Result
06/09/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Peñarol de Montevideo 69.7% | Draw 19.9% | Plaza Colonia 10.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Plaza Colonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peñarol de Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Colonia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Peñarol de Montevideo - Plaza Colonia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.33 ↑ (1.31) |
4.56 ↓ (4.94) |
9.48 ↑ (8.77) |
7.5% (8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 2.
- Peñarol has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Plaza Colonia has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Peñarol is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:12. (average 1.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Plaza Colonia?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Plaza Colonia won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Plaza Colonia has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Plaza Colonia were as follows:
24.05.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Plaza Colonia
2:0
15.03.2025
Plaza Colonia
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:0
24.11.2023
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Plaza Colonia
0:0
23.04.2023
Plaza Colonia
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:2
09.10.2022
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Plaza Colonia
0:1
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Latest results of Plaza Colonia
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Penarol | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 12 |
2 | Boston River | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 11 |
3 | Montevideo City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
4 | Liverpool M | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
5 | Cerro Largo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
6 | Juventud | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 |
7 | Defensor Sp | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 9 |
8 | Nacional | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 7 |
9 | Miramar | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
10 | CA Cerro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
11 | Racing Montevideo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 6 |
12 | Danubio | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Wanderers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
14 | Progreso | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
15 | Plaza Colonia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 1 |
16 | River Plate | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0:8 | -8 | 1 |
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