Penapolense vs São Caetano: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4 Penapolense - São Caetano
16/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Paulista A4 - Round 14
Penapolense - São Caetano - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
Advertisement
Watch and bet Penapolense - São Caetano live
  1. Sign in or Register (it's free) to watch and bet Live Stream*
  2. To place a bet while streaming, go to Live In-Play
  3. Prior to joining Bet365.com and funding your account in order to view this event, or any other particular event via Bet365.com live stream, you are strongly advised to check with Bet365.com if, depending on your place of residence, it is possible to view this live stream.

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 38', 1 - 0, Breno Goncalves ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 71', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Penapolense
30.6%
Draw
28.5%
São Caetano
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.5% 27.2% 46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4% 26% 48.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Penapolense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • São Caetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Caetano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penapolense than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Penapolense that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Caetano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Penapolense - São Caetano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.99
    (3.5)
    3.21
    (3.4)
    2.24
    (2)
    9.1%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Penapolense - São Caetano?
    The most likely score is 1:1. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • São Caetano is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • Recent matches Penapolense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • São Caetano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Penapolense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • São Caetano will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Penapolense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    • Including matches at home between the teams Penapolense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    Latest results of Penapolense
    Latest results of São Caetano
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)Colorado Caieiras (8)1 : 1, 1 : 0
    2Taquaritinga (2)AEA Aracatuba (7)0 : 3, 1 : 0
    3CA Joseense (4)Paulista (5)0 : 2, 2 : 2
    4Sao Caetano (3)Nacional SP (6)1 : 1, 0 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)AEA Aracatuba (7)4 : 0, 2 : 3
    2Paulista (5)Nacional SP (6)3 : 0, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Uniao Barbarense (1)Paulista (5)1 : 0, 1 : 0
    X
    bet365
    advertisement
    LiveStream.Fan