Racing vs Peñarol de Montevideo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Libertadores Racing - Peñarol de Montevideo
Result
3:1
19/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
Racing - Peñarol de Montevideo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.891.29
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
2616
Shots on target
76
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
97
Passes
74% (255/346)49% (84/170)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
2.891.29
xG on target (xGOT)
2.091.66
Total shots
2616
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
104
Shots inside the Box
2010
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
97
Touches in opposition box
5918
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
74% (255/346)49% (84/170)
Long passes
58% (38/65)24% (13/55)
Passes in final third
54% (75/140)39% (26/67)
Crosses
32% (13/41)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.83
Throw-ins
2324
Fouls
1413
Tackles
70% (14/20)56% (10/18)
Duels won
7554
Clearances
4055
Interceptions
155
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
1.662.09
Goals prevented
0.66-0.91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Adrian Martinez , Solari S. (A),
  • 15', 1 - 1, Herrera N. , Remedi E. (A),
  • 27', Gularte E. 🟨,
  • 37', Martirena Torres G. N. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Cortes B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 58', Pardo F. 🟨,
  • 61', David Terans 🟨,
  • 61', David Terans , Milans P. ,
  • 70', Silvera M. , Arezo M. ,
  • 73', Almendra A. E. , Vergara D. ,
  • 73', Rojo M. , Colombo N. ,
  • 79', Solari S. , Conechny T. ,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Adrian Martinez (Pen),
  • 87', Rojo M. 🟥,
  • 87', Zuculini B. 🟥,
  • 88', Arezo M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Arias G. , Cambeses F. ,
  • 90+3', Balboa A. , Vietto L. ,
  • 90+3', 3 - 1, Pardo F. , Martirena Torres G. N. (A),
  • 90+4', Remedi E. , Umpierrez L. ,
  • 90+4', Sosa I. , Lucas Hernandez ,
  • 90+4', Cabrera J. , Fernandez L. ,

Chances of winning


Racing
67.3%
Draw
21.8%
Peñarol de Montevideo
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 27.4% 18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5% 28.8% 17.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Racing's performance.
  • Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peñarol de Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Racing that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peñarol de Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Racing - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.73)
    4.62
    (3.45)
    9.33
    (5.25)
    0.4%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Racing - Peñarol de Montevideo?
  • Users Predictions: Racing will win (36 of 44 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 70.42%93.22%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Racing will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.
    • Racing is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Peñarol is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Racing is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Racing: Martirena Torres G. N. (Inactive) Nardoni J. (Inactive) Rojo M. (Inactive) Sosa S. (Inactive) Zaracho M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Peñarol: Baez J. (Inactive) Cruz A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Peñarol: Fernandez L. (Injury) Milans P. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Racing won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Racing - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
    12.08.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Racing 1:0
    Latest results of Racing
    15.08.2025 Racing - Tigre 1:2
    09.08.2025 Boca Juniors - Racing 1:1
    03.08.2025 Racing - Deportivo Riestra 3:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. NacionalSao Paulo1 : 2, 0 : 0
    2Botafogo RJLDU Quito0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Libertad AsuncionRiver Plate1 : 2, 0 : 0
    4U. de DeportesPalmeiras0 : 0, 0 : 4
    5FortalezaVelez Sarsfield0 : 2, 0 : 0
    6PenarolRacing Club1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Cerro PortenoEstudiantes L.P.0 : 0, 0 : 1
    8Flamengo RJInternacional2 : 0, 1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sao PauloLDU Quito
    2River PlatePalmeiras
    3Velez SarsfieldRacing Club
    4Estudiantes L.P.Flamengo RJ
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