Bala Town vs Pen-y-Bont: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Welsh Cymru Premier Bala Town - Pen-y-Bont
06/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Cymru Premier - Round 6
  • Referee: Owen T. (Wal)
Bala Town - Pen-y-Bont - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Bala Town
19.3%
Draw
25.8%
Pen-y-Bont
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.9% 27.8% 47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8% 29.1% 49.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bala Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bala Town's form might have worsened.
  • Pen-y-Bont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pen-y-Bont's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bala Town than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pen-y-Bont, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bala Town - Pen-y-Bont Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.79
    (3.71)
    3.59
    (3.33)
    1.69
    (1.96)
    8.1%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bala Town won 2.
    • Bala Town is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Pen-y-Bont has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Bala Town may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Pen-y-Bont is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bala Town won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 49:22. (average 2.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bala Town won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:9. (average 2.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bala Town - Pen-y-Bont were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Bala Town - Pen-y-Bont 3:2
    08.03.2025 Pen-y-Bont - Bala Town 3:2
    26.10.2024 Pen-y-Bont - Bala Town 1:1
    31.08.2024 Bala Town - Pen-y-Bont 1:2
    02.12.2023 Pen-y-Bont - Bala Town 0:2
    Latest results of Bala Town
    30.08.2025 Llanelli - Bala Town 0:1
    22.08.2025 Bala Town - Colwyn Bay 1:0
    Latest results of Pen-y-Bont
    Welsh Cymru Premier Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caernarfon532016:61011
    2Bala53116:4210
    3Penybont53026:519
    4Briton Ferry522110:648
    5TNS52216:428
    6Connahs Q52126:9-37
    7Barry51316:516
    8Haverfordwest41214:405
    9Colwyn Bay50415:6-14
    10Flint41129:11-24
    11Cardiff Metropolitan50418:10-24
    12Llanelli50053:15-120

          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )
          Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: )

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