Result
27/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
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Chances of winning
Penafiel
28.3% | Draw
28.2% | Felgueiras
43.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Penafiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Penafiel's form might have worsened.Felgueiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felgueiras's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Penafiel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felgueiras than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felgueiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Penafiel - Felgueiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.33 ↑
(2.68) |
3.3 ↑
(3.25) |
2.16 ↓
(2.42) |
6.6%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 10).
- Penafiel is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Felgueiras is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Felgueiras is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Penafiel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Penafiel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Penafiel won against Felgueiras?
Penafiel has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Felgueiras won against Penafiel?
Felgueiras has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Penafiel - Felgueiras were as follows:
05.04.2025
Felgueiras
-
Penafiel
1:0
09.11.2024
Penafiel
-
Felgueiras
2:1
Latest results of Penafiel
Latest results of Felgueiras
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting CP B | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Vizela | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Maritimo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Leiria | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Feirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 6 | Torreense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | SC Farense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Chaves | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Felgueiras | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Oliveirense | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Lusitania FC | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Academico Viseu | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 15 | Benfica B | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
| 17 | Penafiel | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
| 18 | FC Porto B | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
Which TV channels are streaming of Penafiel - Felgueiras?
It is being streamed on various channels, including:
