Danubio vs Peñarol de Montevideo: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Uruguayan Primera Division Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo
Result
0:1
05/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 10
  • Referee: Ostojich E. (Uru)
Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Match Stats

Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
512
Shots on target
37
Corner Kicks
25
Yellow Cards
13
Red Cards
01
Total shots
512
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
25
Corner Kicks
25
Goalkeeper Saves
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', Avenatti F. , Machado A. ,
  • 27', Novick H. 🟨,
  • 27', 0 - 1, Villalba H. ,
  • 36', De Amores G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Villalba H. , Fernandez L. ,
  • 46', Sosa L. , Perg M. ,
  • 46', Novick H. , Pintos I. ,
  • 60', Femia E. , Nunez S. ,
  • 62', Sosa I. , Gonzalez F. ,
  • 63', Herrera N. 🟨,
  • 71', Garcia Cardozo D. G. , Leo Coelho ,
  • 72', Fernandez J. , Sanseviero L. ,
  • 72', Gonzalez F. , Arguello M. ,
  • 90', Herrera N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Danubio
27.7%
Draw
29.7%
Peñarol de Montevideo
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.5% 26.6% 48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1% 26.1% 49.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Peñarol de Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peñarol de Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.4
    (3.79)
    3.12
    (3.49)
    2.17
    (1.9)
    7.7%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Danubio won 2.
    • Recent matches Danubio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Peñarol is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Danubio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Peñarol will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Danubio won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 14:29 (average 0.7:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Danubio won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 7:16 (average 0.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo were as follows:
    16.10.2024 Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo 0:1
    14.04.2024 Peñarol de Montevideo - Danubio 2:0
    19.11.2023 Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo 2:1
    08.07.2023 Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo 1:0
    15.04.2023 Peñarol de Montevideo - Danubio 2:0
    Latest results of Danubio
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Torneo Intermedio

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol32106:157
    2Wanderers32104:227
    3Defensor Sp32015:6-16
    4Liverpool M31203:215
    5CA Cerro31112:204
    6Plaza Colonia30212:4-22
    7Cerro Largo30124:6-21
    8River Plate30031:4-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Danubio33006:249
    2Racing Montevideo22003:036
    3Nacional22003:126
    4Juventud21015:503
    5Boston River21013:4-13
    6Progreso20020:2-20
    7Montevideo City30035:8-30
    8Miramar20020:3-30

          Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: )

    Which TV channels are streaming of Danubio - Peñarol de Montevideo?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
    spainSpainGol Play
    uruguayUruguayVTV+
    usaUsaFanatiz
    venezuelaVenezuelaInter
    worldWorldDisney+
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan