parry D.Kostyuk M. (27)
    10Noskova L. (21)Muchova K. (11)
    11Kasatkina D. (15)Osaka N. (23)
    12Frech M. (28)Gauff C. (3)
    13Anisimova A. (8)Cristian J.
    14Haddad Maia B. (18)Sakkari M.
    15Alexandrova E. (13)Siegemund L.
    16Kalinskaya A. (29)Swiatek I. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Sabalenka A. (1)Bucsa C.
    2Rybakina E. (9)Vondrousova M.
    3Pegula J. (4)Li A.
    4Krejcikova B.Townsend T.
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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