Leixões vs Penafiel: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Portuguese Liga 2 Leixões - Penafiel
Result
3:1
27/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga Portugal 2 - Round 31
  • Referee: Melo F. (Por)
Leixões - Penafiel - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
104
Shots on target
92
Corner Kicks
110
Yellow Cards
14
Total shots
104
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
12
Corner Kicks
110
Offsides
51
Free Kicks
2520
Throw-ins
2431
Fouls
1525
Goalkeeper Saves
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', Reko 🟨,
  • 34', Rodrigues T. 🟨,
  • 44', Pereira R. 🟨,
  • 45+5', 0 - 1, Robinho (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Bica , Henrique Gelain (A),
  • 56', 2 - 1, Bica ,
  • 56', Rodrigues T. , Pinheiro Edu ,
  • 57', Reko , Ewerton ,
  • 59', Ze Leite , Vieira P. ,
  • 73', Silva A. , Olamilekan Fatai S. ,
  • 73', Batista D. , Suker H. ,
  • 76', Werton , Ndo R. ,
  • 77', Olamilekan Fatai S. 🟨,
  • 82', Jaiminho , Paulite ,
  • 82', Fabinho , Seruca A. ,
  • 86', Andre , Simoes A. ,
  • 86', Bica , Rafael Martins ,
  • 87', 3 - 1, Rafael Martins ,
  • 88', Rafael Martins 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leixões
50.5%
Draw
27.5%
Penafiel
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 28.2% 26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8% 24.5% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)
  • Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-10.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leixões that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Penafiel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Leixões - Penafiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.05)
    3.38
    (3.32)
    4.24
    (3.59)
    7.3%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Leixões - Penafiel?
    The most likely score is 1:0. User prediction is will win! ( of users predict this).
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leixões won 1.
    • Recent matches Leixões is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Penafiel has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Leixões could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Leixões is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Leixões won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14:20 (average 0.7:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leixões won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:8 (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leixões - Penafiel were as follows:
    14.12.2024 Penafiel - Leixões 3:1
    21.01.2024 Leixões - Penafiel 0:1
    13.08.2023 Penafiel - Leixões 3:0
    29.01.2023 Leixões - Penafiel 2:1
    Latest results of Leixões
    18.04.2025 Felgueiras - Leixões 4:0
    05.04.2025 Marítimo - Leixões 1:1
    30.03.2025 Leixões - Leiria 0:1
    10.03.2025 Leixões - Tondela 0:1
    Latest results of Penafiel
    19.04.2025 Penafiel - Feirense 1:2
    14.04.2025 Mafra - Penafiel 4:2
    05.04.2025 Felgueiras - Penafiel 1:0
    29.03.2025 Penafiel - Marítimo 0:1
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2024/25
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tondela331613456:352161
    2Alverca331612556:332360
    3Vizela331611648:291959
    4Torreense33159949:40954
    5Leiria331571149:351452
    6Benfica B331410949:371252
    7Chaves331481140:34650
    8Feirense3313101035:32349
    9Academico Viseu3311121043:40345
    10Penafiel331281345:47-244
    11Maritimo3310131041:46-543
    12Felgueiras3310131041:37443
    13Leixoes339111335:42-738
    14FC Porto B338111435:43-835
    15Portimonense33971737:52-1534
    16Pacos Ferreira33861933:50-1730
    17Oliveirense33781829:62-3329
    18Mafra33591927:54-2724

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
          Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga 3

    Which TV channels are streaming of Leixões - Penafiel?
    It is being streamed on channel
    portugalPortugalSport TV2
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