Poblense vs Penya Independent: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

12/04/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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: Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 30

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Alarcon M. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 2 - 1, Pons A. ⚽,

Chances of winning

Poblense
50.9%

Draw
28.3%

Penya Independent
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

26.4%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

24.7%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poblense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Penya Independent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Poblense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penya Independent than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Poblense - Penya Independent Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.68)	3.22 ↓ (3.43)	4.38 ↓ (4.68)	9.9% (10.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Poblense - Penya Independent?

The most likely score is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Poblense in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Penya Independent is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Poblense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Poblense have a series of guest games.
In this match Poblense is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Poblense to win the game is with odds 1.74.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Poblense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1.4:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Poblense won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 2:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Poblense won against Penya Independent?

Poblense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Penya Independent won against Poblense?

Penya Independent has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Poblense - Penya Independent were as follows:

30.11.2024 Penya Independent - Poblense 1:0

07.05.2023 Penya Independent - Poblense 1:1

04.03.2023 Poblense - Penya Independent 2:1

30.10.2022 Penya Independent - Poblense 2:2

Latest results of Poblense

05.04.2025 Platges de Calvià - Poblense 0:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Constancia - Poblense 0:3 ✺

23.03.2025 Porreres - Poblense 0:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Poblense - Binissalem 1:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Portmany - Poblense 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Penya Independent

05.04.2025 Penya Independent - Collerense 4:3 ✺

22.03.2025 Llosetense - Penya Independent 2:0 ✺

15.03.2025 Penya Independent - Platges de Calvià 2:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Constancia - Penya Independent 1:0 ✺

22.02.2025 Binissalem - Penya Independent 1:0 ✺

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table

2024/25

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Poblense	33	21	6	6	46:17	29	69
2	Formentera	33	19	9	5	68:33	35	66
3	Constancia	33	17	13	3	53:30	23	64
4	Porreres	33	16	11	6	48:31	17	59
5	Penya Indep	33	17	7	9	59:33	26	58
6	Platges de Calvia	33	14	12	7	48:31	17	54
7	Manacor	34	13	12	9	54:36	18	51
8	Binissalem	34	13	8	13	35:34	1	47
9	Alcudia	33	12	8	13	45:50	-5	44
10	Llosetense	33	11	8	14	42:41	1	41
11	Santanyi	33	9	13	11	39:45	-6	40
12	Felanitx	33	10	9	14	33:50	-17	39
13	Collerense	33	9	11	13	42:48	-6	38
14	Mercadal	33	9	10	14	38:42	-4	37
15	Portmany	33	8	13	12	39:46	-7	37
16	PE Sant Jordi	33	8	6	19	29:50	-21	30
17	Campos	33	4	8	21	30:73	-43	20
18	Migjorn	33	4	4	25	21:79	-58	16

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Which TV channels are streaming of Poblense - Penya Independent?

It is being streamed on various channels, including: