Result
1:0
03/05/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Cristian Lucca ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
59.6% | Draw
25.7% | Penedense
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense's performance.Penedense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penedense than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Penedense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.77) |
3.55 ↑
(3.16) |
6.2 ↑
(4.68) |
9.6%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Penedense?
The most likely score is 1:0.
User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 5).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, ASA is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, ASA won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, ASA won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense won against Penedense?
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Penedense won against Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense?
Penedense has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Penedense were as follows:
05.04.2025
Penedense
-
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
0:0
22.01.2025
Penedense
-
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
0:0
19.01.2025
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
-
Penedense
1:1
18.02.2024
Penedense
-
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
1:2
Latest results of Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Latest results of Penedense
Brazilian Serie D Table
2025Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Manauara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Independencia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Aguia De Maraba | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Tuna Luso | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Manaus | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 5 |
| 6 | Trem | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 7 | GAS | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
| 8 | Humaita | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:10 | -9 | 0 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AE Altos | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 8 |
| 2 | Iguatu | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Tocantinopolis | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Maranhao | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 5 |
| 5 | Maracana | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Sampaio Correa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Imperatriz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 8 | Parnahyba | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0:6 | -6 | 1 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Santa Cruz | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 10 |
| 2 | America RN | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Central SC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Ferroviario | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 5 | Treze PB | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 6 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz de Natal | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 7 | Sousa | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 8 | Horizonte | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0:6 | -6 | 1 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ASA | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Lagarto | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 3 | Jequie | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Uniao Carmolandense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Sergipe | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Barcelona | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 7 | SC Penedense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 8 | Juazeirense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 2 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ceilandia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 2 | Luverdense | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Aparecidense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Mixto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Goiania | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | Capital | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 7 | Porto Velho | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Goianesia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portuguesa | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Pouso Alegre | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Boavista | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 4 | Rio Branco ES | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Agua Santa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | Porto Vitoria | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 5 |
| 7 | Marica | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Nova Iguacu | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 2 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cianorte | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 2 | Inter de Limeira | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Itabirito | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Operario MS | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 5 | Goiatuba | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Uberlandia | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Cascavel | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
| 8 | Monte Azul | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barra FC | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Joinville | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Azuriz | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Sao Luiz | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 6 |
| 5 | EC Sao Jose | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | Marcilio Dias | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 7 | Brasil de Pelotas | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 8 | Guarany de Bage | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
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