Result
0:1
13/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Thiago Papel ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Penedense
14.2% | Draw
23.5% | Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
62.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penedense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)The ML Model estimate for Penedense aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense than the current prediction. (-1%)
Penedense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.38 ↑
(6.25) |
3.85 ↑
(3.6) |
1.45 ↓
(1.51) |
10.6%
(10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Penedense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Penedense (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Penedense (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
- ASA is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
- Recent form of Penedense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- ASA has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- ASA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, ASA is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penedense won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.4:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Penedense won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Penedense won against Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense?
Penedense has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense won against Penedense?
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penedense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense were as follows:
03.05.2025
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
-
Penedense
1:0
05.04.2025
Penedense
-
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
0:0
22.01.2025
Penedense
-
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
0:0
19.01.2025
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
-
Penedense
1:1
18.02.2024
Penedense
-
Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
1:2
Latest results of Penedense
Latest results of Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense
Brazilian Serie D Table
2025Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Manauara ✔ | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 26:9 | 17 | 26 |
| 2 | Tuna Luso ✔ | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22:10 | 12 | 24 |
| 3 | Manaus | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 20:17 | 3 | 20 |
| 4 | Aguia De Maraba | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 21:13 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Trem | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 23:23 | 0 | 18 |
| 6 | Independencia | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | GAS | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 14 |
| 8 | Humaita | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12:43 | -31 | 4 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | AE Altos ✔ | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22:13 | 9 | 26 |
| 2 | Imperatriz ✔ | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 21 |
| 3 | Sampaio Correa ✔ | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Iguatu | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:14 | 0 | 17 |
| 5 | Maranhao | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 6 | Tocantinopolis | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 15 |
| 7 | Parnahyba | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | -5 | 14 |
| 8 | Maracana | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11:22 | -11 | 9 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Central SC ✔ | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 25 |
| 2 | America RN ✔ | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19:9 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | Santa Cruz ✔ | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 17:10 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | Horizonte | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:15 | -1 | 17 |
| 5 | Ferroviario | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 17 |
| 6 | Santa Cruz de Natal | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11:19 | -8 | 14 |
| 7 | Treze PB | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7:17 | -10 | 13 |
| 8 | Sousa | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | ASA ✔ | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24:8 | 16 | 28 |
| 2 | Lagarto ✔ | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 20:15 | 5 | 23 |
| 3 | Juazeirense ✔ | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 22 |
| 4 | Sergipe | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:10 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Jequie | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Uniao Carmolandense | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 16 |
| 7 | Barcelona | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 11 |
| 8 | SC Penedense | 13 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 4:17 | -13 | 5 |
Group 5 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aparecidense ✔ | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 30:11 | 19 | 29 |
| 2 | Ceilandia ✔ | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21:14 | 7 | 25 |
| 3 | Luverdense ✔ | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 22 |
| 4 | Mixto ✔ | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Capital | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 13:10 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | Goiania | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12:21 | -9 | 10 |
| 7 | Goianesia | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 8 |
| 8 | Porto Velho | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 9:27 | -18 | 7 |
Group 6 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portuguesa ✔ | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 27 |
| 2 | Rio Branco ES ✔ | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 16:9 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Marica | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:11 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Agua Santa | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:18 | 0 | 18 |
| 5 | Pouso Alegre | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 17 |
| 6 | Porto Vitoria | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 7 | Nova Iguacu | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 8 | Boavista | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9:20 | -11 | 9 |
Group 7 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter de Limeira ✔ | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 21:6 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Goiatuba ✔ | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 3 | Cianorte ✔ | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:17 | 3 | 19 |
| 4 | Cascavel | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 18 |
| 5 | Uberlandia | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 16 |
| 6 | Operario MS | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 14 |
| 7 | Monte Azul | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11:17 | -6 | 11 |
| 8 | Itabirito | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 10 |
Group 8 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barra FC ✔ | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20:9 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | EC Sao Jose ✔ | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 20:10 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | Joinville ✔ | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 21 |
| 4 | Marcilio Dias ✔ | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 5 | Guarany de Bage | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 16 |
| 6 | Brasil de Pelotas | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 7 | Sao Luiz | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 |
| 8 | Azuriz | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 6:14 | -8 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Manauara is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Tuna Luso is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
AE Altos is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Imperatriz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Sampaio Correa is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Central SC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
America RN is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Santa Cruz is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
ASA is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Lagarto is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Juazeirense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Aparecidense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Ceilandia is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Luverdense is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Mixto is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Portuguesa is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Rio Branco ES is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Inter de Limeira is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Goiatuba is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Cianorte is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Barra FC is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
EC Sao Jose is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Joinville is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Marcilio Dias is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
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