Accrington Stanley vs Peterborough United: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer English League Cup Accrington Stanley - Peterborough United
Result
2:1
12/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : EFL Cup - 1/64-finals
  • Referee: Bannister A. (Eng)
Accrington Stanley - Peterborough United - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.190.83
Ball Possession
27%73%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
59% (130/220)82% (475/578)
Yellow Cards
62
Expected Goals (xG)
1.190.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.691.22
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
15
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
16
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
2025
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1817
Passes
59% (130/220)82% (475/578)
Long passes
33% (23/69)50% (32/64)
Passes in final third
36% (29/81)66% (87/132)
Crosses
17% (1/6)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
1.210.75
Throw-ins
1832
Fouls
1718
Tackles
67% (14/21)53% (8/15)
Duels won
6960
Clearances
3016
Interceptions
133
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.221.69
Goals prevented
0.22-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 1', 1 - 0, Henderson A. ,
  • 21', Pye L. 🟨,
  • 25', 2 - 0, Mooney K. , Henderson A. (A),
  • 31', Martin D. 🟨,
  • 36', Henderson A. 🟨,
  • 41', Henderson A. , Sinclair I. ,
  • 45', Lolos K. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Brown C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Lolos K. , Odoh A. ,
  • 56', Lisbie K. 🟨,
  • 59', Pye L. , Love D. ,
  • 59', Popoola A. , Woods J. ,
  • 60', Martin D. , Coyle L. ,
  • 63', Lisbie K. , Hayes C. ,
  • 66', Love D. 🟨,
  • 70', Dornelly J. , Mendonca L. ,
  • 78', Brown C. , Tunstall F. ,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Collins A. , Hayes C. (A),
  • 90+2', Sass F. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Khela B. , Shofowoke B. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Accrington Stanley
44.8%
Draw
31.6%
Peterborough United
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 26.8% 39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 27.5% 40.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Accrington Stanley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Accrington Stanley's performance.
  • Peterborough United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peterborough United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Accrington Stanley that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peterborough United than the current prediction. (+17.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peterborough United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Accrington Stanley - Peterborough United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.1
    (2.81)
    4.65
    (3.5)
    6.68
    (2.36)
    -31.2%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Accrington Stanley - Peterborough United?
  • Users Predictions: Peterborough United will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.7%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Peterborough United will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 1.
    • Accrington has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Peterborough is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Peterborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Accrington has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Peterborough has had a series of away games.
    • Peterborough will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Accrington won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:22. (average 0.6:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Accrington won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Accrington Stanley - Peterborough United were as follows:
    18.04.2023 Accrington Stanley - Peterborough United 1:2
    25.10.2022 Peterborough United - Accrington Stanley 3:1
    Latest results of Accrington Stanley
    Latest results of Peterborough United
    Draw
    Main

    1/64-finals
    1BirminghamSheffield Utd2 : 1
    2BlackpoolPort Vale0 : 1
    3AccringtonPeterborough2 : 1
    4MiddlesbroughDoncaster0 : 4
    5TranmereBurton
    6HarrogateLincoln1 : 3
    7SunderlandBye
    8HuddersfieldLeicester3 : 2
    9BarrowPreston0 : 1
    10WrexhamHull4 : 3
    11WiganNotts Co1 : 0
    12Stockport CountyCrewe3 : 1
    13StokeWalsall1 : 0
    14BlackburnBradford City1 : 2
    15BurnleyBye
    16West BromDerby1 : 2
    17EvertonBye
    18ChesterfieldMansfield0 : 2
    19BoltonSheffield Wed3 : 4
    20ByeLeeds
    21GrimsbyShrewsbury3 : 1
    22ByeManchester Utd
    23FulhamBye
    24Bristol CityMK Dons2 : 0
    25WatfordNorwich1 : 2
    26NorthamptonSouthampton0 : 1
    27Oxford UtdColchester1 : 0
    28ByeBrighton
    29PortsmouthReading1 : 2
    30GillinghamAFC Wimbledon1 : 2
    31CardiffSwindon2 : 1
    32CheltenhamExeter2 : 0
    33NewportMillwall0 : 1
    34CoventryLuton1 : 0
    35WolvesBye
    36ByeWest Ham
    37BarnsleyFleetwood3 : 2
    38SalfordRotherham0 : 1
    39SwanseaCrawley3 : 1
    40PlymouthQPR3 : 2
    41BromleyIpswich2 : 1
    42Leyton OrientWycombe0 : 1
    43Bristol RoversCambridge Utd0 : 2
    44CharltonStevenage3 : 1
    45BournemouthBye
    46ByeBrentford

    1/32-finals
    1BirminghamPort Vale
    2AccringtonDoncaster
    3TBD #5Lincoln
    4SunderlandHuddersfield
    5PrestonWrexham
    6WiganStockport County
    7StokeBradford City
    8BurnleyDerby
    9EvertonMansfield
    10Sheffield WedLeeds
    11GrimsbyManchester Utd
    12FulhamBristol City
    13NorwichSouthampton
    14Oxford UtdBrighton
    15ReadingAFC Wimbledon
    16CardiffCheltenham
    17MillwallCoventry
    18WolvesWest Ham
    19BarnsleyRotherham
    20SwanseaPlymouth
    21BromleyWycombe
    22Cambridge UtdCharlton
    23BournemouthBrentford
    Which TV channels are streaming of Accrington Stanley - Peterborough United?
    It is being streamed on channel
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