Poblense vs Penya Independent: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Poblense - Penya Independent
Result
2:1
12/04/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 30
Poblense - Penya Independent - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Poblense - Penya Independent live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Alarcon M. ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', 2 - 1, Pons A. ,

Chances of winning


Poblense
50.9%
Draw
28.3%
Penya Independent
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 26.4% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8% 24.7% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Poblense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Penya Independent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Poblense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Poblense - Penya Independent Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.68)
    3.22
    (3.43)
    4.38
    (4.68)
    9.9%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Poblense in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Penya Independent is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Poblense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Poblense have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Poblense is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Poblense to win the game is with odds 1.74.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Poblense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Poblense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Poblense - Penya Independent were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Penya Independent - Poblense 1:0
    07.05.2023 Penya Independent - Poblense 1:1
    04.03.2023 Poblense - Penya Independent 2:1
    30.10.2022 Penya Independent - Poblense 2:2
    Latest results of Poblense
    29.03.2025 Constancia - Poblense 0:3
    23.03.2025 Porreres - Poblense 0:0
    15.03.2025 Poblense - Binissalem 1:0
    08.03.2025 Portmany - Poblense 0:1
    Latest results of Penya Independent
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mallorca B11004:043
    2Constancia11004:043
    3Manacor11003:033
    4Pena Deportiva11002:113
    5Mercadal11002:113
    6Binissalem11001:013
    7Llosetense11001:013
    8Felanitx10103:301
    9Collerense10103:301
    10Formentera10101:101
    11Inter Ibiza10101:101
    12Rotlet Molinar10011:2-10
    13Son Cladera10011:2-10
    14Santanyi10010:1-10
    15Platges de Calvia10010:1-10
    16Alcudia10010:3-30
    17Portmany10010:4-40
    18Cardassar10010:4-40

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan