San Lorenzo de Almagro vs Peñarol de Mar del Plata: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Basketball Argentinian LNB San Lorenzo de Almagro - Peñarol de Mar del Plata
Result
76:63
05/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga A
San Lorenzo de Almagro - Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Highlights

Chances of winning


San Lorenzo de Almagro
54.2%
Peñarol de Mar del Plata
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8% 53.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • San Lorenzo de Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Peñarol de Mar del Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo de Almagro than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Lorenzo de Almagro that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Peñarol de Mar del Plata could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • San Lorenzo de Almagro - Peñarol de Mar del Plata Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.82)

    2.03
    (1.76)
    7.9%
    (11.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 137.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

  • Watch this match and Argentinian LNB with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : TyC Sports
  • What is the prediction for San Lorenzo de Almagro - Peñarol de Mar del Plata?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. San Lorenzo will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Peñarol will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Peñarol: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 73:65.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 1.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • San Lorenzo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently San Lorenzo have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches San Lorenzo won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 1716:1564 (average 85.8:78.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams San Lorenzo won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 865:794 (average 86.5:79.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between San Lorenzo de Almagro - Peñarol de Mar del Plata were as follows:
    09.01.2025 Peñarol de Mar del Plata - San Lorenzo de Almagro 80:77
    22.04.2024 Peñarol de Mar del Plata - San Lorenzo de Almagro 80:75
    15.11.2023 San Lorenzo de Almagro - Peñarol de Mar del Plata 88:65
    17.01.2023 San Lorenzo de Almagro - Peñarol de Mar del Plata 75:99
    20.10.2022 Peñarol de Mar del Plata - San Lorenzo de Almagro 79:70
    Latest results of San Lorenzo de Almagro
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Boca Juniors (1)Bye
    2Ferro (8)Gimnasia (9)3 : 2
    3Quimsa (4)Bye
    4Obras Sanitarias (5)Atenas (12)3 : 0
    5Instituto de Cordoba (3)Bye
    6Riachuelo (6)Union De Santa Fe (11)3 : 1
    7Obera TC (2)Bye
    8Regatas (7)San Martin (10)3 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Boca Juniors (1)Ferro (8)3 : 2
    2Quimsa (4)Obras Sanitarias (5)3 : 0
    3Instituto de Cordoba (3)Riachuelo (6)3 : 1
    4Obera TC (2)Regatas (7)1 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Boca Juniors (1)Quimsa (4)3 : 0
    2Instituto de Cordoba (3)Regatas (7)3 : 1

    Final
    1Boca Juniors (1)Instituto de Cordoba (3)1 : 1
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