Platense vs Peñarol de Montevideo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Result
1:1
07/05/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
Platense - Peñarol de Montevideo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.230.42
Ball possession
58%42%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
34
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
43
Passes
64% (223/349)45% (119/262)
Yellow cards
26
Expected goals (xG)
1.230.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.321.09
Total shots
138
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
81
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
126
Shots outside the box
12
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2819
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free kicks
1614
Passes
64% (223/349)45% (119/262)
Long passes
28% (23/82)24% (17/71)
Passes in final third
61% (70/115)36% (39/108)
Crosses
31% (10/32)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.840.41
Throw ins
2421
Fouls
1416
Tackles
50% (7/14)52% (12/23)
Duels won
6584
Clearances
2930
Interceptions
1514
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
1.090.32
Goals prevented
0.09-0.68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', Remedi E. , Laxalt D. ,
  • 14', Ferreira L. 🟨,
  • 17', Nasif T. , Lotti A. ,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Batista F. , Laxalt D. (A),
  • 30', Batista F. 🟨,
  • 34', Lemos M. 🟨,
  • 34', Mainero G. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Lagos A. , Zapiola F. (A),
  • 41', Zapiola F. 🟨,
  • 45', Olivera M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Batista F. , Togni G. ,
  • 59', Fernandez N. 🟨,
  • 76', Umpierrez L. , Hernandez A. ,
  • 77', Zapiola F. , Gomez I. ,
  • 79', Lotti A. , Lencina G. ,
  • 80', Mainero G. , Mendia M. ,
  • 87', Retamar K. , Gauto J. ,
  • 87', Amarfil M. , Barrios M. ,
  • 90+8', Aguerre W. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Platense
44.1%
Draw
33.1%
Peñarol de Montevideo
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 28.9% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 28.8% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Platense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peñarol de Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Platense than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peñarol de Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Platense - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.27)
    2.85
    (3.27)
    4.1
    (3.2)
    5.9%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Platense - Peñarol de Montevideo?
    • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Platense will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
      Confidence interval (95%) for Platense: 29%96%.
    • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    Preview Facts
    • Platense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Peñarol's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Platense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Platense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Platense: Amarfil M. (Inactive) Bobadilla H. (Muscle Injury) Goni G. (Muscle Injury) Luna Diale M. (Inactive) Minerva F. (Muscle Injury) Portillo M. (Muscle Injury) Quiros S. (Hamstring Injury) Vazquez I. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Peñarol: Cabrera J. (Inactive) Darias E. (Inactive) Fernandez L. (Inactive) Gularte E. (Inactive) Herrera N. (Injury) Olivera M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Peñarol: Angulo L. (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Platense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Platense - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
    16.04.2026 Peñarol de Montevideo - Platense 1:2
    Latest results of Platense
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ651014:21216
    2Estudiantes L.P62316:519
    3Ind. Medellin62136:11-57
    4Cusco60154:12-81


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo63128:6210
    2Deportes Tolima62227:618
    3Nacional62227:9-28
    4U. de Deportes61325:6-16


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia651015:6916
    2Fluminense62227:708
    3Bolivar61236:8-25
    4La Guaira60336:13-73


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica64118:4413
    2Cruzeiro63218:3511
    3Boca Juniors62136:517
    4Barcelona SC61052:12-103


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians63218:4411
    2Platense63128:7110
    3Santa Fe62226:7-18
    4Penarol60334:8-43


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cerro Porteno64116:2413
    2Palmeiras632110:5511
    3Sporting Cristal62046:9-36
    4Junior61145:11-64


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito64028:5312
    2Mirassol64027:4312
    3Lanus63033:7-49
    4Always Ready61057:9-23


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle641111:6513
    2Rosario Central64119:1813
    3Universidad Central63037:11-49
    4Libertad Asuncion60064:13-90

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Which TV channels are streaming of Platense - Peñarol de Montevideo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
    asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
    australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
    boliviaBoliviaESPN 2, ESPN
    brazilBrazilParamount+
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
    canadaCanadabeIN Connect
    chileChileDisney+, ESPN 5
    colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
    ecuadorEcuadorESPN 2
    italyItalyComo TV
    mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    paraguayParaguayESPN 2
    peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
    spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 2, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 2, Inter
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