Peñarol vs Dogos XV: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Rugby union Super Rugby Americas Peñarol - Dogos XV
Result
35:34
13/06/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Super Rugby Americas - Play Offs - Final
Peñarol - Dogos XV - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Tries
55
Conversion Goals
53
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
01
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (21 - 8)
  • 10', Basso B. (Try),
  • 11', Etcheverry F. (Conversion Goal),
  • 16', Basso B. (Try),
  • 17', Etcheverry F. (Conversion Goal),
  • 19', Baronio J. (Penalty Goal),
  • 30', Civetta S. (Try),
  • 30', Etcheverry F. (Conversion Goal),
  • 38', Gea Salim L. (Try),
  • 2nd Half (14 - 26)
  • 45', Diana M. (Try),
  • 47', Baronio J. 🟨,
  • 47', Etcheverry F. (Conversion Goal),
  • 54', Alvarez S. (Try),
  • 54', Etcheverry F. (Conversion Goal),
  • 60', Sanguinetti M. 🟨,
  • 60', Moyano A. (Try),
  • 72', Rodriguez F. (Conversion Goal),
  • 73', (Try),
  • 77', Revol J. I. (Try),
  • 78', Rodriguez F. (Conversion Goal),
  • 79', (Try),
  • 80', Etcheverry F. 🟨,
  • 80', (Conversion Goal),

Chances of winning


Peñarol
63.6%
Draw
3.6%
Dogos XV
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.8% 3.6% 32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1% 3.6% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Dogos XV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dogos XV than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Peñarol - Dogos XV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.45)
    25.5
    (26)
    2.82
    (2.83)
    8.4%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.
    • Peñarol could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Peñarol will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 48:45. (average 24:22.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Peñarol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:28.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol - Dogos XV were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Dogos XV - Peñarol 17:19
    14.02.2025 Peñarol - Dogos XV 29:28
    Latest results of Peñarol
    06.06.2025 Peñarol - Selknam 34:18
    30.05.2025 Peñarol - Pampas XV 27:32
    24.05.2025 Dogos XV - Peñarol 17:19
    12.05.2025 Peñarol - Cobras Brasil XV 57:23
    02.05.2025 Peñarol - Tarucas 28:35
    Latest results of Dogos XV
    06.06.2025 Pampas XV - Dogos XV 21:27
    30.05.2025 Dogos XV - Selknam 31:33
    24.05.2025 Dogos XV - Peñarol 17:19
    16.05.2025 Tarucas - Dogos XV 22:43
    02.05.2025 Dogos XV - Yacare XV 39:29
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Pampas XV (1)Dogos XV (4)21 : 27
    2Penarol (2)Selknam (3)34 : 18

    Final
    1Dogos XV (4)Penarol (2)34 : 35
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