Peñarol de Montevideo vs Plaza Colonia: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Uruguayan Primera Division Peñarol de Montevideo - Plaza Colonia
06/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Peñarol de Montevideo - Plaza Colonia - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Peñarol de Montevideo
69.7%
Draw
19.9%
Plaza Colonia
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.8% 18.7% 10.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.1% 17.4% 9.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Plaza Colonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peñarol de Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo - Plaza Colonia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.33
    (1.31)
    4.56
    (4.94)
    9.48
    (8.77)
    7.5%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 2.
    • Peñarol has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Plaza Colonia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Peñarol is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:12. (average 1.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Plaza Colonia were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Peñarol de Montevideo - Plaza Colonia 2:0
    15.03.2025 Plaza Colonia - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:0
    24.11.2023 Peñarol de Montevideo - Plaza Colonia 0:0
    23.04.2023 Plaza Colonia - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:2
    09.10.2022 Peñarol de Montevideo - Plaza Colonia 0:1
    Latest results of Plaza Colonia
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol540112:4812
    2Boston River53209:3611
    3Montevideo City531113:8510
    4Liverpool M53116:3310
    5Cerro Largo53116:3310
    6Juventud53025:509
    7Defensor Sp53023:6-39
    8Nacional531111:657
    9Miramar52128:717
    10CA Cerro52125:417
    11Racing Montevideo52034:10-66
    12Danubio51134:6-24
    13Wanderers51132:4-24
    14Progreso51045:9-43
    15Plaza Colonia50143:10-71
    16River Plate50140:8-81

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